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Horse profile

Sarnia Swan (FR)

3yo filly (at last run, Jan 2024) · Last trainer Amy Murphy · Last owner Nick Bradley Racing 50 Partners
by Toronado (IRE) out of Lucky Lot (GB) (Exceed And Excel)
1 run · 1 course · from Jan 2024
As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 13 Jan 2024 — 1,027 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Jan 2024 · 7th of 9 First-time headgear LTO
KTB Profile

Sarnia Swan (FR) is a lightly raced filly by Toronado (IRE) whose progeny in the archive have won 407 of 3,843 runs since Jan 2008 with a strongest trip under 6f. Her dam Lucky Lot has produced two winners from three runners to race including Lady Luck with two wins. She made her only start in a Class 5 maiden at Chelmsford City (AW) over 6f to 7f on standard going in Jan 2024 where she finished 7 of 9 in first-time headgear.

Based on 1 archived run · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed — no A or B graded figure in the last 3 runs; the figures below carry grade C

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Flat 1 figure · too few for a breakdown

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 1 figure from 1 run · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 30C the best of the last 1 rated run · Chelmsford City (AW), 13 Jan 2024

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code — its best recent day. The KTB Rating on a racecard is a different reading of the same figures: the level the horse has been running to, an average of up to its last six runs with the latest counting most, so the two can differ. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Flat 1 figure · too few for a breakdown

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 1 figure from 1 run · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.

Pedigree intelligence

Sire

Progeny in our archive have won 10.5% of 3,895 runs since Apr 2018 (417 horses).

Weakest on heavy going: 6.5% from 199. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 15.3% from 144.

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm13430.8%+20.3—
Good to Firm3553911%+0.5—
Good6256810.9%+0.4—
Good to Soft5566411.5%+1—
Soft542478.7%−1.8—
Heavy199136.5%−4—
Standard (AW)1,60517410.8%+0.30 from 1
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f1442215.3%+4.8—
6f – 7f1,16912410.6%+0.10 from 1
1m – 1m1f1,37815111%+0.5—
1m2f – 1m4f874788.9%−1.6—
1m5f – 2m2272912.8%+2.3—
2m1f – 2m4f9355.4%−5.1—
2m5f – 3m900%−10.5—
Over 3m100%−10.5—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Apr 2018 · as at 5 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Lucky Lot (GB) (Exceed And Excel)

3 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Lady Luck (FR) (2 wins).

The wins came over 5½f–7f; the highest grade won is Class 6 (Lucky Shake (FR)).

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Lady Luck (FR)2627f—
Lucky Shake (FR)1815½fClass 6
Equilot (FR)180——

Too few runs for meaningful splits. The full record is below.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt SpdKTB Jockey SP
2024 · 1 run
13 Jan 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Racing Welfare Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 7/9 9 8-2 35C30C Laura Coughlan 50/1

Quick answers

How many races has Sarnia Swan won?
Sarnia Swan (FR) has yet to win, from 1 archived start in 2024.
Who trained Sarnia Swan?
Sarnia Swan (FR) was trained by Amy Murphy on the most recent run on record, at Chelmsford City (AW) on 13 January 2024.
Who is Sarnia Swan's sire?
Sarnia Swan (FR) is by Toronado (IRE) out of Lucky Lot (GB), whose sire is Exceed And Excel.
What is Sarnia Swan's sire's record?
Toronado (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.5% of 3,895 runs since Apr 2018 (417 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on heavy going: 6.5% from 199. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 15.3% from 144.
Who are Sarnia Swan's siblings?
Out of Lucky Lot (GB), Sarnia Swan (FR) has 3 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Lady Luck (FR) (2). Highest grade won: Class 6 (Lucky Shake (FR)). The wins came over 5½f–7f. As at Nov 2026.

Record shown from January 2024. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Any runs before that, or in other countries, are not in it. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.