What is Joseph Patrick O'Brien's strike rate?

Joseph Patrick O'Brien has won 773 of 5,149 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 15% (as at 23 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Joseph Patrick O'Brien do best at?

Down Royal by strike rate: 30 wins from 114 runners (26.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Joseph Patrick O'Brien?

Dylan Browne McMonagle, with 1,458 runners since 2022 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 273 (18.7%).

Is Joseph Patrick O'Brien in form?

In the last 14 days: 51 runners, 7 winners, a strike rate of 13.7%. That is in line with the baseline of 15% since 2022.

What is Joseph Patrick O'Brien's Fair A/E?

1.04, from 5,144 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Joseph Patrick O'Brien

5,149 runners in the last 5 seasons · 941 individual horses

As at 23 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 7.9% of 1,261 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 23 Oct 2026.

Won yesterday Last runner yesterday

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)

from 1 Jan 2022

773–5,149

Wins / Runs

15%

Strike rate

n=5,149

1,930 (38%)

Placed

1.04

Fair A/E

n=5,144 · 0.86 incl. margin

−686.99

£1 level stake

n=5,149 at SP · −13.3%

£30.6m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

17.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 1,030 runners a season, winning with 15% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.04).

Deterministic profile computed from 5,149 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 23 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Dec–Jan 38.5% when favourite Dylan Browne McMonagle: 18.7% from 1,458 Sends off the favourite in 17% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Bellewstown (28.6%, n=84), Down Royal (26.3%, n=114) and Ballinrobe (25.4%, n=63) — all clear of the yard's 15% baseline. Debutants struggle at 9.8% (n=681, Fair A/E 0.92). Dylan Browne McMonagle rides 28% of the entries and edges the yard's average (18.7% vs 15%, A/E 1.05) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 268 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby at Curragh (Jun 2018, £855,000). The stable star of the record: Home By The Lee (IRE) — 13 wins from 37 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Dec–Jan.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 15% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

14.9%−0.1

n=1,010 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −72.01

New recruits · first run for the yard

14.9%−0.1

n=121 · A/E 1.00 · £1 +27.54

Debutants · first career start

9.8%−5.2

n=681 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −228.19

First-time headgear · true-first definition

12.7%−2.3

n=403 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −111.89

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

11.4%−3.6

n=105 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −29.19

When favourite

38.5%

n=895 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −65.27

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

13.1%−1.9

n=764 · A/E 1.01 · £1 +5.53

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

12.4%−2.6

n=1,303 · A/E 1.12 · £1 +39.70

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 15% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Bellewstown 28.6% vs 15% · n=84

At Down Royal 26.3% vs 15% · n=114

With Mr J L Gleeson 28.3% vs 15% · n=46

With Gary Halpin 2.6% vs 15% · n=39

At Ballinrobe 25.4% vs 15% · n=63

At Limerick 22.5% vs 15% · n=129

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 4,363 629 14.4% −763.30

Hurdle 523 98 18.7% +110.46

Chase 221 36 16.3% −26.81

NH Flat 42 10 23.8% −7.34

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 1,713 262 15.3% −352.48

Soft 1,518 237 15.6% +8.58

Standard (AW) 662 99 15% −100.21

Good to Soft 560 81 14.5% −95.45

Heavy 476 69 14.5% −95.64

Good to Firm 220 25 11.4% −51.79

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Curragh 826 92 11.1% −88.10

Dundalk (AW) 636 94 14.8% −90.72

Leopardstown 468 60 12.8% −63.96

Gowran Park 346 55 15.9% −83.83

Naas 285 37 13% −20.67

Galway 251 24 9.6% −95.69

Cork 234 25 10.7% −84.41

Killarney 204 42 20.6% −19.36

Navan 178 22 12.4% −50.18

Fairyhouse 172 31 18% +58.97

Roscommon 139 27 19.4% −44.60

Limerick 129 29 22.5% −6.20

Punchestown 125 18 14.4% +3.00

Listowel 123 21 17.1% −22.59

Down Royal 114 30 26.3% −5.07

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 1,333 164 12.3% +29.20

Class 2 110 13 11.8% +6.75

Class 3 9 2 22.2% −2.70

Class 4 4 4 100% +0.80

Class 5 4 2 50% −1.29

Class 6 3 2 66.7% +1.58

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 1,014 366 36.1% 1.09 −101.81

2nd–3rd fav 1,482 241 16.3% 0.96 −330.38

4th–6th fav 1,523 126 8.3% 1.06 −184.80

7th+ in betting 1,130 40 3.5% 1.12 −70.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

San Andreas (IRE)from A P O'Brien 43 5 16 23 Apr 26

Prairie Dancer (IRE) 38 8 17 27 Dec 25

Comfort Zone (IRE) 32 6 13 11 Oct 26

Dawn Rising (IRE)from A P O'Brien 30 4 12 10 Oct 26

Solness (FR)from Daniela Mele 29 9 16 30 Sep 26

Busselton (FR)from D Cottin · then E Bolger 29 4 7 12 Dec 25

Nurburgring (IRE) 27 5 14 26 Dec 25

Duke Silver (IRE) 26 3 8 14 Oct 26

Galileo Dame (IRE) 26 2 12 11 Oct 26

Jeaniemacaroney (IRE)then E McNamara 24 3 14 2 Oct 25

Princess Child (FR)from Laura Lemiere 23 3 10 11 Oct 26

Trustyourinstinct (IRE) 23 9 15 13 Sep 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 941 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 13 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from A P O'Brien (2); 51 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard, most often for E Bolger (2); 49 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

