Risk Factor (IRE)
Risk Factor (IRE) is 1 from 11. Hasn't won since Dec 2019.
- 1–11Wins / Runs
- 9.1%Strike rate
- 7 (63.6%)Placed
- −6.00£1 level staken=11 at SP
- 0.36Fair A/E n=11 · 0.28 incl. margin
- 77dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 134
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was.
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 14 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 2 | 134A | 115 | — |
| Good | 1 | — | — | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 14 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 121B | 96 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 11 runs looked at, 6 have no figure: not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (3) · did not complete (2) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 5 figures from 11 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 10.5% of 3,539 runs since Jan 2008 (307 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | +1.3 | — |
| Good to Firm | 489 | 58 | 11.9% | +1.4 | 0 from 1 |
| Good | 825 | 72 | 8.7% | −1.8 | 0 from 3 |
| Good to Soft | 371 | 39 | 10.5% | 0 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 622 | 64 | 10.3% | −0.2 | 1 from 5 |
| Heavy | 217 | 21 | 9.7% | −0.8 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 996 | 116 | 11.6% | +1.1 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 37 | 4 | 10.8% | +0.3 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 604 | 50 | 8.3% | −2.2 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 721 | 65 | 9% | −1.5 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1,055 | 118 | 11.2% | +0.7 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 721 | 93 | 12.9% | +2.4 | 1 from 8 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 242 | 24 | 9.9% | −0.6 | 0 from 2 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 122 | 14 | 11.5% | +1 | 0 from 1 |
| Over 3m | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | +3 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 14 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
3 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Walking On Air (IRE) (2 wins).
The wins came over 2m–3m; the highest grade won is Class 2 (Walking On Air (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walking On Air (IRE) | 23 | 2 | 2m½f–2m7f | Class 2 |
| West Coast Time (IRE) | 16 | 2 | 2m | — |
| Meticulous (IRE) | 11 | 2 | 2m1f–3m | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 5 | 1 | 20% | +0.00 |
| Good | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leopardstown | 4 | 1 | 25% | +1.00 |
| Navan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Galway | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Cork | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wexford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ballinrobe | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 8 | 1 | 13% | −3.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J J Slevin | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Mr T Hamilton | 4 | 1 | 25% | +1.00 |
| Mr B O'Neill | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tongue tie | 10 | 1 | 10% | −5.00 |
| None | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2020 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2019 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +2.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Flat | 3 | 1 | 33% | +2.00 |
| NH Flat | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul 21+22d | Cork | CorkRacecourse.ie Maiden Hurdle | 3/18 | 1½ | 12-0 | 96B | 120A | J J Slevin | 15/8 |
| 17 Jun 21+15d | Leopardstown | Dun Laoghaire (Q.R.) Maiden | 5/15 | ½ | 11-9 | 69C | 72A | Mr T Hamilton | 2/1F |
| 02 Jun 21+72d | Wexford | visitwexford.ie Maiden Hurdle | 3/11 | 2½ | 12-0 | 134A | 126A | J J Slevin | 4/1 |
| 22 Mar 21+83d | Navan | Simonstown Maiden Hurdle | F/17 | — | 12-0 | — | — | J J Slevin | 5/4F |
| 29 Dec 20+101d | Leopardstown | Pigsback.com Maiden Hurdle | 6/17 | 12 | 12-0 | — | 115A | J J Slevin | 16/1 |
| 19 Sep 20+50d | Navan | Bet Online With baroneracing.com Maiden Hurdle | 3/17 | 1¾ | 12-0 | 81B | 119A | J J Slevin | 11/4 |
| 31 Jul 20+181d | Galway | James's Gate Maiden Hurdle | UR/14 | — | 12-0 | — | — | J J Slevin | 4/5F |
| 01 Feb 20+37d | Leopardstown | Goffs Future Stars (C & G) I.N.H. Flat Race (Grade 2) | 2/8 | 7½ | 11-10 | 121B | 140A | Mr B O'Neill | 6/1 |
| 26 Dec 19+150d | Leopardstown | Meetings That Matter On Racing TV Flat Race | 1/12 | 11-6 | — | 89A | Mr T Hamilton | 4/1 | |
| 29 Jul 19+62d | Galway | Monami Construction Flat Race | 2/13 | 1 | 11-3 | — | 122A | Mr T Hamilton | 5/4F |
| 28 May 19 | Ballinrobe | McHale Orbital Flat Race | 2/13 | ¾ | 11-1 | — | 81A | Mr T Hamilton | 5/6F |
Quick answers
- How many races has Risk Factor (IRE) won?
- Risk Factor (IRE) won 1 of 11 archived starts between 2019 and 2021, a strike rate of 9.1%. Placed 7 times in total (63.6% of starts).
- Who trained Risk Factor (IRE)?
- Risk Factor (IRE) was trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien on the most recent run on record, at Cork on 9 July 2021.
- Who is Risk Factor (IRE)'s sire?
- Risk Factor (IRE) is by Duke Of Marmalade (IRE) out of Refinement (IRE), whose sire is Oscar.
- What going does Risk Factor (IRE) prefer?
- Risk Factor (IRE) has the best record on soft going: 1 win from 5 starts (20%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Risk Factor (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Duke Of Marmalade (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.5% of 3,539 runs since Jan 2008 (307 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Risk Factor (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Refinement (IRE), Risk Factor (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Walking On Air (IRE) (2). Highest grade won: Class 2 (Walking On Air (IRE)). The wins came over 2m–3m. As at Oct 2026.