What is D K Weld's strike rate?

D K Weld has won 149 of 1,312 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.4% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does D K Weld do best at?

Cork by strike rate: 13 wins from 71 runners (18.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for D K Weld?

Chris Hayes, with 982 runners since 2022 — 75% of the total. That pairing has won 118 (12%).

In the last 14 days: 21 runners, 4 winners, a strike rate of 19%. That is above the baseline of 11.4% since 2022.

What is D K Weld's Fair A/E?

0.91, from 1,309 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

D K Weld

1,312 runners in the last 5 seasons · 232 individual horses

As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 13.5% of 237 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 21 Oct 2026.

In form — 4 winners last 14 days Last runner yesterday 98% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

149–1,312

Wins / Runs

11.4%

Strike rate

n=1,312

438 (33%)

Placed

0.91

Fair A/E

n=1,309 · 0.74 incl. margin

−443.81

£1 level stake

n=1,312 at SP · −33.8%

£5.66m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11.8%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 260 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.91). In Group and Graded company the record reads 14% (187 runs). The yard is in form now — 4 winners in the last fortnight, above its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,312 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Sep 33.1% when favourite Chris Hayes: 12% from 982 Group/Graded: 13.9% Sends off the favourite in 12% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Cork (18.3%, n=71) and Galway (15.7%, n=70) — all clear of the yard's 11.4% baseline. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 5.9% (n=101, Fair A/E 0.70). The market has consistently overbet a horse in first-time headgear: 7.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.65 and −40.21 to a £1 stake over 114 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the yard is firing: 4 winners from 21 runners in the last 14 days (19%, 7.6pts above the 11.4% baseline). Chris Hayes rides 75% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (12%, A/E 0.92). The yard also reads well on Good to Soft going (16.5%, n=133) and on Good to Firm going (17.9%, n=39). The record reads poorly at trips under 6f — 0% over 37 runners, 11.4pts below the baseline. 250 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Investec Derby at Epsom Downs (Jun 2016, £876,170). The stable star of the record: Famous Name (GB) — 21 wins from 36 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

10.5%−0.9

n=304 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −104.81

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−11.4

n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Debutants · first career start

11.5%+0.1

n=182 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −31.76

First-time headgear · true-first definition

7.9%−3.5

n=114 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −40.21

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

12.2%+0.8

n=41 · A/E 1.28 · £1 +12.00

When favourite

33.1%

n=163 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −29.46

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.9%−5.5

n=101 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −11.67

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

13.9%+2.5

n=187 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −73.09

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At trips under 6f 0% vs 11.4% · n=37

At Cork 18.3% vs 11.4% · n=71

With claiming riders up 5.9% vs 11.4% · n=101

On Good to Soft going 16.5% vs 11.4% · n=133

On Good to Firm going 17.9% vs 11.4% · n=39

At Galway 15.7% vs 11.4% · n=70

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,280 146 11.4% −428.43

Hurdle 24 3 12.5% −7.38

NH Flat 8 0 0% −8.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 500 55 11% −176.58

Soft 386 41 10.6% −171.29

Good to Soft 133 22 16.5% +5.25

Standard (AW) 131 14 10.7% −28.12

Heavy 123 10 8.1% −73.69

Good to Firm 39 7 17.9% +0.62

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Curragh 232 24 10.3% −54.72

Leopardstown 183 24 13.1% −51.35

Gowran Park 127 11 8.7% −70.47

Dundalk (AW) 127 13 10.2% −31.12

Naas 120 13 10.8% −49.26

Cork 71 13 18.3% −3.20

Navan 70 7 10% −29.12

Galway 70 11 15.7% −15.19

Killarney 46 5 10.9% −31.40

Roscommon 31 2 6.5% −27.00

Fairyhouse 25 2 8% −11.75

Tipperary 21 1 4.8% −4.00

Limerick 21 4 19% +2.70

Down Royal 21 2 9.5% −4.50

Listowel 20 2 10% −14.77

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 187 26 13.9% −73.09

Class 2 13 0 0% −13.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 184 58 31.5% 1.01 −36.46

2nd–3rd fav 370 51 13.8% 0.82 −110.85

4th–6th fav 431 31 7.2% 0.93 −122.50

7th+ in betting 327 9 2.8% 0.76 −174.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Falcon Eight (IRE) 33 4 7 7 Jun 26

Grappa Nonino (IRE) 32 4 9 5 Sep 25

Coeur d'Or (IRE) 30 4 13 28 Jun 26

Tachos (IRE) 25 3 9 18 Oct 26

Eriskay (IRE) 19 0 4 4 Dec 24

Livio Milo (IRE)then Sam England 18 1 7 20 Oct 24

Zaragoza (IRE) 15 1 4 25 Jul 25

Alessia Fernanda (IRE)then Declan Carroll 15 1 5 3 Nov 24

Brosna Town (IRE)then Jessica Bedi 14 2 4 18 Oct 25

Harbour Wind (IRE) 14 5 8 12 Oct 25

Giladah (IRE) 14 3 6 11 Nov 23

Tarawa (IRE) 13 3 9 31 Aug 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 232 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 1 arrived from another yard in our archive; 59 had their first archived run for this yard.