7 from 51 13.7% · −1.3pts vs baseline

Last 14 days13.7%

5-season base15%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

241417141414191315141118

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDylan Browne McMonagle

28% of all rides
18.7% SR · A/E 1.05

RiderRWSR£1

Dylan Browne McMonagle 1,458 273 18.7% −281.01

Declan McDonogh 974 105 10.8% −291.44

J J Slevin 341 69 20.2% +98.78

Mikey Sheehy 330 31 9.4% −43.87

J M Sheridan 278 48 17.3% +41.68

Wayne Hassett 178 22 12.4% −52.01

H. J. Horgan 171 20 11.7% +119.53

Shane Crosse 170 31 18.2% −67.75

Conor Stone-Walsh 90 12 13.3% −42.63

Mark Walsh 83 17 20.5% −1.33

Jake Coen 78 8 10.3% −49.44

Richard Deegan 65 9 13.8% +22.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→

1,660

Archived wins

268

Pattern / graded wins

£52.0m

Prize money

2019

Best season · 190 wins

Latrobe (IRE) — Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby (Group 1) Curragh · Jun 2018 · Group 1

£855,000

State Of Rest (IRE) — Prince Of Wales's Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Ascot · Jun 2022 · Group 1

£599,708

Apples And Bananas (IRE) — Goffs Million Curragh · Sep 2024

£495,000

Notable horses

Home By The Lee (IRE) Banbridge (IRE) Prairie Dancer (IRE) San Andreas (IRE) Fakir D'oudairies (FR) Solness (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Australia (GB) 13.8% · 33–240

Progeny have won 11.2% of 5,647 runs since 2008 (563 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.5% from 108.

Starspangledbanner (AUS) 13.2% · 25–190

Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,155 runs since 2008 (660 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.5% from 1,190.

Camelot (GB) 13.1% · 24–183

Progeny have won 11.7% of 7,684 runs since 2008 (754 horses).

Churchill (IRE) 15.4% · 27–175

Progeny have won 11% of 4,796 runs since 2008 (459 horses).

Wootton Bassett (GB) 13.5% · 21–155

Progeny have won 13.1% of 5,642 runs since 2008 (788 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.1% from 161.

Zoffany (IRE) 11.9% · 18–151

Progeny have won 9.9% of 10,762 runs since 2008 (799 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 23 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 11,771 · newest first

The latest 50 of 11,771 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 June 2016 to 22 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) City Of Cork (IRE)J: J J Slevin Crottys Lake Maiden Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 1st 5/1

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Vishaya (IRE)J: Dylan Browne McMonagle Kilberry Fillies Maiden7f · Yielding · 13 ran 6th 7/2

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Cladach (IRE)J: Dylan Browne McMonagle 1xBet.ie Supports The Curragh Handicap10f · Yielding · 24 ran 8th 9/2J

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Shosholoza (IRE)J: Mr H C Swan Every Race, Every Moment 1xBet.ie Amateur Riders Derby (Q.R.) Race12f · Yielding · 8 ran 4th 6/5F

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Contorsion (USA)J: Mr J L Gleeson Every Race, Every Moment 1xBet.ie Amateur Riders Derby (Q.R.) Race12f · Yielding · 8 ran 1st 9/2

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Magna Victoria (IRE)J: J M Sheridan Staffordstown Stud Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 8f · Yielding · 11 ran 11th 16/1

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Bellesque (IRE)J: Dylan Browne McMonagle Staffordstown Stud Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 8f · Yielding · 11 ran 9th 33/1

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Blonde Over Blue (GB)J: Seamie Heffernan Staffordstown Stud Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 8f · Yielding · 11 ran 3rd 80/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Shay's Dream (IRE)J: Julian Pietropaolo Racing Again November 7th Handicap12f · Soft · 14 ran 3rd 7/2

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Sangreal (IRE)J: Dylan Browne McMonagle Gowran Park Racing Club Fillies Maiden9.5f · Soft · 9 ran 2nd 5/2

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Acknowledge (IRE)J: Dylan Browne McMonagle Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden8.5f · Soft · 14 ran 6th 3/1J

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Wo Wo Never (IRE)J: J M Sheridan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden8.5f · Soft · 14 ran 3rd 3/1J

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) King's Fury (GB)J: Mohammed Tabti Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden8.5f · Soft · 14 ran 1st 25/1

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Sky Captain (IRE)J: Dylan Browne McMonagle Bahrain Turf Club October Handicap11.5f · Good · 15 ran 8th 11/4F

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Cowardofthecounty (IRE)J: Dylan Browne McMonagle Trigo Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 10f · Good · 9 ran 7th 6/1

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Dublin's Knight (IRE)J: Dylan Browne McMonagle Bahrain Turf Club Knockaire Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 8.5f · Good · 7 ran 7th 3/1

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Snapequus (IRE)J: Julian Pietropaolo Irish Stallion Farms EBF Nursery Handicap8.5f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 11/1

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) King Of Cloughan (IRE)J: J M Sheridan Mongey Communications Killavullan Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 7f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 9/2

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Leadlight (IRE)J: J M Sheridan Mongey Communications Eyrefield Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 9f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 7/1

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Zarak Pasha (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Mongey Communications Eyrefield Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 9f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 6/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Joseph Patrick O'Brien's strike rate?: Joseph Patrick O'Brien has won 773 of 5,149 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 15% (as at 23 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Joseph Patrick O'Brien do best at?: Down Royal by strike rate: 30 wins from 114 runners (26.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Joseph Patrick O'Brien?: Dylan Browne McMonagle, with 1,458 runners since 2022 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 273 (18.7%).
Is Joseph Patrick O'Brien in form?: In the last 14 days: 51 runners, 7 winners, a strike rate of 13.7%. That is in line with the baseline of 15% since 2022.
What is Joseph Patrick O'Brien's Fair A/E?: 1.04, from 5,144 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.