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Horse profile

Thunder Bay (GB)

2yo colt · Trainer Joseph Patrick O'Brien · Owner Teme Valley Racing
by New Bay (GB) out of Alnoras (GB) (Kingman)
1 run · 1 course · from Nov 2026
As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
Last run 1 Nov 2026 · 7th of 23
KTB Profile

Lightly raced 2yo colt with 1 start since Nov 2026. Finished 7 of 23 at Curragh (IRE) last time. By New Bay (GB), whose progeny in our archive have won 14.3% of 4,000 runs since Jun 2020.

Based on 1 archived run · run-style from 1 commented run since Nov 2026 · updated 7 Nov 2026

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed — no A or B graded figure in the last 3 runs; the figures below carry grade C

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Flat 1 figure · too few for a breakdown

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 1 figure from 1 run · as at 7 Nov 2026 · 1 recent figure provisional (may move for 7 days) · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 68A the best of the last 1 rated run · Curragh (IRE), 1 Nov 2026

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code — its best recent day. The KTB Rating on a racecard is a different reading of the same figures: the level the horse has been running to, an average of up to its last six runs with the latest counting most, so the two can differ. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Flat 1 figure · too few for a breakdown

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 1 figure from 1 run · as at 7 Nov 2026 · 1 recent figure provisional (may move for 7 days) · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Pedigree intelligence

Sire

Progeny in our archive have won 14.3% of 4,000 runs since Jun 2020 (426 horses).

Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm800%−14.3—
Good to Firm5879215.7%+1.4—
Good99614014.1%−0.2—
Good to Soft4727014.8%+0.5—
Soft6298112.9%−1.40 from 1
Heavy1832714.8%+0.5—
Standard (AW)1,12516114.3%0—
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f1021110.8%−3.5—
6f – 7f1,18618315.4%+1.1—
1m – 1m1f1,28516512.8%−1.50 from 1
1m2f – 1m4f1,09616515.1%+0.8—
1m5f – 2m2724014.7%+0.4—
2m1f – 2m4f54713%−1.3—
2m5f – 3m500%−14.3—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jun 2020 · as at 7 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Alnoras (GB) (Kingman)

2 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Approval (GB) (2 wins).

The wins came over 7f–1m2f; the highest grade won is Class 2 (Approval (GB)).

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Approval (GB)1721m2fClass 2
Nothing But Love (GB)517fClass 4

Too few runs for meaningful splits. The full record is below.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt SpdKTB Jockey SP
2026 · 1 run
01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Irish EBF Maiden (Smullen Series) 1m · Yielding To Soft · 23 ran Settled in the pack's middle - moved up to 5th over 2f out and 4th over 1f out - soon out of puff and faded inside the final furlong to finish 7th 7/23 ¾ 9-7 61C68A Seamie Heffernan 20/1

Quick answers

How many races has Thunder Bay won?
Thunder Bay (GB) has yet to win, from 1 archived start in 2026.
Who trains Thunder Bay?
Thunder Bay (GB) is trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 1 November 2026.
Who is Thunder Bay's sire?
Thunder Bay (GB) is by New Bay (GB) out of Alnoras (GB), whose sire is Kingman.
What is Thunder Bay's sire's record?
New Bay (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 14.3% of 4,000 runs since Jun 2020 (426 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.
Who are Thunder Bay's siblings?
Out of Alnoras (GB), Thunder Bay (GB) has 2 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Approval (GB) (2). Highest grade won: Class 2 (Approval (GB)). The wins came over 7f–1m2f. As at Nov 2026.

Record shown from November 2026. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Any runs before that, or in other countries, are not in it. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.