What is Amy Murphy's strike rate?

Amy Murphy has won 148 of 1,579 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.4% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Amy Murphy do best at?

Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 15 wins from 97 runners (15.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Amy Murphy?

Jack Quinlan, with 149 runners since 2022 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 15 (10.1%).

Is Amy Murphy in form?

In the last 14 days: 16 runners, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 9.4% since 2022.

What is Amy Murphy's Fair A/E?

1.01, from 1,572 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Amy Murphy

1,579 runners in the last 5 seasons · 278 individual horses

As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 1.2% of 258 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 21 Oct 2026.

Last runner yesterday

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)

from 1 Jan 2022

148–1,579

Wins / Runs

9.4%

Strike rate

n=1,579

404 (26%)

Placed

1.01

Fair A/E

n=1,572 · 0.85 incl. margin

−437.69

£1 level stake

n=1,578 at SP · −27.7%

£2.75m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

12.9%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 320 runners a season, winning with 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.01). In Group and Graded company the record reads 11% (108 runs). The yard is quiet just now — 0 winners in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,579 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar 35.1% when favourite Jack Quinlan: 10.1% from 149 Sends off the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Lingfield (AW) (15.5%, n=97), clear of the yard's 9.4% baseline. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 5.6% (n=160, Fair A/E 0.81). Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 0 from 16 runners in the last 14 days (0%, 9.4pts below the 9.4% baseline). Jack Quinlan rides 9% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.1%, A/E 1.18) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Heavy going (18.1%, n=72). 17 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Qatar Prix Chaudenay at Longchamp (FR) (Oct 2026, £104,310). The stable star of the record: Mercian Prince (IRE) — 13 wins from 52 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.8%−1.6

n=217 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −88.72

New recruits · first run for the yard

7.4%−2.0

n=68 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −30.00

Debutants · first career start

7.8%−1.6

n=193 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −54.95

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5.6%−3.8

n=160 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −93.15

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

6.3%−3.1

n=48 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −14.50

When favourite

35.1%

n=94 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −8.59

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.2%−1.2

n=355 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −107.31

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

11.1%+1.7

n=108 · A/E 1.30 · £1 −31.80

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 18% vs 9.4% · n=133

On Heavy going 18.1% vs 9.4% · n=72

With M Barzalona 17.9% vs 9.4% · n=39

At Lingfield (AW) 15.5% vs 9.4% · n=97

With Tony Piccone 14.7% vs 9.4% · n=109

With Lewis Edmunds 16.7% vs 9.4% · n=30

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,395 131 9.4% −386.43

Hurdle 130 11 8.5% −38.34

Chase 34 5 14.7% −1.42

NH Flat 20 1 5% −11.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 583 49 8.4% −123.85

Good 265 25 9.4% −144.24

Good to Soft 245 22 9% −62.22

Soft 241 26 10.8% −19.72

Good to Firm 173 13 7.5% −104.59

Heavy 72 13 18.1% +16.93

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 108 6 5.6% −37.00

Chelmsford City (AW) 104 12 11.5% +8.25

Lingfield (AW) 97 15 15.5% +9.58

Chantilly 97 12 12.4% +29.65

Deauville 92 8 8.7% −65.90

Wolverhampton (AW) 91 6 6.6% −49.38

Southwell (AW) 75 4 5.3% −39.50

Saint-Cloud (FR) 74 8 10.8% −30.00

Yarmouth 70 10 14.3% −13.19

Leicester 34 3 8.8% +11.00

Newcastle (AW) 29 2 6.9% +4.00

Southwell 26 2 7.7% −16.67

Windsor 25 0 0% −25.00

Doncaster 25 0 0% −25.00

Lingfield 24 0 0% −24.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 445 36 8.1% −147.58

Class 4 295 21 7.1% −134.93

Class 6 271 25 9.2% −93.99

Class 1 116 13 11.2% −35.47

Class 3 79 9 11.4% −28.84

Class 2 62 6 9.7% +8.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 108 36 33.3% 1.12 −9.93

2nd–3rd fav 346 60 17.3% 1.08 −32.26

4th–6th fav 538 36 6.7% 0.87 −131.70

7th+ in betting 586 16 2.7% 0.89 −263.80

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Tarbaan (IRE) 32 4 8 26 Nov 24

Sharp Distinction (GB)from Dean Ivory · then Lemos De Souza 27 3 10 30 Jan 25

Fillyfudge (GB)then Lemos De Souza 26 3 10 5 Dec 24

Awtaad Prince (IRE) 26 2 4 4 Dec 24

Thegreatestshowman (GB) 21 0 3 20 Aug 23

Kaleb (IRE) 20 2 9 18 Sep 24

George Morland (GB)from Henry Candy 20 3 4 27 Aug 23

Pride Of America (FR)from Harry Dunlop 19 6 11 4 Oct 25

Royal Bliss (IRE) 19 2 5 18 Jun 24

Calleveryoneuknow (GB) 17 0 2 10 Feb 24

Baileys Polka Dot (FR) 16 2 3 17 Sep 24

Fly Pass (IRE) 16 1 5 24 Apr 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 278 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 17 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Dean Ivory (2); 43 had their first archived run for this yard.