20 have since run for another yard, most often for Declan Carroll (3) and David O'Meara (2); 40 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form

4 from 21 19% · +7.6pts vs baseline

Last 14 days19%

5-season base11.4%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

135141012139131481120

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderChris Hayes

75% of all rides
12% SR · A/E 0.92

RiderRWSR£1

Chris Hayes 982 118 12% −354.67

Leigh Roche 79 7 8.9% −19.38

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,426

Archived wins

250

Pattern / graded wins

£42.8m

Prize money

2014

Best season · 106 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Harzand (IRE) — Investec Derby (Group 1) Epsom Downs · Jun 2016 · Group 1

£876,170

Harzand (IRE) — Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby (Group 1) Curragh · Jun 2016 · Group 1

£855,000

Fascinating Rock (IRE) — Qipco Champion Stakes (British Champions Middle Distance) (Group 1) Ascot · Oct 2015 · Group 1

£770,547

Notable horses

Famous Name (GB) Bobs Pride (IRE) Tandem (GB) Majestic Concorde (IRE) Unaccompanied (IRE) Profound Beauty (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Lope De Vega (IRE) 10.6% · 9–85

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,152 runs since 2008 (1,099 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 953.

Kingman (GB) 20.3% · 15–74

Progeny have won 14.6% of 7,471 runs since 2008 (775 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.1% from 959. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9.1% from 121.

Sea The Stars (IRE) 4.8% · 3–63

Progeny have won 15.7% of 9,937 runs since 2008 (1,110 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on Heavy going: 9.3% from 453. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.

Teofilo (IRE) 9.5% · 6–63

Progeny have won 12.5% of 10,070 runs since 2008 (907 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7% from 625.

Dubawi (IRE) 16.4% · 10–61

Progeny have won 18.4% of 12,936 runs since 2008 (1,520 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.8% from 429.

Frankel (GB) 19.7% · 12–61

Progeny have won 18% of 7,499 runs since 2008 (875 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 12.3% from 324. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.4% from 267.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 9,539 · newest first

The latest 50 of 9,539 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 January 2005 to 20 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Kashala (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Bill Hanlon Memorial Fillies Maiden12f · Yielding · 7 ran 5th 10/1

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Paul Pierre (IRE)J: Chris Hayes 1xBet.ie Supporting October Racing Irish EBF Maiden6f · Yielding · 13 ran 5th 33/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Fleur De Provence (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Gowran Park Racing Club Fillies Maiden9.5f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 5/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Katiraya (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden (Smullen Series)8.5f · Soft · 15 ran 10th 9/1

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Tachos (IRE)J: Conor Cusack Watch Every Irish Race Live On Racing TV Handicap7f · Good · 14 ran 3rd 16/1

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Handani (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Bahrain Turf Club October Handicap11.5f · Good · 15 ran 14th 11/2

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Hazdann (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Trigo Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 10f · Good · 9 ran 5th 8/1

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Rhapsodic (GB)J: Colin Keane Leopardstown Golf, Padel And Range Maiden9f · Good · 15 ran 6th 6/1

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Sunatia (FR)J: Chris Hayes Leopardstown Golf, Padel And Range Maiden9f · Good · 15 ran 2nd 5/6F

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Taranga (FR)J: Chris Hayes Irish Stallion Farms EBF Laidlaw Cup Fillies Maiden7f · Good · 13 ran 10th 11/1

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Hamara (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Irish EBF Fillies Maiden (Smullen Series)8.5f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 6/1

16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Emiza (FR)J: Chris Hayes Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden6f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 11/1

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) My First Rose (IRE)J: Paddy Harnett Isuzu Ireland Handicap14f · Yielding To Soft · 21 ran 15th 33/1

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Glittering Gem (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Isuzu Ireland Handicap14f · Yielding To Soft · 21 ran 5th 14/1

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Almazann (IRE)J: Chris Hayes DNG People & Property Maiden12f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 1st 11/8F

11 Oct 26 Cork (IRE) Passenger (IRE)J: Mr Finian Maguire Fitzgerald's Woodlands House Hotel (Pro/Am) Flat Race19f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 4/9F

11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Abbotsford (GB)J: Colin Keane Colm White Bookmaker Beggar's End Handicap16f · Soft · 17 ran 1st 14/1

11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Zadawa (FR)J: Chris Hayes Irish Stallion Farms EBF Bluebell Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 12f · Soft · 14 ran 7th 22/1

10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Zelani (IRE)J: Chris Hayes M.L.A Engineering Ltd. Supporting Ardclough GAA Maiden8f · Soft · 13 ran 1st 3/10F

08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Glittering Gem (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Racing Here On The 12th November Handicap16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran 2nd 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is D K Weld's strike rate?: D K Weld has won 149 of 1,312 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.4% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does D K Weld do best at?: Cork by strike rate: 13 wins from 71 runners (18.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for D K Weld?: Chris Hayes, with 982 runners since 2022 — 75% of the total. That pairing has won 118 (12%).
Is D K Weld in form?: In the last 14 days: 21 runners, 4 winners, a strike rate of 19%. That is above the baseline of 11.4% since 2022.
What is D K Weld's Fair A/E?: 0.91, from 1,309 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.