Tom Dascombe
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 150 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.93). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 13% off breaks of two months or more (87 runs).
Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 12.6% (n=87, Fair A/E 1.43), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 0% (n=34, Fair A/E 0.00). Pierre-Louis Jamin rides 42% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (11%, A/E 1.10) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Hurdle races (17.1%, n=35) and over 1m5f – 2m (15.4%, n=52). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 0% over 38 runners, 9.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m2f – 1m4f: Fair A/E 0.39 across 96 runners (3.1% strike, −65.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 43 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Palmerstown House Estate Irish St. Leger at Curragh (Sep 2014, £174,000). The stable star of the record: Chosen Character (IRE) — 10 wins from 80 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 7,202 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 7,202 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 28 November 2005 to 17 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Tom Dascombe's strike rate?
- Tom Dascombe has won 69 of 755 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.1% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Tom Dascombe do best at?
- Windsor by strike rate: 5 wins from 34 runners (14.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Tom Dascombe?
- Pierre-Louis Jamin, with 319 runners since 2022 — 42% of the total. That pairing has won 35 (11%).
- Is Tom Dascombe in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 9 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Tom Dascombe's Fair A/E?
- 0.93, from 750 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.