19 have since run for another yard, most often for Lemos De Souza (7) and Sarah Humphrey (2); 41 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

0 from 16 0% · −9.4pts vs baseline

Last 14 days0%

5-season base9.4%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

814141013912781065

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJack Quinlan

9% of all rides
10.1% SR · A/E 1.18

RiderRWSR£1

Jack Quinlan 149 15 10.1% +0.16

E Verhestraeten 128 18 14.1% −22.53

Frederick Larson 117 10 8.5% −25.77

Stefano Cherchi 114 5 4.4% −80.77

Tony Piccone 109 16 14.7% +12.65

Adam Farragher 74 7 9.5% −25.50

Silvestre De Sousa 47 4 8.5% −16.17

Ryan Kavanagh 47 2 4.3% −35.50

Tom Marquand 41 5 12.2% −15.38

George Wood 41 3 7.3% −3.50

M Barzalona 39 7 17.9% −19.58

Hollie Doyle 35 3 8.6% +3.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→

296

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£4.26m

Prize money

2024

Best season · 41 wins

Jabracadabra (FR) — Qatar Prix Chaudenay Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2026 · Group 2

£104,310

Pride Of America (FR) — John Smith's Cup Handicap (Heritage Handicap) York · Jul 2023 · Class 2

£103,080

Kalashnikov (IRE) — Betfair Hurdle (Grade 3 Handicap) Newbury · Feb 2018 · Grade 3

£88,273

Notable horses

Mercian Prince (IRE) Kalashnikov (IRE) Hawthorn Cottage (IRE) Really Super (GB) Thegreatestshowman (GB) Blessed To Empress (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Tamayuz (GB) 11.1% · 7–63

Progeny have won 10.4% of 5,181 runs since 2008 (401 horses).

Kodiac (GB) 10% · 5–50

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,538 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.

Mehmas (IRE) 20.8% · 10–48

Progeny have won 11.6% of 8,110 runs since 2008 (747 horses).

Camacho (GB) 8.1% · 3–37

Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,320 runs since 2008 (596 horses).

Havana Grey (GB) 8.1% · 3–37

Progeny have won 13.3% of 4,538 runs since 2008 (416 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.3% from 104. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10.3% from 408.

Soldier's Call (GB) 10.8% · 4–37

Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,099 runs since 2008 (215 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.1% from 198. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.1% from 243.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,974 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,974 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 September 2016 to 20 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

20 Oct 26 Clairefontaine (FR) City Solace (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix Le Calvados Fete Le Cheval (Prix Ashmore)8f · Heavy · 9 ran 4th 4/1

20 Oct 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Royal Rizzi (FR)J: Ebbe Verhestraeten Prix Merci Aux Partenaires & Exposants De Clairefontaine (Prix Madina)7f · Heavy · 11 ran 8th 7/2

19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Eternal Blessing (FR)J: Ebbe Verhestraeten Prix De La Foret De Cerisy9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 14th 12/1

19 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Kalaniel (GB)J: Baptiste Le Clerc Prix De Saint-raphael17f · Heavy · 12 ran 6th 8/1

16 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Big Victor (FR)J: Ebbe Verhestraeten Prix Des Biches11f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 4th 11/4

16 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Fizzy (GB)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix Maitres Et Sous-maitres De Manege Du Regiment De Cavalerie6f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 6th 25/1

16 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Lamego (GB)J: Ebbe Verhestraeten Prix Maitres Et Sous-maitres De Manege Du Regiment De Cavalerie6f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 5th 2/1

16 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Gran Habano (IRE)J: Ebbe Verhestraeten Prix Des MyosotisClass 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 2nd 15/2

15 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Wonder Baileys (FR)J: Ebbe Verhestraeten Prix Du Jardin Anglais6f · Good · 6 ran 4th 20/1

15 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Silk Roadster (GB)J: Marie Velon Prix De La Vierge De LoretteClass 2 · 6f · Good · 16 ran 13th 10/1

15 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Sweet Chop (FR)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix De La Vierge De LoretteClass 2 · 6f · Good · 16 ran 8th 3/1F

14 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Van Blutch (FR)J: Tony Piccone Prix Tornado12.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 2nd 3/1

10 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Farflies (IRE)J: Ebbe Verhestraeten Prix De La ColleraieClass 3 · 9f · Soft · 15 ran 14th 40/1

10 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Dream Of Glory (IRE)J: Ebbe Verhestraeten Prix SaracaClass 1 · 7f · Soft · 6 ran 6th 18/1

10 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Celtic Moon (FR)J: Tony Piccone Prix SaracaClass 1 · 7f · Soft · 6 ran 4th 40/1

09 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Confluent (IRE)J: Ebbe Verhestraeten Prix De Jaux10f · Very Soft · 10 ran 2nd 28/1

06 Oct 26 Lyon Parilly (FR) Elmo Putney (FR)J: Ebbe Verhestraeten Prix De Cuisery8f · Soft · 7 ran 2nd 7/1

05 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Lamego (GB)J: Tony Piccone Prix De Cagnes-sur-Mer6.5f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 5/2

05 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Appleblossomwhite (IRE)J: Marie Velon Prix Du PeveleClass 4 · 12.5f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 4/1

05 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Soldiers Chorus (IRE)J: S Castela Prix Capitaine Riquet - Handicap ChallengeClass 4 · 12.5f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Amy Murphy's strike rate?: Amy Murphy has won 148 of 1,579 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.4% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Amy Murphy do best at?: Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 15 wins from 97 runners (15.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Amy Murphy?: Jack Quinlan, with 149 runners since 2022 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 15 (10.1%).
Is Amy Murphy in form?: In the last 14 days: 16 runners, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 9.4% since 2022.
What is Amy Murphy's Fair A/E?: 1.01, from 1,572 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.