Scotsman's Bay (FR)
Scotsman's Bay (FR) is yet to win from 12 starts, though has placed twice. Best effort: 3rd of 12 at Bellewstown (Aug 2018).
- 0–12Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 2 (16.7%)Placed
- −12.00£1 level staken=12 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=12 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 94Highest OR
- 95dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 126
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 2 | 55C | 36.5 | — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 126A | 70 | — |
| Good | 2 | 76C | 75 | — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 4 | 126A | 75.5 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 2 | 76C | 45 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 12 runs looked at, 5 have no figure: obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (2) · did not complete (1) · no standard for this course, surface and code on the window (1) · not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 7 figures from 12 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.3% of 5,841 runs since Jan 2008 (682 horses).
Weakest on standard (aw) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 1 | 1 | 100% | +88.7 | — |
| Good to Firm | 80 | 16 | 20% | +8.7 | — |
| Good | 1,531 | 188 | 12.3% | +1 | 0 from 3 |
| Good to Soft | 1,220 | 135 | 11.1% | −0.2 | 0 from 3 |
| Soft | 1,896 | 214 | 11.3% | 0 | 0 from 4 |
| Heavy | 777 | 86 | 11.1% | −0.2 | 0 from 2 |
| Standard (AW) | 336 | 22 | 6.5% | −4.8 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −11.3 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 71 | 8 | 11.3% | 0 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 249 | 8 | 3.2% | −8.1 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 493 | 64 | 13% | +1.7 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,574 | 193 | 12.3% | +1 | 0 from 6 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1,978 | 202 | 10.2% | −1.1 | 0 from 3 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1,234 | 154 | 12.5% | +1.2 | 0 from 3 |
| Over 3m | 239 | 33 | 13.8% | +2.5 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 28 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
6 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Newton Tornado (FR) (3 wins).
The wins came over 2m4f–3m; the highest grade won is Class 3 (Newton Tornado (FR)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newton Tornado (FR) | 11 | 3 | 2m4f–3m | Class 3 |
| Nova Cristina (FR) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
| Need You (FR) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
| Nom De Famille (FR) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
| Belle Et Chic (FR) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
| New Ball (FR) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Heavy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Limerick | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Kilbeggan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Wexford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leopardstown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Fairyhouse | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Roscommon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Clonmel | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bellewstown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kilbeggan (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Gowran Park | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor McNamara | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Mr T E Doran | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Mr M J O'Hare | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Robbie Power | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ryan Treacy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mr L P Gilligan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Miss A B O'Connor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Denis O'Regan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tongue tie | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| None | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Hood + tongue tie | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2019 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2018 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| NH Flat | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Flat | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 05 Aug 20+13d | Wexford | Bann Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2) | 10/11 | 44 | 11-12 | 93 | 18C | 86C | Robbie Power | 15/2 |
| 23 Jul 20+143d | Limerick | Newcastle West Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2) | UR/14 | — | 11-7 | 93 | — | — | Conor McNamara | 11/2 |
| 02 Mar 20+37d | Leopardstown | Tri Equestrian Handicap Hurdle (80-109) | 5/16 | 1½ | 10-6 | 94 | — | 98A | Conor McNamara | 16/1 |
| 25 Jan 20+28d | Fairyhouse | Free Racecourse WiFi At Fairyhouse Maiden Hurdle | 13/25 | 5½ | 11-9 | — | 55C | 102C | Ryan Treacy | 100/1 |
| 2019 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 28 Dec 19+113d | Limerick | Future Ticketing Maiden Hurdle | 8/16 | 1½ | 10-11 | — | 77C | 90C | Conor McNamara | 66/1 |
| 06 Sep 19+13d | Kilbeggan | September 6th Celebration Race Meeting (Pro/Am) Flat Race | 6/10 | 2¾ | 11-7 | — | — | 60C | Mr T E Doran | 25/1 |
| 24 Aug 19+327d | Kilbeggan | Follow Kilbeggan Racecourse On Instagram Flat Race | 10/12 | 2 | 11-7 | — | 14C | 87C | Mr T E Doran | 16/1 |
| 2018 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 01 Oct 18+11d | Roscommon | Roscommon On-Course Vets Maiden Hurdle | 11/17 | nk | 10-11 | — | 76C | 91C | Mr L P Gilligan | 20/1 |
| 20 Sep 18+21d | Clonmel | Munster (Pro/Am) Flat Race | 6/10 | 7½ | 11-11 | — | 126A | 98A | Mr M J O'Hare | 9/2 |
| 30 Aug 18+19d | Bellewstown | Woods Financial Services Ltd. (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race | 3/12 | 2¼ | 11-9 | — | — | 78A | Miss A B O'Connor | 6/1 |
| 11 Aug 18+316d | Kilbeggan (IRE) | Summer Party Pack Discount Group Booking INH Flat Race | 3/14 | 8½ | 11-11 | — | 74B | 108A | Mr M J O'Hare | 7/1 |
| 2017 · 1 run | ||||||||||
| 29 Sep 17 | Gowran Park | Paulstown Maiden Hurdle | F/19 | — | 11-7 | — | — | — | Denis O'Regan | 25/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Scotsman's Bay won?
- Scotsman's Bay (FR) has yet to win, from 12 archived starts between 2017 and 2020. Placed 2 times in total (16.7% of starts).
- Who trained Scotsman's Bay?
- Scotsman's Bay (FR) was trained by E McNamara on the most recent run on record, at Wexford on 5 August 2020.
- Who is Scotsman's Bay's sire?
- Scotsman's Bay (FR) is by Soldier of Fortune (IRE) out of New Saga (FR), whose sire is Sagamix.
- What is Scotsman's Bay's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 93, from the run on 5 August 2020. The highest on record is 94.
- What is Scotsman's Bay's sire's record?
- Soldier of Fortune (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.3% of 5,841 runs since Jan 2008 (682 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on standard (aw) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.
- Who are Scotsman's Bay's siblings?
- Out of New Saga (FR), Scotsman's Bay (FR) has 6 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Newton Tornado (FR) (3). Highest grade won: Class 3 (Newton Tornado (FR)). The wins came over 2m4f–3m. As at Oct 2026.