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Horse profile

The Bay Horse (IRE)

7yo gelding (at last run, Nov 2023) · Last trainer Gordon Elliott · Last owner J P Mccarthy Ms M Mccarthy Ms N Mccarthy
by Mahler (GB) out of The Bay Mare (IRE) (Commanche Run)
3 runs · 3 courses · from Oct 2023
As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 18 Nov 2023 — 1,083 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Nov 2023 · 13th of 16
KTB Profile

The Bay Horse is a Mahler gelding out of The Bay Mare. He ran three times on turf between Oct 2023 and Nov 2023 without placing. All three starts came on soft or heavy ground over trips between 1m5f and 3m at three different Irish tracks. His last run, at Navan in Nov 2023, saw him finish 13 of 16 in the Kilberry Pub & Kitchen Maiden Hurdle.

Based on 3 archived runs · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed — no A or B graded figure in the last 3 runs; the figures below carry grade C

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Jumps 1 figure · too few for a breakdown

Of 3 runs looked at, 2 have no figure: not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1) · did not complete (1).

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 1 figure from 3 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 97C the best of the last 2 rated runs · Navan, 18 Nov 2023

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code — its best recent day. The KTB Rating on a racecard is a different reading of the same figures: the level the horse has been running to, an average of up to its last six runs with the latest counting most, so the two can differ. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Jumps 2 figures · best 97C · median 96
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 5 Nov 2025
Heavy1———
Soft1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 5 Nov 2025
2m1f – 2m4f1———
2m5f – 3m1———

Of 3 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: did not complete (or a non-runner row) (1).

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 2 figures from 3 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.

Pedigree intelligence

Sire

Progeny in our archive have won 10.8% of 8,877 runs since Sep 2014 (787 horses).

Strongest on good to firm going: 15.1% from 119.

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Good to Firm1191815.1%+4.3—
Good2,97437812.7%+1.9—
Good to Soft1,8181799.8%−1—
Soft2,7422599.4%−1.40 from 1
Heavy1,21412410.2%−0.60 from 2
Standard (AW)10110%−0.8—
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
1m – 1m1f500%−10.8—
1m2f – 1m4f1600%−10.8—
1m5f – 2m2,0491999.7%−1.10 from 1
2m1f – 2m4f3,21232410.1%−0.70 from 1
2m5f – 3m2,82634112.1%+1.30 from 1
Over 3m7699512.4%+1.6—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Sep 2014 · as at 5 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
The Bay Mare (IRE) (Commanche Run)

4 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them The Bosses Nephew (IRE) (4 wins).

The wins came over 2m–2m6f.

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
The Bosses Nephew (IRE)4542m–2m6f—
Bulls And Mortar (IRE)3022m4f–2m6f—
Strangford Lough (IRE)50——
Baylouso (IRE)10——

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00
Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Navan 1 0 0% −1.00
Down Royal 1 0 0% −1.00
Limerick 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f 1 0 0% −1.00
2m5f – 3m 1 0 0% −1.00
1m5f – 2m 1 0 0% −1.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Nathan Andrews 1 0 0% −1.00
Sam Ewing 1 0 0% −1.00
Carl Millar 1 0 0% −1.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt SpdKTB Jockey SP
2023 · 3 runs
18 Nov 23+8d Navan Kilberry Pub & Kitchen Maiden Hurdle 2m4f · Soft To Heavy · 16 ran 13/16 1¼ 11-5 56C97C Nathan Andrews 200/1
10 Nov 23+19d Down Royal Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Maiden Hurdle 2m6½f · Soft · 15 ran 12/15 34 11-12 —95C Sam Ewing 125/1
22 Oct 23 Limerick PWC (C & G) Maiden Hurdle 2m · Soft To Heavy · 18 ran PU/18 — 11-5 —— Carl Millar 33/1

Quick answers

How many races has The Bay Horse won?
The Bay Horse (IRE) has yet to win, from 3 archived starts in 2023.
Who trained The Bay Horse?
The Bay Horse (IRE) was trained by Gordon Elliott on the most recent run on record, at Navan on 18 November 2023.
Who is The Bay Horse's sire?
The Bay Horse (IRE) is by Mahler (GB) out of The Bay Mare (IRE), whose sire is Commanche Run.
What is The Bay Horse's sire's record?
Mahler (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.8% of 8,877 runs since Sep 2014 (787 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on good to firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Who are The Bay Horse's siblings?
Out of The Bay Mare (IRE), The Bay Horse (IRE) has 4 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: The Bosses Nephew (IRE) (4). The wins came over 2m–2m6f. As at Nov 2026.

Record shown from October 2023. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Any runs before that, or in other countries, are not in it. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.