What is Pat Smullen's strike rate?

Pat Smullen has won 1,053 of 6,881 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 15.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Pat Smullen do best at?

Galway by strike rate: 71 wins from 289 rides (24.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Pat Smullen ride most for?

D K Weld, with 3,517 rides since 2008 — 51% of the total. That pairing has won 646 (18.4%).

What is Pat Smullen's Fair A/E?

1.03, from 6,873 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Pat Smullen

6,881 rides in the lifetime window · 2,570 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Mar 2018 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

1,053–6,881

Wins / Runs

15.3%

Strike rate

n=6,881

2,540 (37%)

Placed

1.03

Fair A/E

n=6,873 · 0.83 incl. margin

−1,820.07

£1 level stake

n=6,881 at SP · −26.5%

£29.9m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

21.1%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 630 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 15% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.03). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 21% (990 rides). Rode mostly for D K Weld — 51% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 6,881 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Feb–Apr Fresh horses: 16% 33.6% when favourite D K Weld: 18.4% from 3,517 LTO winners: 20.8% Group/Graded: 17.7% Rode the favourite in 20% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Galway (24.6%, n=289), Ballinrobe (24.1%, n=112) and Wexford (24.6%, n=65) — all clear of the rider's 15.3% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 20.8% (n=990, Fair A/E 1.04), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 10.3% (n=2,625, Fair A/E 0.96). D K Weld supplied 51% of the rides and edges the rider's average (18.4% vs 15.3%, A/E 1.05) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 212 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Investec Derby at Epsom Downs (Jun 2016, £876,170). The standout partner of the record was Famous Name (GB) — 21 wins from 35 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Feb–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 15.3% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

11.3%−4.0

n=2,465 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −815.34

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

20.8%+5.5

n=990 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −186.99

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

16%+0.7

n=1,315 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −385.62

When favourite

33.6%

n=1,377 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −213.63

Big fields · 14+ runners

10.3%−5.0

n=2,625 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −895.60

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

17.7%+2.4

n=1,090 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −240.36

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 15.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Galway 24.6% vs 15.3% · n=289

With P D Deegan 4.8% vs 15.3% · n=63

At Ballinrobe 24.1% vs 15.3% · n=112

With A Oliver 4.5% vs 15.3% · n=44

At Wexford 24.6% vs 15.3% · n=65

On last-time-out winners 20.8% vs 15.3% · n=990

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 6,877 1053 15.3% −1,816.07

NH Flat 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 1,690 272 16.1% −464.76

Standard (AW) 1,411 210 14.9% −330.87

Good 1,294 201 15.5% −309.76

Good to Firm 1,144 156 13.6% −339.45

Heavy 740 129 17.4% −166.69

Good to Soft 554 78 14.1% −191.37

Firm 48 7 14.6% −17.17

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 1,382 206 14.9% −324.62

Curragh 1,010 112 11.1% −318.57

Leopardstown 714 135 18.9% −71.36

Naas 406 54 13.3% −85.37

Gowran Park 355 69 19.4% −77.35

Navan 335 43 12.8% −135.67

Galway 289 71 24.6% −67.53

Cork 267 53 19.9% −57.47

Tipperary 257 43 16.7% −76.98

Fairyhouse 233 26 11.2% −87.23

Roscommon 188 28 14.9% −47.85

Killarney 183 32 17.5% −54.31

Listowel 153 29 19% −38.89

Limerick 139 20 14.4% −69.59

Down Royal 132 18 13.6% −51.84

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 1,094 193 17.6% −244.36

Class 2 113 9 8% −45.75

Class 4 21 4 19% +5.00

Class 3 17 1 5.9% −14.12

Class 5 4 1 25% +0.00

Class 6 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 1,584 508 32.1% 1.08 −223.38

2nd–3rd fav 2,215 382 17.2% 1.11 −296.19

4th–6th fav 2,037 135 6.6% 0.82 −698.50

7th+ in betting 1,045 28 2.7% 0.60 −602.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Famous Name (GB) 32 20 27 27 Oct 12

Northern Rocked (IRE) 30 1 8 9 Nov 16

Flic Flac (IRE) 28 3 12 23 Jul 14

Elusive Ridge (IRE) 24 6 8 12 May 13

Rock Critic (IRE) 19 4 7 27 Sep 15

Tsar Paul (IRE) 17 2 8 12 Jun 13

Sense Of Purpose (IRE) 17 4 8 9 Sep 12

Indian Landing (IRE) 16 1 6 10 Nov 17

A Likely Story (IRE) 16 0 11 26 Sep 17

Stuccodor (IRE) 16 6 8 8 May 16

So Sensible (IRE) 15 2 6 6 Dec 17

Calm Bay (IRE) 15 0 3 30 Aug 17

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 2,570 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 11 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

152117181612181514161214

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardD K Weld

51% of all rides
18.4% SR · A/E 1.05

TrainerRWSR£1

D K Weld 3,517 646 18.4% −743.27

Ms Joanna Morgan 224 29 12.9% −52.68

H Rogers 217 26 12% −53.59

Tracey Collins 170 24 14.1% −32.02

Edward Lynam 147 26 17.7% +16.80

W McCreery 115 12 10.4% −51.40

M Halford 104 21 20.2% −6.18

W P Mullins 96 21 21.9% −34.09

Joseph G Murphy 91 14 15.4% −11.22

J A Nash 78 7 9% −52.40

David Marnane 72 8 11.1% −8.50

M D O'Callaghan 72 9 12.5% −37.24

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,292

Archived wins

212

Pattern / graded wins

£35.7m

Prize money

2016

Best season · 140 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Harzand (IRE) — Investec Derby (Group 1) Epsom Downs · Jun 2016 · Group 1

