The Lion In Winter (IRE)
The Lion In Winter is 3 wins from 10 runs on turf, including a Group 3 success in the Tattersalls Acomb Stakes at York on good to firm in Aug 2024 and the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Heritage Stakes at Leopardstown over 1m – 1m1f on soft in Apr 2026. He also won a maiden at the Curragh over 6f – 7f on good in Jul 2024. Ridden prominently, he finished fifth of 10 in the Boyle Sports Lockinge Stakes at Newbury in May 2026 on his first run in first-time headgear, last raced off OR 117.
- 3–10Wins / Runs
- 30%Strike rate
- 6 (60%)Placed
- +1.60£1 level staken=10 at SP
- 1.61Fair A/E n=10 · 1.35 incl. margin
- 118Highest OR
- 32dBetween runs (median)longest 267 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 114
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 8 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 4 | 114A | 89 | 1 run · — |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 107A | 94.5 | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 8 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 3 | 114A | 113 | 2 runs · 114 / 113.5 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2 | 83C | 82.5 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 2 | 107A | 96.5 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 7 figures from 7 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 5 analysed runs since Aug 2024
- Prominent 3 (60%) · 1 win
- Held up 2 (40%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 15.7% of 9,985 runs since Jun 2013 (1,118 horses).
Strongest on good to firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on heavy going: 9.4% from 457. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | +1 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1,503 | 284 | 18.9% | +3.2 | 1 from 2 |
| Good | 2,647 | 421 | 15.9% | +0.2 | 1 from 4 |
| Good to Soft | 1,245 | 206 | 16.5% | +0.8 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 1,536 | 188 | 12.2% | −3.5 | 1 from 2 |
| Heavy | 457 | 43 | 9.4% | −6.3 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 2,579 | 425 | 16.5% | +0.8 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 28 | 4 | 14.3% | −1.4 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 776 | 113 | 14.6% | −1.1 | 2 from 3 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2,114 | 337 | 15.9% | +0.2 | 1 from 5 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 4,425 | 759 | 17.2% | +1.5 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,895 | 264 | 13.9% | −1.8 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 587 | 74 | 12.6% | −3.1 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 139 | 16 | 11.5% | −4.2 | — |
| Over 3m | 21 | 3 | 14.3% | −1.4 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jun 2013 · as at 8 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 0 winners.
Family form: Duchessofaquitaine (IRE) finished 2nd of 10 at Leopardstown (IRE), 17 Oct 2026.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sea La Venus (IRE) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
| Duchessofaquitaine (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 4 | 1 | 25% | +2.50 |
| Soft | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.10 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 1 | 5 | 1 | 20% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deauville (FR) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| York | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.00 |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leopardstown | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.10 |
| Ascot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Longchamp (FR) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Epsom Downs | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Curragh | 1 | 1 | 100% | +5.50 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 5 | 1 | 20% | −2.90 |
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 2 | 67% | +6.50 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 5 | 1 | 20% | −2.00 |
| Wayne Lordan | 3 | 2 | 67% | +5.60 |
| Christophe Soumillon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Colin Keane | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 9 | 3 | 33% | +2.60 |
| Cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.10 |
| 2025 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2024 | 2 | 2 | 100% | +7.50 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 16 May 26+31d | Newbury | Boyle Sports Lockinge Stakes (Group 1) (Str) Handy early - shaken up to hit front two out - overtaken inside final furlong and weakened late | 5/10 | 1¼ | 9-2 | 117 | 114A | 100A | Ryan Moore | 9/1 |
| 15 Apr 26+179d | Leopardstown | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Heritage Stakes (Listed) Disputed the front early before dropping to 2nd after 1f - up with the pace until taking over again 2f out - pulled clear in the final furlong - held on as the margin came back at the line | 1/11 | 9-7 | 117 | 113A | 106A | Wayne Lordan | 11/10F | |
| 2025 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 18 Oct 25+41d | Ascot | Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Sponsored By Qipco) (Group 1) (Str) Race up early - handy just off the front group - made ground approaching 2f out - hit the front with a furlong left - overtaken soon after - kept trying but caught inside final 100 yards - finished second beaten a length and a quarter | 2/16 | 1¼ | 9-3 | 117 | 92C | 112A | Christophe Soumillon | 12/1 |
| 07 Sep 25+21d | Longchamp (FR) | Qatar Prix du Moulin de Longchamp (3yo+) (Grande Course) (Turf) | 3/12 | nk | 8-13 | — | — | — | Wayne Lordan | 36/1 |
| 17 Aug 25+42d | Deauville (FR) | The Aga Khan Studs Prix Jacques le Marois (3yo+ No Geldings) (Straight Course) (Turf) | 10/10 | 4½ | 9-0 | — | — | — | Ryan Moore | 37/10 |
| 06 Jul 25+29d | Deauville (FR) | Prix Jean Prat (3yo Colts & Fillies) (Straight Course) (Turf) | 3/9 | shd | 9-2 | — | — | — | Ryan Moore | 59/10 |
| 07 Jun 25+23d | Epsom Downs | Betfred Derby (In Honour Of His Highness Aga Khan IV) (Group 1) Held up at the back throughout - never able to challenge - well held at the finish | 14/18 | 2½ | 9-2 | 117 | 83C | 81C | Colin Keane | 7/1 |
| 15 May 25+267d | York | Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Dante Stakes (Group 2) Took keen hold in rear - restrained in 6th - off the bridle 2f out with no meaningful response - drifted left under pressure over 1f out - kept on without landing a blow to finish 6th | 6/11 | ½ | 9-2 | 118 | 82A | 91A | Ryan Moore | 8/11F |
| 2024 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 21 Aug 24+32d | York | Tattersalls Acomb Stakes (Group 3) Settled close up early - hit front with three furlongs left then pushed along inside final furlong - kept finding more to score | 1/11 | 9-3 | — | 107A | 114A | Ryan Moore | 2/1 | |
| 20 Jul 24 | Curragh | Juddmonte Chaldean Irish European Breeders Fund (C & G) Maiden | 1/12 | 9-5 | — | 86A | 100A | Wayne Lordan | 11/2 | |
Quick answers
- How many races has The Lion In Winter won?
- The Lion In Winter (IRE) won 3 of 10 archived starts between 2024 and 2026, a strike rate of 30%. Placed 6 times in total (60% of starts).
- Who trains The Lion In Winter?
- The Lion In Winter (IRE) is trained by A P O'Brien, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 16 May 2026.
- Who is The Lion In Winter's sire?
- The Lion In Winter (IRE) is by Sea The Stars (IRE) out of What A Home (IRE), whose sire is Lope De Vega.
- What going does The Lion In Winter prefer?
- The Lion In Winter (IRE) has the best record on good going: 1 win from 4 starts (25%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is The Lion In Winter's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 117, from the run on 16 May 2026. The highest on record is 118.
- What is The Lion In Winter's sire's record?
- Sea The Stars (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 15.7% of 9,985 runs since Jun 2013 (1,118 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on good to firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on heavy going: 9.4% from 457. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.
- Who are The Lion In Winter's siblings?
- Out of What A Home (IRE), The Lion In Winter (IRE) has 2 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Nov 2026.