Surefire (GB)
Surefire (GB) is 3 from 5. Won last time out at Ascot (Class 2). Each win came on a first visit to the course. Last raced off a career-high mark of 82.
- 3–5Wins / Runs
- 60%Strike rate
- 4 (80%)Placed
- +10.25£1 level staken=5 at SP
- 4.05Fair A/E n=5 · 3.50 incl. margin
- 82Highest OR
- 53dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 96
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 22 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 3 | 96A | 94 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 2 | 80C | 77 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 22 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 3 | 96A | 94 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2 | 80C | 77 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 5 figures from 5 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 12.1% of 5,480 runs since Jan 2008 (557 horses).
Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9% from 211.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 14 | 1 | 7.1% | −5 | — |
| Good to Firm | 676 | 87 | 12.9% | +0.8 | 2 from 3 |
| Good | 1,216 | 148 | 12.2% | +0.1 | — |
| Good to Soft | 572 | 76 | 13.3% | +1.2 | — |
| Soft | 1,011 | 97 | 9.6% | −2.5 | — |
| Heavy | 319 | 37 | 11.6% | −0.5 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,671 | 217 | 13% | +0.9 | 1 from 2 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 108 | 15 | 13.9% | +1.8 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 1,097 | 126 | 11.5% | −0.6 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,483 | 173 | 11.7% | −0.4 | 1 from 2 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1,864 | 242 | 13% | +0.9 | 2 from 3 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 674 | 88 | 13.1% | +1 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 211 | 19 | 9% | −3.1 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 41 | 1 | 2.4% | −9.7 | — |
| Over 3m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −12.1 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 22 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
9 siblings in the archive, 4 winners — best of them Platitude (GB) (3 wins).
The wins came over 7f–1m6f; the highest grade won is Listed (Platitude (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Platitude (GB) | 41 | 3 | 7f–1m6f | Listed |
| Model Pupil (GB) | 13 | 2 | 1m2f–1m4f | Class 2 |
| Intense (GB) | 6 | 2 | 7f–1m | Class 3 |
| Archive (GB) | 4 | 1 | 1m4f | Class 5 |
| Konigsberg (GB) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
| Ferloch (GB) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
| Button Down (GB) | 7 | 0 | — | — |
| Monopolize (GB) | 7 | 0 | — | — |
| Destalink (GB) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 3 | 2 | 67% | +6.75 |
| Standard (AW) | 2 | 1 | 50% | +3.50 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +2.50 |
| Class 2 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +5.00 |
| Class 4 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.75 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascot | 1 | 1 | 100% | +5.00 |
| Leicester | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.75 |
| Windsor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.50 |
| Kempton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 3 | 2 | 67% | +6.75 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2 | 1 | 50% | +3.50 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hector Crouch | 2 | 2 | 100% | +7.75 |
| Rossa Ryan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Paul Mulrennan | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.50 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3 | 2 | 67% | +6.75 |
| 2020 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +3.50 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun 21+10d | Ascot | King George V Stakes (Handicap) | 1/17 | 8-9 | 82 | 94C | 93A | Hector Crouch | 5/1 | |
| 07 Jun 21+49d | Leicester | Join Racing TV Now Handicap | 1/7 | 9-4 | 82 | 96A | 85A | Hector Crouch | 11/4J | |
| 19 Apr 21+128d | Windsor | Download The At The Races App Novice Stakes | 2/9 | 1¼ | 9-9 | — | 81A | 91A | Rossa Ryan | 6/1 |
| 12 Dec 20+24d | Newcastle (AW) | Get Your Ladbrokes Daily Odds Boost EBF Novice Stakes | 1/8 | 9-5 | — | 74A | 82A | Paul Mulrennan | 9/2 | |
| 18 Nov 20 | Kempton (AW) | Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (Div 1) | 9/12 | 2¼ | 9-2 | — | 80C | 62C | Rossa Ryan | 9/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Surefire (GB) won?
- Surefire (GB) won 3 of 5 archived starts between 2020 and 2021, a strike rate of 60%. Placed 4 times in total (80% of starts).
- Who trained Surefire (GB)?
- Surefire (GB) was trained by Ralph Beckett on the most recent run on record, at Ascot on 17 June 2021.
- Who is Surefire (GB)'s sire?
- Surefire (GB) is by Fastnet Rock (AUS) out of Modesta (IRE), whose sire is Sadler's Wells.
- What going does Surefire (GB) prefer?
- Surefire (GB) has the best record on good to firm going: 2 wins from 3 starts (66.7%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Surefire (GB)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 82, from the run on 17 June 2021. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Surefire (GB)'s sire's record?
- Fastnet Rock (AUS)'s progeny in our archive have won 12.1% of 5,480 runs since Jan 2008 (557 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9% from 211.
- Who are Surefire (GB)'s siblings?
- Out of Modesta (IRE), Surefire (GB) has 9 other produce in our archive, 4 of them winners. Most wins: Platitude (GB) (3). Highest grade won: Listed (Platitude (GB)). The wins came over 7f–1m6f. As at Oct 2026.