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Horse profile

Risk (IRE)

3yo gelding (at last run, Oct 2025) · Last trainer Tom Dascombe · Last owner T Dascombe
by Saxon Warrior (JPN) out of African Fable (GB) (Cape Cross)
14 runs · 10 courses · from Jul 2024
As at 18 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 14 Oct 2025 — 368 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Oct 2025 · 5th of 7 Last raced off OR 58
KTB Profile

Risk (IRE) is a maiden who has yet to win from 14 starts though he has placed twice. His best effort came when third of nine at Lingfield (AW) in Mar 2025. The gelding, by Saxon Warrior out of an African Fable mare, last ran when fifth of seven in a Class 4 selling stakes at Leicester in Oct 2025 off an official rating of 58. He has raced seven times on turf and seven times on all-weather.

Based on 14 archived runs · run-style from 2 commented runs · updated 18 Oct 2026
Official rating58↓ 6lb off peak
58 58–64

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 100 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Leicester, 14 Oct 2025

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Flat 12 figures · best 100A · median 70.5
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 18 Oct 2025
Standard (AW)791A73—
Good3100A68—
Good to Firm252C47—
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 18 Oct 2025
6f – 7f7100A73—
1m – 1m1f486A70.5—
Under 6f1———

Of 14 runs looked at, 2 have no figure: did not complete (2).

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 12 figures from 14 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 55A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Leicester, 14 Oct 2025 Official rating 58 at the last run, 14 Oct 2025

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Flat 12 figures · best 71A · median 57
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 18 Oct 2025
Standard (AW)771A63—
Good364A55—
Good to Firm254A44.5—
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 18 Oct 2025
6f – 7f771A55—
1m – 1m1f464A61—
Under 6f1———

Of 14 runs looked at, 2 have no figure: did not complete (or a non-runner row) (2).

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 12 figures from 14 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Pedigree intelligence

Sire
Saxon Warrior (JPN)

Progeny in our archive have won 11.5% of 2,871 runs since Jan 2008 (357 horses).

Strongest on standard (aw) going: 14.9% from 928. Weakest on heavy going: 5.9% from 135.

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm5240%+28.5—
Good to Firm3734712.6%+1.10 from 3
Good688659.4%−2.10 from 3
Good to Soft3323410.2%−1.30 from 1
Soft410379%−2.5—
Heavy13585.9%−5.6—
Standard (AW)92813814.9%+3.40 from 7
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f6934.3%−7.20 from 1
6f – 7f8809610.9%−0.60 from 7
1m – 1m1f87810311.7%+0.20 from 4
1m2f – 1m4f79210313%+1.5—
1m5f – 2m1872211.8%+0.30 from 1
2m1f – 2m4f6446.3%−5.20 from 1
2m5f – 3m100%−11.5—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 17 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
African Fable (GB) (Cape Cross)

No other produce in our archive. It holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from 2005, so siblings racing elsewhere won’t appear here.

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Standard (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Good 3 0 0% −3.00
Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00
Good to Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 6 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 4 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 5 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Southwell (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00
Lingfield (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00
Leicester 1 0 0% −1.00
Fontwell 1 0 0% −1.00
Stratford 1 0 0% −1.00
Windsor 1 0 0% −1.00
Epsom Downs 1 0 0% −1.00
Newbury 1 0 0% −1.00
York 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
6f – 7f 7 0 0% −7.00
1m – 1m1f 4 0 0% −4.00
2m1f – 2m4f 1 0 0% −1.00
1m5f – 2m 1 0 0% −1.00
Under 6f 1 0 0% −1.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Pierre-Louis Jamin 9 0 0% −9.00
David Bass 2 0 0% −2.00
William Cox 2 0 0% −2.00
Silvestre De Sousa 1 0 0% −1.00

HeadgearRunsWinsSR£1
Visor 6 0 0% −6.00
Cheekpieces 6 0 0% −6.00
None 2 0 0% −2.00

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2025 8 0 0% −8.00
2024 6 0 0% −6.00

