What is Paul Mulrennan's strike rate?

Paul Mulrennan has won 471 of 3,696 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 12.7% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Paul Mulrennan do best at?

Hamilton by strike rate: 51 wins from 294 rides (17.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Paul Mulrennan ride most for?

Jim Goldie, with 1,166 rides since 2022 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 192 (16.5%).

Is Paul Mulrennan in form?

In the last 14 days: 32 rides, 4 winners, a strike rate of 12.5%. That is in line with the baseline of 12.7% since 2022.

What is Paul Mulrennan's Fair A/E?

1.01, from 3,676 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Paul Mulrennan

3,696 rides in the last 5 seasons · 1,504 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Won yesterday Last ride yesterday 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

471–3,696

Wins / Runs

12.7%

Strike rate

n=3,696

1,167 (32%)

Placed

1.01

Fair A/E

n=3,676 · 0.86 incl. margin

−769.01

£1 level stake

n=3,696 at SP · −20.8%

£6.53m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.6%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 740 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 13% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.01). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 23% (420 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 3,696 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Mar 31.7% when favourite Jim Goldie: 16.5% from 1,166 LTO winners: 23.3% Rides the favourite in 15% of races

The read

It is weakest at Beverley (5.2% over 97 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 23.3% (n=420, Fair A/E 1.17), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 8.2% (n=450, Fair A/E 0.90). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 9.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.83 and −519.34 to a £1 stake over 1,380 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Jim Goldie supplies 32% of the rides and edges the rider's average (16.5% vs 12.7%, A/E 1.15) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (19.1%, n=298). 44 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the King Charles III Stakes at Ascot (Jun 2025, £411,573). The standout partner of the record: Euchen Glen (GB) — 9 wins from 58 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Jan–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

9.1%−3.6

n=1,380 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −519.34

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

23.3%+10.6

n=420 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −10.53

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

8.2%−4.5

n=450 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −105.72

When favourite

31.7%

n=537 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −73.00

Big fields · 14+ runners

9.1%−3.6

n=407 · A/E 1.30 · £1 −7.69

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

11%−1.7

n=91 · A/E 1.29 · £1 +9.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 23.3% vs 12.7% · n=420

With Ed Walker 25.4% vs 12.7% · n=67

With debutants 3% vs 12.7% · n=167

At Nottingham 0% vs 12.7% · n=30

Off a 0-7-day break 19.1% vs 12.7% · n=298

At Beverley 5.2% vs 12.7% · n=97

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,282 157 12.2% −275.81

Good 985 146 14.8% −134.56

Good to Firm 615 90 14.6% +37.33

Good to Soft 419 43 10.3% −189.00

Soft 320 28 8.8% −187.71

Heavy 75 7 9.3% −19.26

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 947 126 13.3% −246.40

Ayr 458 77 16.8% −63.78

Musselburgh 315 52 16.5% −59.95

Hamilton 294 51 17.3% −38.11

Southwell (AW) 255 27 10.6% +19.34

Thirsk 172 25 14.5% +57.20

Carlisle 159 19 11.9% −44.76

York 130 9 6.9% −53.00

Catterick 108 12 11.1% −21.17

Doncaster 108 8 7.4% −62.67

Haydock 103 10 9.7% +10.60

Beverley 97 5 5.2% −71.50

Pontefract 97 10 10.3% −53.26

Redcar 96 9 9.4% −45.79

Ripon 83 13 15.7% +21.16

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 1,204 162 13.5% −308.36

Class 5 1,086 157 14.5% −112.07

Class 4 798 90 11.3% −234.65

Class 3 261 32 12.3% −52.89

Class 2 257 20 7.8% −71.54

Class 1 90 10 11.1% +10.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 616 197 32% 1.08 −40.51

2nd–3rd fav 914 163 17.8% 1.06 −93.50

4th–6th fav 1,156 85 7.4% 0.87 −280.00

7th+ in betting 1,010 26 2.6% 0.74 −355.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Yaaser (IRE) 38 8 15 25 Sep 26

Rory (GB) 37 3 14 20 Jan 26

Water Of Leith (IRE) 34 5 10 8 Aug 26

Northern Express (IRE) 31 4 15 9 Oct 26

Euchen Glen (GB) 31 1 8 26 Oct 24

Turbo Command (IRE) 28 3 12 15 Oct 26

Alpine Sierra (IRE) 27 1 8 12 Oct 26

Global Humor (USA) 27 2 6 18 Jul 24

Bonito Cavalo (GB) 25 6 10 5 Jul 26

Kelpie Grey (GB) 24 3 10 12 Oct 26

Annandale (IRE) 24 4 6 2 Sep 26

American Affair (GB) 23 8 13 21 Aug 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,504 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 11 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

