Sam Ewing
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 320 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 10% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.99). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 15% (183 rides). Rides mostly for Gordon Elliott — 49% of rides in the window.
It is weakest at Thurles (2.5% over 40 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 15.3% (n=183, Fair A/E 1.04), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 6.2% (n=760, Fair A/E 0.90). Gordon Elliott supplies 49% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (11.1%, A/E 0.99) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well off a break of 180+ days (15.5%, n=129). The record reads poorly beyond 3m — 2.9% over 70 rides, 6.6pts below the baseline. 31 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Ladbrokes Champion Stayers Hurdle at Punchestown (May 2025, £177,000). Seasonally, the rider fires Sep–Oct.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2020→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 2,215 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 2,215 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 7 July 2020 to 26 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Sam Ewing's strike rate?
- Sam Ewing has won 153 of 1,617 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.5% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Sam Ewing do best at?
- Downpatrick by strike rate: 10 wins from 66 rides (15.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Sam Ewing ride most for?
- Gordon Elliott, with 791 rides since 2022 — 49% of the total. That pairing has won 88 (11.1%).
- Is Sam Ewing in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 10 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Sam Ewing's Fair A/E?
- 0.99, from 1,616 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.