TypeRunsWinsSR£1
Flat 12 0 0% −12.00
Hurdle 2 0 0% −2.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
14 Oct 25+46d Leicester Join Racing TV Now Selling Stakes Class 4 · 7f · Good · 7 ran Held up towards the back - still adrift with 3f left - shaped up late but finished 5th 5/7 2½ 9-0 58100A55A Pierre-Louis Jamin 40/1
29 Aug 25+47d Fontwell Dollface Aesthetics Sussex Juvenile Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) Class 4 · 17.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran Went straight to front - balked at first and scrambled over at the back of the field - needed urging along soon after - knocked about at the fourth - struggling with no fluency and eased out of contention before four out PU/8 — 11-2 ——— David Bass 50/1
13 Jul 25+76d Stratford 2025 Mary Cecilia Beddows Memorial Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race) Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran Held up towards the back - hampered by a loose horse then unseated rider at the 2nd UR/8 — 11-0 ——— David Bass 33/1
28 Apr 25+23d Windsor Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com Handicap Class 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 13 ran Slow to break - fought for control early towards the back - moved through and drifted left rounding the turn 5f out - pushed into contention - driven along and edged left again 2f out - dropped away over 1f out to finish well beaten in 12th 12/13 11 9-8 5942C35C William Cox 28/1
05 Apr 25+8d Wolverhampton (AW) Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Handicap (Div 1) Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran Sluggish start - stayed at the back throughout - well held in 10th 10/11 nk 8-13 6073A46A Pierre-Louis Jamin 6/1
28 Mar 25+41d Lingfield (AW) Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Handicap Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran Sluggish start - travelled with eagerness in the pack - improved into third with over 2f left - drifted markedly to the left approaching the final furlong and a half before darting back inside - driven out but could only maintain effort in the closing stages - lacked the extra needed to land the finish 3/9 ¾ 9-6 5982B69A William Cox 8/1
15 Feb 25+12d Southwell (AW) Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Handicap (Div 2) Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 8 ran Sluggish start - settled at the back - made progress two out - pushed along approaching the final furlong - stayed on inside but lacked the speed to get closer 4/8 ¾ 9-5 6086A63A Pierre-Louis Jamin 4/1
03 Feb 25+46d Wolverhampton (AW) BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap (Div 1) Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran Sluggish start - settled at back - urged forward approaching 3f out - crept through on inner inside final 2f - hampered for space near the furlong marker then eased right to claim 3rd close home 3/9 ¾ 9-4 6091A71A Pierre-Louis Jamin 15/2
19 Dec 24+16d Southwell (AW) Win 2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Nursery Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran Struggled for pace towards the back - found space to improve inside final furlong - stayed on to finish fourth 4/11 nk 9-9 6065A66A Pierre-Louis Jamin 28/1
03 Dec 24+43d Lingfield (AW) BetMGM: It's Showtime Nursery Class 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran Settled at the back throughout and never competitive 10/10 6½ 9-6 6245A15A Pierre-Louis Jamin 13/2
21 Oct 24+56d Southwell (AW) Download The Raceday Ready App Nursery Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran Went straight to front - shown out until challenged 2f from home - had nothing more to give and dropped away quickly - finished 7th 7/12 1¼ 9-9 6473A59A Silvestre De Sousa 4/1
26 Aug 24+10d Epsom Downs Juddmonte EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Class 2 · 7f · Good · 10 ran Slow to break - driven towards the back - failed to threaten leading pace throughout - finished well held in 8th 8/10 1½ 9-7 —53B46A Pierre-Louis Jamin 33/1
16 Aug 24+21d Newbury Go Bonkers With Dizzee This Saturday EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) (Str) Class 4 · 8f · Good · 10 ran Sat close to front group early - drifted sharply left under pressure - dropped away 2f out - finished well held in 8th 8/10 ½ 9-7 —68B64A Pierre-Louis Jamin 200/1
26 Jul 24 York IRE-incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Class 3 · 7f · Good To Firm · 18 ran 12/18 2¼ 9-7 —52C54A Pierre-Louis Jamin 25/1

Quick answers

How many races has Risk (IRE) won?
Risk (IRE) has yet to win, from 14 archived starts between 2024 and 2025. Placed 2 times in total (14.3% of starts).
Who trained Risk (IRE)?
Risk (IRE) was trained by Tom Dascombe on the most recent run on record, at Leicester on 14 October 2025.
Who is Risk (IRE)'s sire?
Risk (IRE) is by Saxon Warrior (JPN) out of African Fable (GB), whose sire is Cape Cross.
What is Risk (IRE)'s official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 58, from the run on 14 October 2025. The highest on record is 64.
What is Risk (IRE)'s sire's record?
Saxon Warrior (JPN)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.5% of 2,871 runs since Jan 2008 (357 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on standard (aw) going: 14.9% from 928. Weakest on heavy going: 5.9% from 135.

Record shown from July 2024. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Runs in other countries are not in it, and earlier runs are not available from our data provider. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.