Horse profile
Warmer Days Ahead (FR)
by Waldpark (GER) out of Ashkelon (GER) (Peintre Celebre)
17 runs · 10 courses · from Mar 2023
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
2 wins · Kilbeggan (IRE) & Roscommon
Last run 13 Oct 2026 · 2nd of 18
Last raced off OR 101
KTB Profile
Warmer Days Ahead (FR) is a gelding with two wins from 17 starts on turf, both in handicaps over 2m1f – 2m4f. He won the Clarke’s Bar Mullingar Handicap Hurdle at Kilbeggan (IRE) on good to soft in Sep 2026 off 95 and the Regan Tractor And Jeep Sales Handicap Hurdle at Roscommon on soft in Sep 2024 off 92. Typically held up, he finished second of 18 at Punchestown (IRE) in Oct 2026 when last raced off his career-high mark of 101.
Based on 17 archived runs · run-style from 10 commented runs since Sep 2024 · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance
OR at career high
- 2–17Wins / Runs
- 11.8%Strike rate
- 8 (47.1%)Placed
- +1.00£1 level staken=17 at SP
- 1.53Fair A/E n=17 · 1.18 incl. margin
- 101Highest OR
- 39dBetween runs (median)longest 394 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating101At career-high mark
101
88–101
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 134
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Jumps
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 6 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 5 | 94B | 74 | — |
| Heavy | 4 | 83A | 60 | 3 runs · 83 / 64 |
| Good | 3 | 134B | 105 | 1 run · — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 91B | 86.5 | 1 run · — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 6 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 7 | 105B | 82 | 1 run · — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 4 | 134B | 73.5 | 4 runs · 134 / 73.5 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 74B | 59 | — |
Of 17 runs looked at, 3 have no figure: obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (2) · did not complete (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 14 figures from 17 runs · as at 21 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 10 analysed runs since Sep 2024
- Prominent 5 (50%) · 1 win
- Held up 3 (30%) · 1 win
- Mid-division 2 (20%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 11.3% of 417 runs since Jul 2018 (64 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 73 | 11 | 15.1% | +3.8 | 0 from 5 |
| Good to Soft | 77 | 10 | 13% | +1.7 | 1 from 2 |
| Soft | 120 | 15 | 12.5% | +1.2 | 1 from 6 |
| Heavy | 84 | 11 | 13.1% | +1.8 | 0 from 4 |
| Standard (AW) | 63 | 0 | 0% | −11.3 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −11.3 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 11 | 0 | 0% | −11.3 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 47 | 0 | 0% | −11.3 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 72 | 7 | 9.7% | −1.6 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 103 | 14 | 13.6% | +2.3 | 0 from 3 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 142 | 20 | 14.1% | +2.8 | 2 from 8 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | +4.5 | 0 from 5 |
| Over 3m | 3 | 0 | 0% | −11.3 | 0 from 1 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jul 2018 · as at 6 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Ashkelon (GER) (Peintre Celebre)
1 sibling in the archive, 0 winners.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phosphene (FR) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 6 | 1 | 17% | +0.00 |
| Good | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Heavy | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 1 | 50% | +10.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naas | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Punchestown | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Fairyhouse | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Punchestown (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kilbeggan (IRE) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +11.00 |
| Down Royal | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Limerick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Clonmel | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Roscommon | 1 | 1 | 100% | +5.00 |
| Gowran Park | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 8 | 2 | 25% | +10.00 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Over 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillip Enright | 9 | 2 | 22% | +9.00 |
| James Duggan | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Gavin Brouder | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mr J C Barry | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| None | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Tongue tie + blinkers | 3 | 1 | 33% | +3.00 |
| Tongue tie + visor | 2 | 1 | 50% | +10.00 |
| Tongue tie | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5 | 1 | 20% | +7.00 |
| 2025 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2024 | 6 | 1 | 17% | +0.00 |
| 2023 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 14 | 2 | 14% | +4.00 |
| Chase | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| NH Flat | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 13 Oct 26+40d | Punchestown (IRE) | William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle central of the pack - 8th at halfway - urged before 2 out then left behind after the second last - kept on up the run-in to finish 2nd | 2/18 | 10 | 10-7 | 101 | 134B | 125A | Phillip Enright | 5/1 |