£876,170

Harzand (IRE) — Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby (Group 1) Curragh · Jun 2016 · Group 1

£855,000

Fascinating Rock (IRE) — Qipco Champion Stakes (British Champions Middle Distance) (Group 1) Ascot · Oct 2015 · Group 1

£770,547

Notable horses

Famous Name (GB) Profound Beauty (IRE) Fascinating Rock (IRE) Tandem (GB) Emulous (GB) Chinese White (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 13.1% · 26–199

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,863 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.

Dansili (GB) 33.3% · 57–171

Progeny have won 13.7% of 11,842 runs since 2008 (983 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.8% from 101. Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 428. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.1% from 209.

Galileo (IRE) 18.9% · 30–159

Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,201 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.4% from 890.

Oasis Dream (GB) 15.6% · 24–154

Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,040 runs since 2008 (1,511 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 484. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 792.

Shamardal (USA) 16.7% · 21–126

Progeny have won 14.8% of 10,413 runs since 2009 (1,008 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.7% from 1,288. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 475.

Pivotal (GB) 19.1% · 21–110

Progeny have won 13.6% of 12,789 runs since 2008 (1,019 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.4% from 108.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 8,668 · newest first

The latest 50 of 8,668 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 20 March 2005 to 16 March 2018.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

16 Mar 18 Dundalk (AW) Ishigati (IRE)T: D K Weld Kellihers Electrical Handicap8f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 9/4F

16 Mar 18 Dundalk (AW) Rummaging (IRE)T: M Halford Eliteform Manufacturing (sheet Metal Specialists) Handicap (45-65)7f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 7/1

16 Mar 18 Dundalk (AW) Togoville (IRE)T: Anthony McCann Fyffes Race6f · Standard · 4 ran 1st 11/10F

16 Mar 18 Dundalk (AW) Nulife (IRE)T: Denis Gerard Hogan Bk Forklifts Handicap (45-65)12f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 4/1F

16 Mar 18 Dundalk (AW) Settle For Red (IRE)T: David Marnane Cx+ Sport Claiming Race10.5f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 9/1

12 Mar 18 Dundalk (AW) Liberatio (IRE)T: M Halford Celebrate At Dundalk Stadium Maiden8f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 11/10F

12 Mar 18 Dundalk (AW) Port Lions (IRE)T: M Halford St.Patrick's Weekend Racing At Dundalk Maiden8f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 6/4F

09 Mar 18 Dundalk (AW) Arbourfield (IRE)T: Mrs Prunella Dobbs 32Red 10 Free Handicap7f · Standard · 13 ran 2nd 7/2F

09 Mar 18 Dundalk (AW) Blackgold Fairy (USA)T: M Halford 32Red Patton Stakes (Listed)8f · Standard · 6 ran 4th 16/1

09 Mar 18 Dundalk (AW) Nivvo (IRE)T: Tracey Collins 32red Fillies Race7f · Standard · 8 ran 1st 7/2

09 Mar 18 Dundalk (AW) Patrick Joseph (GB)T: David Marnane 32red Handicap7f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 6/5F

09 Mar 18 Dundalk (AW) Seanie (IRE)T: David Marnane 32red.com Claiming Race6f · Standard · 7 ran 2nd 9/2

23 Feb 18 Dundalk (AW) Carried (IRE)T: Mrs Prunella Dobbs Kentucky Derby Qualifier At Dundalk March 2nd Handicap10.5f · Standard · 13 ran 2nd 4/1

23 Feb 18 Dundalk (AW) Patrick Joseph (GB)T: David Marnane Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (45-65)6f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 6/4F

23 Feb 18 Dundalk (AW) Cracking Name (IRE)T: David Marnane Carnbeg Hotel & Spa Handicap (45-65)7f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 12/1

23 Feb 18 Dundalk (AW) Zarena (IRE)T: D K Weld Boyle Bingo Irish EBF Median Auction Maiden (Plus 10)7f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 7/1

23 Feb 18 Dundalk (AW) Elleval (IRE)T: David Marnane Print Express Handicap8f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 14/1

23 Feb 18 Dundalk (AW) Blackgold Fairy (USA)T: M Halford AV Direct Irish EBF Fillies Maiden (Plus 10)8f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 2/1

23 Feb 18 Dundalk (AW) Settle For Red (IRE)T: David Marnane Dundalk Stadium Business Club 2018 Claiming Race8f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 11/4

16 Feb 18 Dundalk (AW) Lady De Vesci (IRE)T: M Halford CEF Electrical Maiden10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Pat Smullen's strike rate?: Pat Smullen has won 1,053 of 6,881 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 15.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Pat Smullen do best at?: Galway by strike rate: 71 wins from 289 rides (24.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Pat Smullen ride most for?: D K Weld, with 3,517 rides since 2008 — 51% of the total. That pairing has won 646 (18.4%).
What is Pat Smullen's Fair A/E?: 1.03, from 6,873 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.