Mythical Bay (IRE)
Mythical Bay is a gelding with three wins from 11 starts, all in handicaps or novice company between 1m and 2m. He won a Class 3 novice at Wolverhampton over 1m to 1m1f on standard going in Jan 2026 off 77, a Class 4 handicap at Newbury over 1m2f to 1m4f on good to soft in Jun 2026 off 80, and a Class 2 handicap at Newmarket over 1m5f to 2m on good to firm in Jul 2026 off 87. He finished 6 of 9 at York in Oct 2026 on his first run in first-time headgear.
- 3–11Wins / Runs
- 27.3%Strike rate
- 5 (45.5%)Placed
- −2.69£1 level staken=11 at SP
- 1.10Fair A/E n=10 · 0.93 incl. margin
- 92Highest OR
- 35dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 97
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 19 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 4 | 107C | 85 | 4 · 107 / 85 |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 110B | 82 | 3 · 110 / 82 |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | 1 · — |
| Good to Firm | 1 | — | — | 1 · — |
| Good | 1 | — | — | 1 · — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | 1 · — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 19 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 4 | 97A | 81.5 | 4 · 97 / 81.5 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 4 | 91A | 85 | 4 · 91 / 85 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 3 | 110B | 107 | 3 · 110 / 107 |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 11 figures from 11 runs · as at 17 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 6 analysed runs
- Held up 3 (50%) · 1 win
- Prominent 2 (33%) · 1 win
- Led 1 (17%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 14.3% of 3,931 runs since Jan 2008 (419 horses).
Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 8 | 0 | 0% | −14.3 | — |
| Good to Firm | 586 | 92 | 15.7% | +1.4 | 1 from 1 |
| Good | 994 | 140 | 14.1% | −0.2 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Soft | 466 | 69 | 14.8% | +0.5 | 1 from 3 |
| Soft | 609 | 78 | 12.8% | −1.5 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 167 | 25 | 15% | +0.7 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 1,101 | 160 | 14.5% | +0.2 | 1 from 4 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 102 | 11 | 10.8% | −3.5 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 1,175 | 182 | 15.5% | +1.2 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,252 | 164 | 13.1% | −1.2 | 1 from 4 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1,076 | 161 | 15% | +0.7 | 1 from 3 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 268 | 39 | 14.6% | +0.3 | 1 from 4 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 53 | 7 | 13.2% | −1.1 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 5 | 0 | 0% | −14.3 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 18 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
4 siblings in the archive, 4 winners — best of them Primo Lara (IRE) (5 wins).
The wins came over 6½f–1m4f; the highest grade won is Group 3 (Statement (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primo Lara (IRE) | 23 | 5 | 1m1½f–1m4f | Class 3 |
| Statement (IRE) | 18 | 3 | 6½f–1m | Group 3 |
| Self Belief (IRE) | 13 | 3 | 1m–1m2f | Group 3 |
| Kynsa (IRE) | 16 | 2 | 1m | Class 5 |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 4 | 1 | 25% | −2.60 |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 1 | 33% | −1.09 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.00 |
| Good | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 2 | 4 | 1 | 25% | +1.00 |
| Class 3 | 3 | 1 | 33% | −1.60 |
| Class 4 | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.09 |
| Class 5 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 3 | 1 | 33% | −1.60 |
| York | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Haydock | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newmarket | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.00 |
| Newbury | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.91 |
| Chester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bath | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 4 | 1 | 25% | +1.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 4 | 1 | 25% | −2.60 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 3 | 1 | 33% | −1.09 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callum Hutchinson | 5 | 2 | 40% | +1.40 |
| Oisin Murphy | 4 | 1 | 25% | −2.09 |
| Daniel Tudhope | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jason Watson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 10 | 3 | 30% | −1.69 |
| Cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8 | 3 | 38% | +0.31 |
