Self Belief (IRE)
Self Belief won three of 13 starts on turf, including the Group 3 Aer Lingus College Football Classic Meld Stakes at Leopardstown in Jul 2023. All three wins came on soft ground, two at Leopardstown and one at the Curragh. The gelding, who last ran off an official rating of 103, finished fifth of five at Cork in Oct 2024.
- 3–13Wins / Runs
- 23.1%Strike rate
- 4 (30.8%)Placed
- +16.50£1 level staken=13 at SP
- 1.95Fair A/E n=13 · 1.66 incl. margin
- 107Highest OR
- 69dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 110
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 22 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 5 | 105C | 94 | — |
| Heavy | 4 | 100C | 88.5 | — |
| Good | 3 | 110A | 107 | — |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 22 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 7 | 140C | 105 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 6 | 104A | 85.5 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 13 figures from 13 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.1% of 3,601 runs since Jan 2008 (297 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 5 | 1 | 20% | +8.9 | — |
| Good to Firm | 341 | 43 | 12.6% | +1.5 | — |
| Good | 872 | 99 | 11.4% | +0.3 | 0 from 3 |
| Good to Soft | 435 | 56 | 12.9% | +1.8 | 0 from 1 |
| Soft | 695 | 71 | 10.2% | −0.9 | 3 from 5 |
| Heavy | 272 | 25 | 9.2% | −1.9 | 0 from 4 |
| Standard (AW) | 981 | 104 | 10.6% | −0.5 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 81 | 7 | 8.6% | −2.5 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 847 | 95 | 11.2% | +0.1 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,048 | 107 | 10.2% | −0.9 | 2 from 7 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 786 | 94 | 12% | +0.9 | 1 from 6 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 536 | 71 | 13.2% | +2.1 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 230 | 22 | 9.6% | −1.5 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 63 | 2 | 3.2% | −7.9 | — |
| Over 3m | 10 | 1 | 10% | −1.1 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
4 siblings in the archive, 4 winners — best of them Primo Lara (IRE) (5 wins).
The wins came over 6½f–1m6f; the highest grade won is Group 3 (Statement (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primo Lara (IRE) | 23 | 5 | 1m1½f–1m4f | Class 3 |
| Statement (IRE) | 18 | 3 | 6½f–1m | Group 3 |
| Mythical Bay (IRE) | 11 | 3 | 1m1½f–1m6f | Class 2 |
| Kynsa (IRE) | 16 | 2 | 1m | Class 5 |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 5 | 3 | 60% | +24.50 |
| Heavy | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Good | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leopardstown | 5 | 2 | 40% | +11.50 |
| Curragh | 4 | 1 | 25% | +9.00 |
| Cork | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Naas | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Listowel | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 7 | 2 | 29% | +13.50 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 6 | 1 | 17% | +3.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W J Lee | 11 | 2 | 18% | +9.50 |
| Nathan Crosse | 2 | 1 | 50% | +7.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 12 | 3 | 25% | +17.50 |
| Hood | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2023 | 6 | 1 | 17% | +1.50 |
| 2022 | 3 | 2 | 67% | +19.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct 24+75d | Cork | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Navigation Stakes (Listed) Settled towards the back early - pushed along with 2f left - unable to find more with a furlong and a half to go - lost ground in the closing stages to finish fifth | 5/5 | 7½ | 9-7 | 103 | 94C | 73B | W J Lee | 6/1 |
| 18 Jul 24+19d | Leopardstown | Meld Stakes (Group 3) | 4/7 | 3 | 9-9 | 103 | 107A | 87A | W J Lee | 17/2 |
| 29 Jun 24+23d | Curragh | Al Basti Equiworld Dubai International Stakes (Group 3) | 5/8 | 3 | 9-12 | 104 | 83A | 98A | W J Lee | 18/1 |
| 06 Jun 24+228d | Leopardstown | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Glencairn Stakes (Listed) | 4/8 | shd | 9-12 | 104 | 110A | 98A | W J Lee | 8/1 |
| 22 Oct 23+26d | Leopardstown | Thomas's Of Foxrock 'Jim And Kathleen Murphy' Memorial Trigo Stakes (Listed) | 7/8 | ¾ | 9-12 | 104 | 88A | 88A | W J Lee | 15/2 |
| 26 Sep 23+68d | Cork | Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Navigation Stakes (listed) | 7/13 | 1 | 9-12 | 104 | 100C | 92A | Nathan Crosse | 10/1 |
| 20 Jul 23+19d | Leopardstown | Aer Lingus College Football Classic Meld Stakes (Group 3) | 1/4 | 9-9 | 104 | 77C | 104B | W J Lee | 13/2 | |
| 01 Jul 23+76d | Curragh | Paddy Power International Stakes (Group 3) | 5/5 | 10 | 9-9 | 105 | 47C | 78C | W J Lee | 16/1 |
| 16 Apr 23+21d | Curragh | SP Or Better Guaranteed With Tote Alleged Stakes (Group 3) | 4/5 | 5 | 9-5 | 107 | 75C | 78B | W J Lee | 10/3 |
| 26 Mar 23+162d | Naas | Plusvital Devoy Stakes (listed) | 3/8 | 1½ | 9-10 | 107 | 89A | 93A | W J Lee | 9/4 |
| 15 Oct 22+25d | Leopardstown | Trigo Stakes (Listed) | 1/12 | 9-3 | — | 104A | 97A | Nathan Crosse | 8/1 | |
| 20 Sep 22+86d | Listowel | Edmund & Josie Whelan Memorial Listowel Stakes (Listed) | 5/16 | ¾ | 9-4 | — | 140C | 87A | W J Lee | 11/4F |
| 26 Jun 22 | Curragh | Barberstown Castle Irish Ebf Median Auction Maiden | 1/20 | 9-8 | — | 105C | 107A | W J Lee | 12/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Self Belief (IRE) won?
- Self Belief (IRE) won 3 of 13 archived starts between 2022 and 2024, a strike rate of 23.1%. Placed 4 times in total (30.8% of starts).
- Who trained Self Belief (IRE)?
- Self Belief (IRE) was trained by W McCreery on the most recent run on record, at Cork on 1 October 2024.
- Who is Self Belief (IRE)'s sire?
- Self Belief (IRE) is by Make Believe (GB) out of Fact Or Folklore (IRE), whose sire is Lope De Vega.
- What going does Self Belief (IRE) prefer?
- Self Belief (IRE) has the best record on soft going: 3 wins from 5 starts (60%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Self Belief (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 103, from the run on 1 October 2024. The highest on record is 107.
- What is Self Belief (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Make Believe (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.1% of 3,601 runs since Jan 2008 (297 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Self Belief (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Fact Or Folklore (IRE), Self Belief (IRE) has 4 other produce in our archive, 4 of them winners. Most wins: Primo Lara (IRE) (5). Highest grade won: Group 3 (Statement (IRE)). The wins came over 6½f–1m6f. As at Oct 2026.