4 from 32 12.5% · −0.2pts vs baseline

Last 14 days12.5%

5-season base12.7%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

141714914131613131088

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJim Goldie

32% of all rides
16.5% SR · A/E 1.15

TrainerRWSR£1

Jim Goldie 1,166 192 16.5% −141.65

Michael Dods 224 30 13.4% −20.88

Bryan Smart 173 23 13.3% −66.07

Ben Haslam 133 18 13.5% −52.30

Paul Midgley 99 9 9.1% −28.80

Rebecca Menzies 96 9 9.4% −9.25

Iain Jardine 87 12 13.8% −13.57

Ed Walker 67 17 25.4% +54.78

Linda Perratt 62 8 12.9% −19.74

Archie Watson 58 9 15.5% −19.01

Stella Barclay 54 5 9.3% −15.75

Ruth Carr 53 6 11.3% +0.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,616

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£17.4m

Prize money

2022

Best season · 108 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

American Affair (GB) — King Charles III Stakes (Group 1) Ascot · Jun 2025 · Group 1

£411,573

Mecca's Angel (IRE) — Coolmore Nunthorpe Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) York · Aug 2016 · Group 1

£236,622

Mecca's Angel (IRE) — Coolmore Nunthorpe Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) York · Aug 2015 · Group 1

£175,801

Notable horses

Euchen Glen (GB) Jordan Electrics (GB) Mecca's Angel (IRE) Yaaser (IRE) American Affair (GB) Bobby Shaftoe (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Orientor (GB) 15.4% · 30–195

Progeny have won 10% of 1,451 runs since 2008 (57 horses).

Dandy Man (IRE) 18.8% · 25–133

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,917 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Acclamation (GB) 16.7% · 16–96

Progeny have won 10% of 19,685 runs since 2008 (1,326 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 194.

Havana Grey (GB) 8% · 7–87

Progeny have won 13.3% of 4,533 runs since 2008 (415 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.3% from 104. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10.3% from 408.

Kodiac (GB) 8.1% · 7–86

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,534 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.

Mehmas (IRE) 6.6% · 5–76

Progeny have won 11.6% of 8,107 runs since 2008 (747 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 14,808 · newest first

The latest 50 of 14,808 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 1 February 2005 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Pontefract Our Cody (IRE)T: Richard Hughes William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Heavy · 9 ran 7th 33/1

19 Oct 26 Pontefract Kodiac City (IRE)T: Richard Hughes British Stallion Studs Ebf Silver Tankard Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 8f · Heavy · 8 ran 4th 100/1

19 Oct 26 Pontefract Tribal Appearance (IRE)T: Dr Richard Newland William Hill Price Boosts Every Day Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Soft · 11 ran 11th 50/1

19 Oct 26 Pontefract Longshanks Luke (GB)T: Patrick Neville Happy 80th Birthday William 'bill' Carr Maiden Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 6f · Soft · 6 ran 1st 17/2

17 Oct 26 Catterick Lexington Blitz (IRE)T: Robert Cowell William Hill Catterick Dash Handicap StakesClass 2 · 5f · Good · 12 ran 1st 6/1

17 Oct 26 Catterick Eagle Bay (GB)T: Harriet Bethell William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 15/2

17 Oct 26 Catterick Bay Of Myths (IRE)T: Dr Richard Newland Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Good · 7 ran 6th 8/1

17 Oct 26 Catterick Inkberrow (IRE)T: Simon & Ed Crisford Every Race Live On Racing TV Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good · 7 ran 1st 1/3F

17 Oct 26 Catterick Red Demon (IRE)T: Donald McCain EBF "Confined" Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D With No More Than Three Runs) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 7 ran 5th 20/1

16 Oct 26 Redcar March Ahead (GB)T: Bryan Smart racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 18 ran 14th 40/1

16 Oct 26 Redcar Run This Way (GB)T: Paul Midgley Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 12 ran 6th 12/1

16 Oct 26 Redcar Castan (GB)T: Bryan Smart Sam Hall Memorial Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 11/2

16 Oct 26 Redcar Mubehir (IRE)T: Paul Midgley Market Cross Jewellers Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good · 9 ran 9th 7/2

16 Oct 26 Redcar Pigeon Pete (GB)T: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero Join Racing TV Now British EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 6th 13/2

16 Oct 26 Redcar Meccapulco (IRE)T: Michael Dods Join Racing TV Now British EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 9th 150/1

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Turbo Command (IRE)T: Alison Hamilton Follow @AtTheRaces On X Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 14/1

14 Oct 26 Nottingham Trojan Sun (GB)T: Jim Goldie Colwick Cup Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 10th 11/1

14 Oct 26 Nottingham Eagles Instinct (IRE)T: Jim Goldie EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 12th 250/1

13 Oct 26 Leicester Peaceful Spirit (IRE)T: Lawrence Mullaney racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 13th 50/1

13 Oct 26 Leicester Law Of Design (IRE)T: Ian Williams Christmas Parties At Leicester Racecourse Book Now Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 11/4

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Paul Mulrennan's strike rate?: Paul Mulrennan has won 471 of 3,696 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 12.7% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Paul Mulrennan do best at?: Hamilton by strike rate: 51 wins from 294 rides (17.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Paul Mulrennan ride most for?: Jim Goldie, with 1,166 rides since 2022 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 192 (16.5%).
Is Paul Mulrennan in form?: In the last 14 days: 32 rides, 4 winners, a strike rate of 12.5%. That is in line with the baseline of 12.7% since 2022.
What is Paul Mulrennan's Fair A/E?: 1.01, from 3,676 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.