| 03 Sep 26+144d | Kilbeggan (IRE) | Clarke's Bar Mullingar Handicap Hurdle Settled towards the back early - began to make headway 4 out - up to 7th 3 out - made further gains after 2 out - into 3rd and pressed the leader over the last - went in front soon after and kept going for the win | 1/14 | 10-11 | 95 | 91B | 120A | Phillip Enright | 11/1 | |
| 12 Apr 26+39d | Down Royal | Fibrus Total Home Wi-Fi Handicap Chase (0-100) Sat close to the pace early - needed a push in mid-race running eighth then fourth around halfway - up in sixth when severely bumped four out - lost touch after stumbling three out and eased before the following fence with nothing left | PU/15 | — | 11-9 | 95 | — | — | Phillip Enright | 12/1 |
| 04 Mar 26+48d | Naas | William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (0-100) Sat close to pace on the wide side - slipped back to 7th with 3 furlongs left - pushed along and faded from there - eventually finished 9th | 9/12 | 3¾ | 11-4 | 97 | 83A | 89A | James Duggan | 10/1 |
| 15 Jan 26+18d | Fairyhouse | William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) Sat close to the pace early - 6th at halfway then driven with little response into the straight - held no chance from 2 out and well beaten in 8th | 8/15 | 1¼ | 11-7 | 98 | — | 100C | James Duggan | 5/1 |
| 2025 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 28 Dec 25+17d | Limerick | D Pack Packaging Handicap Hurdle (0-100) Settled in the pack early - still down in 8th at halfway - urged forward approaching 3 out - up to 6th by the last - stayed on steadily to the line finishing 6th | 6/18 | ¾ | 11-5 | 98 | 56B | 114A | James Duggan | 9/1 |
| 11 Dec 25+394d | Punchestown | Matchbook Best Odds On Festive Racing Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) Held up towards the back - still down in 8th around the 6th - began to make ground from the 7th - moved through into 4th between the last two - up to 3rd approaching the final fence - stayed on without quickening to finish 3rd | 3/11 | 5 | 11-6 | 98 | 64A | 115A | James Duggan | 12/1 |
| 2024 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 12 Nov 24+19d | Fairyhouse | Fairyhouse Student Day Handicap Hurdle (80-116) Tracked pace early - 3rd at halfway - dropped to 4th turning for home and driven approaching straight - responded after final flight to retake 3rd near line | 3/14 | ½ | 10-12 | 100 | — | 115A | Phillip Enright | 12/1 |
| 24 Oct 24+24d | Clonmel | Clonmel Oil Chase Day November 7th Handicap Chase (0-102) Held up towards the back - hampered on the bend after the 5th - never able to close and finished well beaten | 9/13 | 30 | 11-12 | 100 | 59C | 96C | Phillip Enright | 13/2 |
| 30 Sep 24+114d | Roscommon | Regan Tractor And Jeep Sales Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 1) Settled just behind the front group - 4th with 5 to jump - shared the front around the turn - hit the front and going strongly 3 out - opened up before the last - stayed on comfortably to score | 1/15 | 11-11 | 92 | 94B | 125A | Phillip Enright | 5/1F | |
| 08 Jun 24+18d | Punchestown | Ladbrokes Play '1-2-Free' On Football Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 1) | 3/18 | 1¼ | 11-2 | 90 | 105B | 115A | James Duggan | 7/2F |
| 21 May 24+72d | Punchestown | Thank You To Our Track Team Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2) | 2/16 | 2¾ | 11-7 | 88 | 82B | 120A | Phillip Enright | 9/2C |
| 10 Mar 24+87d | Naas | Bar One Racing 'Price Boosts All 28 Favourites At Cheltenham' Handicap Hurdle (80-102) (Div 2) | 4/19 | 10 | 10-7 | 88 | 74B | 101A | James Duggan | 20/1 |
| 2023 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 14 Dec 23+19d | Naas | Bar One Racing 'Guaranteed Odds All Channels' Maiden Hurdle | 8/10 | 3¾ | 11-12 | — | 79C | 88C | Phillip Enright | 40/1 |
| 25 Nov 23+14d | Punchestown | CourtClinic.ie Chartered Physiotherapists Supporting Kilmacud Crokes GAA Maiden Hurdle | 15/19 | 6½ | 11-7 | — | 64C | 101C | Phillip Enright | 125/1 |
| 11 Nov 23+226d | Gowran Park | PRL Group Maiden Hurdle (Div 2) | 5/17 | 6 | 11-2 | — | 46C | 99C | Gavin Brouder | 50/1 |
| 30 Mar 23 | Naas | Nursery Of Champions Flat Race | 7/8 | hd | 11-4 | — | 59C | 90C | Mr J C Barry | 16/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Warmer Days Ahead won?
- Warmer Days Ahead (FR) won 2 of 17 archived starts between 2023 and 2026, a strike rate of 11.8%. Placed 8 times in total (47.1% of starts).
- Who trains Warmer Days Ahead?
- Warmer Days Ahead (FR) is trained by Oliver McKiernan, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 13 October 2026.
- Who is Warmer Days Ahead's sire?
- Warmer Days Ahead (FR) is by Waldpark (GER) out of Ashkelon (GER), whose sire is Peintre Celebre.
- What going does Warmer Days Ahead prefer?
- Warmer Days Ahead (FR) has the best record on soft going: 1 win from 6 starts (16.7%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Warmer Days Ahead's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 101, from the run on 13 October 2026. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Warmer Days Ahead's sire's record?
- Waldpark (GER)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.3% of 417 runs since Jul 2018 (64 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Warmer Days Ahead's siblings?
- Out of Ashkelon (GER), Warmer Days Ahead (FR) has 1 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Nov 2026.