Provincial (GB)
Provincial (GB) is 1 from 5. Hasn't won since Oct 2007.
- 1–5Wins / Runs
- 20%Strike rate
- 1 (20%)Placed
- −2.25£1 level staken=5 at SP
- 1.24Fair A/E n=5 · 0.99 incl. margin
- 92Highest OR
- 77dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 13.8% of 305 runs since Jan 2008 (15 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 4 | 2 | 50% | +36.2 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Firm | 32 | 3 | 9.4% | −4.4 | — |
| Good | 54 | 8 | 14.8% | +1 | — |
| Good to Soft | 29 | 2 | 6.9% | −6.9 | 1 from 2 |
| Soft | 35 | 4 | 11.4% | −2.4 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | +4.4 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 140 | 21 | 15% | +1.2 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 21 | 1 | 4.8% | −9 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 111 | 16 | 14.4% | +0.6 | 1 from 2 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 66 | 10 | 15.2% | +1.4 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 46 | 8 | 17.4% | +3.6 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 30 | 5 | 16.7% | +2.9 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 16 | 2 | 12.5% | −1.3 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 8 | 0 | 0% | −13.8 | — |
| Over 3m | 7 | 0 | 0% | −13.8 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 22 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
4 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Selfara (GB) (2 wins).
The wins came over 5f–2m2f; the highest grade won is Class 5 (Selfara (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selfara (GB) | 9 | 2 | 5f | Class 5 |
| Agricultural (GB) | 46 | 1 | 2m | Class 5 |
| Rangoon (USA) | 15 | 1 | 2m2f | — |
| Rural Retreat (USA) | 32 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.75 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gowran Park | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Naas | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Curragh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Limerick (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Roscommon | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.75 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.75 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pat Smullen | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.25 |
| N G McCullagh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2007 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.75 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug 08+27d | Gowran Park | Inistioge Handicap (60-90) | 6/10 | 5½ | 9-9 | 86 | 72A | Pat Smullen | 11/2 |
| 09 Jul 08+46d | Naas | Brophy Farrell Real Estate Alliance Handicap (60-100) | 8/11 | hd | 9-6 | 89 | 70C | Pat Smullen | 7/1 |
| 24 May 08+49d | Curragh | Boylesports Fon-A-Bet 1800 44 00 00 Handicap | 12/14 | nk | 8-4 | 92 | 63A | N G McCullagh | 6/1 |
| 05 Apr 08+187d | Limerick (IRE) | Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Race | 2/3 | 4 | 9-4 | — | 89C | Pat Smullen | 7/2 |
| 01 Oct 07 | Roscommon | Lecarrow (C&G) Maiden | 1/15 | 9-0 | — | 88C | Pat Smullen | 7/4F |
Quick answers
- How many races has Provincial (GB) won?
- Provincial (GB) won 1 of 5 archived starts between 2007 and 2008, a strike rate of 20%. Placed 1 time in total (20% of starts).
- Who trained Provincial (GB)?
- Provincial (GB) was trained by D K Weld on the most recent run on record, at Gowran Park on 5 August 2008.
- Who is Provincial (GB)'s sire?
- Provincial (GB) is by Aldebaran (USA) out of Rustic (IRE), whose sire is Grand Lodge.
- What is Provincial (GB)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 86, from the run on 5 August 2008. The highest on record is 92.
- What is Provincial (GB)'s sire's record?
- Aldebaran (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 13.8% of 305 runs since Jan 2008 (15 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Provincial (GB)'s siblings?
- Out of Rustic (IRE), Provincial (GB) has 4 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Selfara (GB) (2). Highest grade won: Class 5 (Selfara (GB)). The wins came over 5f–2m2f. As at Oct 2026.