Laura Coughlan
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 110 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.83).
Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 1.9% (n=54, Fair A/E 0.34). The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 5.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.79 and −202.55 to a £1 stake over 480 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Archie Watson supplies 19% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (6.9%, A/E 0.93). The rider also reads well on Good to Firm going (11.1%, n=99). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 2.1% over 47 rides, 4.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider over 1m2f – 1m4f: Fair A/E 0.40 across 78 rides (2.6% strike, −38.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.2% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2016→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 903 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 903 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 14 July 2016 to 5 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 12 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · to 12 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Laura Coughlan's strike rate?
- Laura Coughlan has won 33 of 534 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.2% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Laura Coughlan do best at?
- Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 2 wins from 30 rides (6.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Laura Coughlan ride most for?
- Archie Watson, with 101 rides since 2022 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (6.9%).
- Is Laura Coughlan in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 4 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Laura Coughlan's Fair A/E?
- 0.83, from 527 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.