What is Denis O'Regan's strike rate?

Denis O'Regan has won 30 of 439 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.8% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Denis O'Regan do best at?

Kilbeggan by strike rate: 5 wins from 34 rides (14.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Denis O'Regan ride most for?

Gordon Elliott, with 88 rides since 2022 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (4.5%).

What is Denis O'Regan's Fair A/E?

0.84, from 439 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Denis O'Regan

439 rides in the last 5 seasons · 282 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Sep 2025 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

30–439

Wins / Runs

6.8%

Strike rate

n=439

101 (23%)

Placed

0.84

Fair A/E

n=439 · 0.68 incl. margin

−236.45

£1 level stake

n=439 at SP · −53.9%

£581k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 90 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.84). In Group and Graded company the record reads 9% (69 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 439 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 7.8% 21.9% when favourite Gordon Elliott: 4.5% from 88 Rides the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Kilbeggan (14.7%, n=34), clear of the rider's 6.8% baseline. It is weakest at Punchestown (0% over 41 rides) — the widest gap in the record. First rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 2.2% (n=225, Fair A/E 0.36). The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 4.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.69 and −182.75 to a £1 stake over 261 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Gordon Elliott supplies 20% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (4.5% vs 6.8%, A/E 0.56). The rider also reads well in Chase races (10.2%, n=108). The market has consistently overbet the rider over 2m5f – 3m: Fair A/E 0.51 across 114 rides (4.4% strike, −96.30 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 41 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Guinness Galway Hurdle Handicap at Galway (IRE) (Jul 2015, £180,500). The standout partner of the record: Tidal Bay (IRE) — 6 wins from 14 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

2.2%−4.6

n=225 · A/E 0.36 · £1 −199.43

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

5.4%−1.4

n=37 · A/E 0.38 · £1 −29.12

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

7.8%+1.0

n=90 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −33.25

When favourite

21.9%

n=32 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −16.20

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.2%−2.6

n=261 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −182.75

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8.7%+1.9

n=69 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −43.87

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Kilbeggan 14.7% vs 6.8% · n=34

At Punchestown 0% vs 6.8% · n=41

On first rides for the horse 2.2% vs 6.8% · n=225

In Chase races 10.2% vs 6.8% · n=108

Over 2m5f – 3m 4.4% vs 6.8% · n=114

Over 2m1f – 2m4f 9% vs 6.8% · n=166

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 329 19 5.8% −176.65

Chase 108 11 10.2% −57.80

Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 193 12 6.2% −98.37

Good 89 8 9% −47.65

Good to Soft 78 6 7.7% −39.68

Heavy 77 4 5.2% −48.75

Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Fairyhouse 47 2 4.3% −12.00

Punchestown 41 0 0% −41.00

Kilbeggan 34 5 14.7% +3.07

Navan 28 1 3.6% −25.75

Galway 28 2 7.1% −16.50

Naas 25 2 8% −17.00

Limerick 23 2 8.7% −17.37

Cork 21 0 0% −21.00

Thurles 20 1 5% −18.43

Leopardstown 20 0 0% −20.00

Wexford 20 2 10% +2.00

Clonmel 16 1 6.3% −8.00

Tramore 15 1 6.7% −8.50

Tipperary 14 1 7.1% −10.25

Gowran Park 13 1 7.7% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 70 6 8.6% −44.87

Class 4 8 1 12.5% −6.47

Class 5 5 0 0% −5.00

Class 2 2 1 50% +7.00

Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 38 8 21.1% 0.74 −19.20

2nd–3rd fav 74 13 17.6% 1.15 −3.75

4th–6th fav 125 7 5.6% 0.82 −59.50

7th+ in betting 202 2 1% 0.39 −154.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

87.2% completed · 437 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 108 76.9% 5 1 17 2 0

Hurdle 329 90.6% 10 2 19 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Fiveonefive (IRE) 7 3 4 6 Nov 23

Everglow (GB) 7 1 3 14 May 23

Misty's Gift (IRE) 6 0 2 7 Jul 23

Suttons Hill (IRE) 6 0 5 7 Jul 23

Brandy Harbour (GB) 6 0 3 29 Oct 22

Corkbeg (IRE) 5 1 1 21 Jul 23

Gaoth Chuil (IRE) 5 1 2 5 Feb 23

Sphagnum (IRE) 5 2 4 16 Sep 22

Sargent Lightfoot (IRE) 4 2 2 31 Jul 23

Florey Spud (IRE) 4 0 2 18 May 23

Ossifer Hops (IRE) 4 1 2 5 May 23

Cocoplum (IRE) 4 0 1 21 Dec 22

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 282 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

55106901375823

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardGordon Elliott

20% of all rides
4.5% SR · A/E 0.56

TrainerRWSR£1

Gordon Elliott 88 4 4.5% −69.25

Noel Meade 30 3 10% −20.55

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

788

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£10.8m

Prize money

2008

Best season · 82 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Quick Jack (IRE) — Guinness Galway Hurdle Handicap Galway (IRE) · Jul 2015 · Grade A

£180,500

Inglis Drever (GB) — Ladbrokes.com World Hurdle (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2008 · Class 1

£142,550

Ansar (IRE) — Hewlett-Packard Galway Plate (Handicap Chase) Galway · Jul 2005 · Grade A

£121,800

Notable horses

Tidal Bay (IRE) Sea Lord (IRE) Striking Article (IRE) Church Island (IRE) Arcadian Sunrise (IRE) Companero (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Presenting (GB) 4% · 1–25

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Dylan Thomas (IRE) 26.7% · 4–15

Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,493 runs since 2011 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.

