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Trainer profile

W. McCreery

1,280 runners in the last 5 seasons · 156 individual horses
As at 24 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Non-runners: 9.3% of 322 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 24 Oct 2026.
Last runner yesterday 99% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
117–1,280
Wins / Runs
9.1%
Strike rate
n=1,280
367 (29%)
Placed
1.01
Fair A/E
n=1,276 · 0.81 incl. margin
−329.22
£1 level stake
n=1,280 at SP · −25.7%
£2.76m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
10.4%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 260 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.01). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 11% (80 runs, true-first definition).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,280 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 24 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Sep 30.1% when favourite W J Lee: 12.6% from 530 Sends off the favourite in 7% of races
The read

Debutants are the standout value angle: 8.7% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.40 and +38.50 to a £1 stake over 126 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet in Group and Graded company the record: 7.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.83 and −56.42 to a £1 stake over 145 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. W J Lee rides 41% of the entries and edges the yard's average (12.6% vs 9.1%, A/E 1.03) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well at trips under 6f (13.7%, n=197) and off a break of 180+ days (14.8%, n=61). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 4% over 126 runners, 5.1pts below the baseline. 41 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Coolmore Fastnet Rock Matron Stakes at Leopardstown (Sep 2014, £180,000). The stable star of the record: Mogwli (IRE) — 8 wins from 100 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7.5%−1.6
n=187 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −45.17
New recruits · first run for the yard
15.4%+6.3
n=13 · A/E 2.19 · £1 +15.00
Debutants · first career start
8.7%−0.4
n=126 · A/E 1.40 · £1 +38.50
First-time headgear · true-first definition
11.3%+2.2
n=80 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −15.35
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
9.8%+0.7
n=51 · A/E 1.28 · £1 −7.50
When favourite
30.1%
n=93 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −10.43
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.1%−1.0
n=259 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −37.63
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
7.6%−1.5
n=145 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −56.42

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Declan McDonogh 2.1% vs 9.1% · n=47
Off a 61-180-day break 4% vs 9.1% · n=126
At trips under 6f 13.7% vs 9.1% · n=197
Off a break of 180+ days 14.8% vs 9.1% · n=61
With W J Lee 12.6% vs 9.1% · n=530
With Nathan Crosse 5.4% vs 9.1% · n=333
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 1,266 115 9.1% −336.22
Hurdle 12 2 16.7% +9.00
Chase 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 487 47 9.7% −129.80
Soft 386 36 9.3% −99.63
Standard (AW) 132 8 6.1% −64.75
Heavy 129 11 8.5% −42.87
Good to Soft 98 11 11.2% +22.08
Good to Firm 48 4 8.3% −14.25

