Hector Crouch
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 610 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 17% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.13). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 24% (398 rides).
The record is strongest at Bath (31.3%, n=32), clear of the rider's 16.9% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 24.4% (n=398, Fair A/E 1.16), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 8.3% (n=241, Fair A/E 0.74). Ralph Beckett supplies 28% of the rides and edges the rider's average (20.1% vs 16.9%, A/E 1.10) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 8.3% over 241 rides, 8.6pts below the baseline. 22 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Juddmonte Irish Oaks at Curragh (Jul 2024, £285,000). The standout partner of the record: Lord Clenaghcastle (IRE) — 5 wins from 16 rides together.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 16.9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 16.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
SteadyBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2013→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 5,741 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 5,741 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 19 June 2013 to 2 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 13 runs (won 5, 2 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 17 runs (won 3, 3 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 7 runs (won 2, 1 did not run) · to 31 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Hector Crouch's strike rate?
- Hector Crouch has won 511 of 3,026 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 16.9% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Hector Crouch do best at?
- Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 50 wins from 224 rides (22.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Hector Crouch ride most for?
- Ralph Beckett, with 851 rides since 2022 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 171 (20.1%).
- Is Hector Crouch in form?
- In the last 14 days: 35 rides, 5 winners, a strike rate of 14.3%. That is in line with the baseline of 16.9% since 2022.
- What is Hector Crouch's Fair A/E?
- 1.13, from 3,011 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.