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Trainer profile

E McNamara

922 runners in the last 5 seasons · 135 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Non-runners: 7.1% of 241 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 20 Oct 2026.
Last runner 2 days ago
from 1 Jan 2022
85–922
Wins / Runs
9.2%
Strike rate
n=922
248 (27%)
Placed
1.15
n=922 · 0.91 incl. margin
−40.89
£1 level stake
n=922 at SP · −4.4%
£1.41m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 180 runners a season, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.15). In Group and Graded company the record reads 12% (51 runs). The yard is quiet just now — 1 winner in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 922 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance 30.6% when favourite Conor McNamara: 9% from 267 Headgear returns: 11.4% Group/Graded: 11.8% Sends off the favourite in 9% of races
The read

It is weakest at Fairyhouse (2.7% over 37 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 0% (n=36, Fair A/E 0.00). Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 1 from 22 runners in the last 14 days (4.5%, 4.7pts below the 9.2% baseline). Conor McNamara rides 29% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9%, A/E 1.40) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (13.2%, n=266). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 2.4% over 85 runners, 6.8pts below the baseline. 21 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Paddy Power Chase at Leopardstown (Dec 2022, £110,000). The stable star of the record: Millstream Lady (IRE) — 7 wins from 26 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.9%−3.3
n=255 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −27.62
New recruits · first run for the yard
5.8%−3.4
n=69 · A/E 1.27 · £1 −11.00
Debutants · first career start
4.2%−5.0
n=48 · A/E 0.97 · £1 +16.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−9.2
n=36 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −36.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
11.4%+2.2
n=44 · A/E 1.44 · £1 −1.50
When favourite
30.6%
n=85 · A/E 1.24 · £1 +3.99
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.9%−0.3
n=349 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −57.47
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
11.8%+2.6
n=51 · A/E 1.66 · £1 +29.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With first-time headgear 0% vs 9.2% · n=36
Off a break of 180+ days 2.4% vs 9.2% · n=85
At Fairyhouse 2.7% vs 9.2% · n=37
Off a 15-30-day break 13.2% vs 9.2% · n=266
With debutants 4.2% vs 9.2% · n=48
With Patrick M O'Brien 14.3% vs 9.2% · n=35
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 556 53 9.5% −80.89
Chase 219 17 7.8% −27.50
Flat 119 15 12.6% +95.50
NH Flat 28 0 0% −28.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 344 36 10.5% −2.41
Good 230 16 7% −39.80
Good to Soft 170 12 7.1% +1.50
Heavy 145 17 11.7% +10.07
Standard (AW) 28 3 10.7% −12.75
Good to Firm 5 1 20% +2.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Limerick 213 24 11.3% −42.30
Listowel 132 11 8.3% −19.80
Killarney 117 10 8.5% −17.00
Cork 47 3 6.4% −22.00
Punchestown 41 3 7.3% −19.00
Galway 41 5 12.2% +34.53
Fairyhouse 37 1 2.7% −35.00
Ballinrobe 31 3 9.7% −9.17
Roscommon 29 3 10.3% +6.10
Tipperary 28 2 7.1% −16.75
Dundalk (AW) 27 3 11.1% −11.75
Thurles 25 1 4% −8.00
Clonmel 23 0 0% −23.00
Kilbeggan 19 1 5.3% −12.00
Wexford 14 0 0% −14.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 54 6 11.1% +26.50
Class 2 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 97 31 32% 1.36 +16.49
2nd–3rd fav 141 16 11.3% 0.80 −50.38
4th–6th fav 231 18 7.8% 1.03 −44.50
7th+ in betting 453 20 4.4% 1.45 +37.50
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
82.2% completed · 775 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 219 75.3% 10 11 33 0 0
Hurdle 556 84.9% 11 5 67 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Meehall (IRE) 33 4 16 28 Dec 25
My Friend The Wind (IRE) 30 2 12 12 Mar 26
Cahirdown Boy (IRE) 29 1 7 17 Oct 26
Hees Dynamite (IRE) 29 5 10 6 Oct 26
Millstream Lady (IRE) 26 7 13 17 Oct 26
Donkey Years (IRE) 24 2 9 25 Oct 25
Storm Mahler (IRE) 23 3 7 20 Aug 25
Say It So (IRE)from Denis Gerard Hogan 22 5 10 23 Aug 25
Ifitwasme (IRE) 21 3 5 25 Sep 25
Falco Blitz (IRE)from Nicky Henderson 20 2 4 30 May 26
Alpesh Amin (IRE) 18 3 7 21 Nov 25
Decimation (IRE)from Henry De Bromhead 17 0 5 4 Aug 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 135 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 30 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Gordon Elliott (3) and Emma Lavelle (2); 30 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard, most often for Gavin Cromwell (2); 54 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell
1 from 22 4.5% · −4.7pts vs baseline
Last 14 days4.5%
5-season base9.2%
Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
961062194159121011
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderConor McNamara
29% of all rides
9% SR · A/E 1.40
RiderRWSR£1
Conor McNamara 267 24 9% +53.33
Calum Hogan 127 11 8.7% −39.22
Sean Flanagan 72 9 12.5% −30.17
G B Noonan 43 5 11.6% +7.60
Patrick M O'Brien 35 5 14.3% −2.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
270
Archived wins
21
Pattern / graded wins
£4.45m
Prize money
2024
Best season · 31 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Real Steel (FR) — Paddy Power Chase (Extended Handicap Chase) (0-150) (Grade B) Leopardstown · Dec 2022 · Grade B
£110,000
Faltering Fullback (GB) — Guinness Kerry National Handicap Chase (grade A) Listowel · Sep 2012 · Grade A
£96,400
Ponmeoath (IRE) — Guinness Kerry National Handicap Chase Listowel · Sep 2008 · Grade B
£96,400

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Mahler (GB) 11.6% · 8–69
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,836 runs since 2008 (784 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Ocovango (GB) 12% · 6–50
Progeny have won 9.4% of 2,980 runs since 2008 (302 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.1% from 191.
Fame And Glory (GB) 8.1% · 3–37
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,203 runs since 2008 (504 horses).
Flemensfirth (USA) 14.3% · 5–35
Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,274 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).
Sholokhov (IRE) 6.5% · 2–31
Progeny have won 12.5% of 4,258 runs since 2008 (419 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.9% from 157.
Yeats (IRE) 3.4% · 1–29
Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,807 runs since 2008 (704 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 203. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 816.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,608 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,608 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 18 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Aboras Mahler (IRE)J: Mark Walsh PwC Mares Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran 3rd 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is E McNamara's strike rate?
E McNamara has won 85 of 922 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.2% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does E McNamara do best at?
Galway by strike rate: 5 wins from 41 runners (12.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for E McNamara?
Conor McNamara, with 267 runners since 2022 — 29% of the total. That pairing has won 24 (9%).
Is E McNamara in form?
In the last 14 days: 22 runners, 1 winner, a strike rate of 4.5%. That is below the baseline of 9.2% since 2022.
What is E McNamara's Fair A/E?
1.15, from 922 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).