| 2025 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct 26+34d | York | William Hill Finale Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race) raced freely early and went to the front - pushed along over 3f out - passed over 2f out - faded over 1f out and finished 6th | 6/9 | 7½ | 9-4 | 91 | 79A | 78A | Callum Hutchinson | 9/1 |
| 05 Sep 26+14d | Haydock | Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) Handy with the leading bunch - urged forward with 2f left - given a squeeze inside the final furlong - lost ground late but stayed on to finish seventh | 7/8 | nse | 9-5 | 92 | 81A | 81A | Daniel Tudhope | 100/30 |
| 22 Aug 26+49d | York | Sky Bet Melrose Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race) Went wide in the early stages - sat close to the pace - pressed for effort with 2f remaining - lost ground inside the final furlong to finish well beaten | 9/17 | ½ | 8-10 | 92 | 82C | 84A | Oisin Murphy | 4/1 |
| 04 Jul 26+23d | Newmarket | Betway Bet 10 Get 40 Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Settled close up early - moved into second spot over 2f out - closing on the front-runner inside the final furlong - driven to the front near the line - held on gamely to score | 1/7 | 9-6 | 87 | 97A | 88A | Callum Hutchinson | 4/1 | |
| 11 Jun 26+13d | Newbury | White Horse International Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Settled with strong enthusiasm early - tracked the pace group - pushed alongside the front-runner approaching 2f out - edged ahead inside the final furlong - powered clear to the finish | 1/7 | 9-9 | 80 | 110B | 98A | Oisin Murphy | 10/11F | |
| 29 May 26+22d | Wolverhampton (AW) | attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Set the pace early - matched by a rival approaching 3f out - driven approaching 2f out - found competition tough with a furlong left - overtaken and dropped to third close home - stayed on to finish third | 3/4 | hd | 9-4 | 80 | 107C | 81B | Oisin Murphy | 7/4F |
| 07 May 26+111d | Chester | Chester Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Pulled hard in behind early - tracked the leader throughout - pushed along 2f out - ran on inside the final furlong but drifted - just denied on the line | 2/8 | 1 | 8-10 | 77 | 84A | 87A | Oisin Murphy | 9/4F |
| 16 Jan 26+20d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Settled just behind the pace early - went in front approaching 2f out - pressed hard in the closing furlong - lost the advantage and drifted left with a furlong to go - dug in to regain the front near the line - held on for the win | 1/5 | 9-7 | 77 | 89C | 76B | Callum Hutchinson | 2/5F | |
| 27 Dec 25+30d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) Settled just behind the front group - moved into second spot with over 2f left - pushed along in the closing furlong - kept going but no match for the winner beaten 3 lengths in 2nd | 2/12 | 3 | 9-7 | — | 81A | 91A | Callum Hutchinson | 10/1 |
| 27 Nov 25+38d | Newcastle (AW) | Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Went straight to the front - pushed along and lost the advantage inside the final 2f - drifted left as the effort faded - finished 7th | 7/12 | 3¾ | 9-7 | — | 77A | 57A | Callum Hutchinson | 2/1 |
| 20 Oct 25 | Bath | BLTH Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Fought for control early - settled mid-pack - asked for effort inside final two furlongs then held on at one level through to the line | 4/7 | ½ | 9-7 | — | 91A | 67A | Jason Watson | 5/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Mythical Bay (IRE) won?
- Mythical Bay (IRE) won 3 of 11 archived starts between 2025 and 2026, a strike rate of 27.3%. Placed 5 times in total (45.5% of starts).
- Who trains Mythical Bay (IRE)?
- Mythical Bay (IRE) is trained by Andrew Balding, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 9 October 2026.
- Who is Mythical Bay (IRE)'s sire?
- Mythical Bay (IRE) is by New Bay (GB) out of Fact Or Folklore (IRE), whose sire is Lope De Vega.
- What going does Mythical Bay (IRE) prefer?
- Mythical Bay (IRE) has the best record on good to soft going: 1 win from 3 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Mythical Bay (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 91, from the run on 9 October 2026. The highest on record is 92.
- What is Mythical Bay (IRE)'s sire's record?
- New Bay (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 14.3% of 3,931 runs since Jan 2008 (419 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.
- Who are Mythical Bay (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Fact Or Folklore (IRE), Mythical Bay (IRE) has 4 other produce in our archive, 4 of them winners. Most wins: Primo Lara (IRE) (5). Highest grade won: Group 3 (Statement (IRE)). The wins came over 6½f–1m4f. As at Oct 2026.