N G McCullagh
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 140 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.72).
Rides on last-time-out winners have been a poor signal at 0% (n=32, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 0.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.21 and −130.00 to a £1 stake over 147 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Charles Weld supplies 10% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (4.2%, A/E 1.06) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (8.6%, n=35). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 0% over 99 rides, 3.2pts below the baseline. 24 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Friends Of The Curragh Irish Cesarewitch at Curragh (Sep 2025, £324,000). The standout partner of the record: Mountain Coral (IRE) — 6 wins from 34 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Jul–Aug.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 3.2% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 6,552 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 6,552 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 20 March 2005 to 1 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is N G McCullagh's strike rate?
- N G McCullagh has won 23 of 724 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 3.2% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does N G McCullagh do best at?
- Naas by strike rate: 3 wins from 49 rides (6.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does N G McCullagh ride most for?
- Charles Weld, with 72 rides since 2022 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (4.2%).
- Is N G McCullagh in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 2 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is N G McCullagh's Fair A/E?
- 0.72, from 723 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.