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Curragh 223 15 6.7% −87.75
Dundalk (AW) 130 8 6.2% −62.75
Leopardstown 119 13 10.9% +12.53
Gowran Park 116 12 10.3% −21.54
Naas 104 6 5.8% −59.50
Navan 99 13 13.1% +1.96
Cork 77 6 7.8% −24.25
Bellewstown 50 7 14% −2.80
Fairyhouse 50 3 6% −30.50
Down Royal 41 6 14.6% +0.70
Tipperary 40 5 12.5% −6.33
Roscommon 36 3 8.3% −18.20
Galway 33 1 3% −21.00
Killarney 33 4 12.1% −22.25
Limerick 33 5 15.2% +35.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 145 11 7.6% −56.42
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 117 35 29.9% 1.20 −1.10
2nd–3rd fav 274 30 10.9% 0.72 −125.12
4th–6th fav 373 38 10.2% 1.33 +36.00
7th+ in betting 516 14 2.7% 0.82 −239.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Mogwli (IRE) 60 5 12 12 Oct 26
Morning Approach (IRE) 59 3 15 7 Oct 26
Bella Colombia (IRE) 30 4 11 18 Oct 26
Happy Henry (IRE) 28 2 10 21 Oct 26
Great Mover (IRE) 28 1 10 18 Oct 26
Cnodian (IRE) 26 2 10 18 Oct 23
Party Dress (IRE) 25 3 6 8 Oct 26
Stag Night (IRE) 24 6 12 10 Oct 26
All Lies Ahead (IRE) 22 2 9 3 Nov 24
Downforce (IRE) 22 1 3 23 Oct 24
Steel Magnolia (IRE) 21 1 8 15 Oct 26
Navy Waters (IRE) 19 2 10 11 Oct 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 156 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 56 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard; 51 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady
2 from 22 9.1% · +0.0pts vs baseline
Last 14 days9.1%
5-season base9.1%
Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0098911611101078
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderW J Lee
41% of all rides
12.6% SR · A/E 1.03
RiderRWSR£1
W J Lee 530 67 12.6% −81.86
Nathan Crosse 333 18 5.4% −148.90
Megan Telford-Kelly 59 4 6.8% −14.00
Jessica Maye 56 3 5.4% +2.50
Declan McDonogh 47 1 2.1% −40.00
Leigh Roche 42 4 9.5% +4.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→
427
Archived wins
41
Pattern / graded wins
£8.95m
Prize money
2013
Best season · 31 wins
Fiesolana (IRE) — Coolmore Fastnet Rock Matron Stakes (Fillies' Group 1) Leopardstown · Sep 2014 · Group 1
£180,000
Jancis (IRE) — Betfred Dahlia Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Group 2) Newmarket · May 2026 · Group 2
£93,572
Colour Blue (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. 'Sovereign Path' Handicap Leopardstown · Sep 2016
£88,500
Notable horses
Mogwli (IRE) Downforce (IRE) Kanes Pass (IRE) Stag Night (IRE) Colour Of Love (IRE) Fiesolana (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Bungle Inthejungle (GB) 7.5% · 13–173
Progeny have won 8.8% of 4,228 runs since 2008 (353 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 2.5% from 122. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 2.4% from 124.
Make Believe (GB) 10.8% · 8–74
Progeny have won 11.1% of 3,604 runs since 2008 (297 horses).
Dawn Approach (IRE) 4.5% · 3–66
Progeny have won 8% of 3,571 runs since 2008 (358 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.6% from 333. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 125. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5% from 179.
Churchill (IRE) 10.9% · 5–46
Progeny have won 11% of 4,800 runs since 2008 (459 horses).
Belardo (IRE) 4.9% · 2–41
Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,708 runs since 2008 (280 horses).
Mastercraftsman (IRE) 14.6% · 6–41
Progeny have won 10.6% of 11,631 runs since 2008 (842 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 24 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,681 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,681 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 27 April 2008 to 23 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Socratea (IRE)J: Jimmy Dalton Halloween Mid-Term Racing Next Week Apprentice Handicap7f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 40/1
23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Phoenix Pairc (IRE)J: Adam Grant Halloween Mid-Term Racing Next Week Apprentice Handicap7f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 7/1
21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Peace Pebble (IRE)J: W. J. Lee WTW Willis Towers Watson Maiden14f · Yielding · 12 ran 2nd 25/1
21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Happy Henry (IRE)J: Leigh Roche Final Fence Marquee Hospitality Package 14th & 15th November On Sale Now Handicap5f · Yielding · 8 ran 4th 7/2J
21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Allirelandmaterial (IRE)J: Leigh Roche Navan Racing Festival Advanced Price Tickets On Sale Now Maiden5f · Yielding · 9 ran 6th 40/1
21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Osterode (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Navan Racing Festival Advanced Price Tickets On Sale Now Maiden5f · Yielding · 9 ran 1st 9/2
20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Gypsy Queen (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Autumn Racing With 1xBet.ie At The Curragh Handicap6f · Yielding · 17 ran 4th 16/1
19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Serendipia (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Gowran Park Racing Club Fillies Maiden9.5f · Soft · 9 ran 6th 8/1
18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Bundle Of Interest (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Watch Every Irish Race Live On Racing TV Handicap7f · Good · 14 ran 10th 12/1
18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Bella Colombia (IRE)J: Reese Holohan Watch Every Irish Race Live On Racing TV Handicap7f · Good · 14 ran 5th 18/1
18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Great Mover (IRE)J: Paddy Harnett Christmas Festival Tickets On Sale Now Handicap10f · Good · 15 ran 9th 15/2
18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Sanctijude (IRE)J: Leigh Roche Trigo Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 10f · Good · 9 ran 8th 100/1
16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Chapel Lane (IRE)J: Ben Coen Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Book Now Handicap10.5f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 22/1
16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Sedro Woolley (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div I)7f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 11/2
15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Steel Magnolia (IRE)J: Patrick McGettigan October Racing With 1xBet.ie Apprentice Handicap5f · Soft · 17 ran 14th 17/2
15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Happy Henry (IRE)J: Sam Coen October Racing With 1xBet.ie Apprentice Handicap5f · Soft · 17 ran 4th 8/1
12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Earthsong (IRE)J: W. J. Lee On-Course Vets Handicap12f · Soft · 16 ran 14th 25/1
12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Mogwli (IRE)J: Leigh Roche Roscommon Racecourse On Facebook Handicap (Div II)7.5f · Soft · 13 ran 4th 6/1
12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Gypsy Queen (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Guinness Handicap7.5f · Soft · 14 ran 6th 18/1
11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Navy Waters (IRE)J: W. J. Lee SIS, Supporting Irish Racing Fillies Handicap10.5f · Soft · 11 ran 5th 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is W. McCreery's strike rate?
W. McCreery has won 117 of 1,280 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.1% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does W. McCreery do best at?
Limerick by strike rate: 5 wins from 33 runners (15.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for W. McCreery?
W J Lee, with 530 runners since 2022 — 41% of the total. That pairing has won 67 (12.6%).
Is W. McCreery in form?
In the last 14 days: 22 runners, 2 winners, a strike rate of 9.1%. That is in line with the baseline of 9.1% since 2022.
What is W. McCreery's Fair A/E?
1.01, from 1,276 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 24 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).