Leading Light (IRE) 13.3% · 2–15

Progeny have won 8.2% of 2,214 runs since 2018 (226 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.6% from 241.

Walk In The Park (IRE) 0% · 0–14

Progeny have won 13.4% of 7,040 runs since 2011 (707 horses).

Stowaway (GB) 7.7% · 1–13

Progeny have won 11.3% of 7,190 runs since 2008 (561 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 124.

Doyen (IRE) 8.3% · 1–12

Progeny have won 11.6% of 7,381 runs since 2009 (606 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 7,304 · newest first

The latest 50 of 7,304 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 14 September 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

14 Sep 25 Doncaster Chambers (IRE)T: Faye Bramley IPM Group Leger Legends Classified Stakes (Str)Class 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 10th 17/2

18 Nov 23 Navan Solly Attwell (IRE)T: Cian Collins Kilberry Pub & Kitchen Maiden Hurdle20f · Soft To Heavy · 16 ran 16th 150/1

17 Nov 23 Wexford Tramps Like Us (IRE)T: David Harry Kelly BoyleSports Maiden Hurdle20f · Heavy · 12 ran PU 25/1

16 Nov 23 Punchestown Majestic Design (IRE)T: Declan Queally Ladbrokes Play '1-2-Free' On Football Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Soft · 22 ran 17th 125/1

11 Nov 23 Gowran Park Perzzini (IRE)T: Mrs Lorna Fowler GAIN Equine Nutrition Novice Handicap Hurdle16f · Heavy · 10 ran UR 5/1

11 Nov 23 Gowran Park Fromheretoeternity (IRE)T: Declan Queally Proficient Engineering Irish EBF Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 15 ran 11th 200/1

11 Nov 23 Gowran Park Crecora Hills (IRE)T: Robert Tyner PRL Group Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)16f · Heavy · 15 ran 4th 50/1

10 Nov 23 Down Royal Leahs Tricks (IRE)T: P E Collins Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Feathard Lady Mares Novice Hurdle (Fillies' And Mares' Grade 3)17f · Soft · 12 ran 9th 150/1

07 Nov 23 Fairyhouse Solly Attwell (IRE)T: Cian Collins Winter Festival 2nd & 3rd December Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 14 ran 5th 33/1

06 Nov 23 Hereford Fiveonefive (IRE)T: Cian Collins Play Beat Sav At PlanetSportBet Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 1st 8/15F

05 Nov 23 Cork Jetaway To Getaway (IRE)T: Cian Collins Paddy Power Dear Lord I've Left The Immersion On Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Soft · 18 ran 11th 50/1

06 Aug 23 Galway Arabian King (GB)T: Cian Collins Kenny Galway Handicap Hurdle24.5f · Yielding · 16 ran 7th 18/1

04 Aug 23 Galway Pat Coyne (IRE)T: John Queally Guinness Galway Blazers Handicap Chase22.5f · Good · 17 ran 12th 25/1

04 Aug 23 Galway Fiveonefive (IRE)T: Cian Collins Guinness Galway Tribes Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 20 ran 6th 14/1

03 Aug 23 Galway Mighty Tom (IRE)T: Cian Collins Guinness Galway Hurdle Handicap (Grade 3)16f · Good To Yielding · 19 ran 6th 12/1

02 Aug 23 Galway Visionarian (IRE)T: Peter Fahey Tote Galway Plate (Grade 3 Handicap Chase)22.5f · Good To Yielding · 22 ran 5th 18/1

31 Jul 23 Galway Sargent Lightfoot (IRE)T: Adrian Murray Easyfix Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16.5f · Soft · 19 ran 8th 33/1

21 Jul 23 Kilbeggan Royal Juniper (IRE)T: A J Martin Summer Saturday Festival August 12th Handicap Chase (0-95)19f · Soft · 14 ran 4th 12/1

21 Jul 23 Kilbeggan Mr Dibbs (IRE)T: Adrian Murray Tote Fantasy Who's In Your Stable Maiden Hurdle18f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 2nd 6/1

21 Jul 23 Kilbeggan Corkbeg (IRE)T: David Harry Kelly Massey Ferguson Johnston Farm Equipment Longford Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)18f · Yielding To Soft · 15 ran 9th 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Denis O'Regan's strike rate?: Denis O'Regan has won 30 of 439 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.8% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Denis O'Regan do best at?: Kilbeggan by strike rate: 5 wins from 34 rides (14.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Denis O'Regan ride most for?: Gordon Elliott, with 88 rides since 2022 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (4.5%).
What is Denis O'Regan's Fair A/E?: 0.84, from 439 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.