What is Oliver McKiernan's strike rate?

Oliver McKiernan has won 50 of 731 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.8% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Oliver McKiernan do best at?

Gowran Park by strike rate: 4 wins from 31 runners (12.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Oliver McKiernan?

Phillip Enright, with 404 runners since 2022 — 55% of the total. That pairing has won 32 (7.9%).

Is Oliver McKiernan in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Oliver McKiernan's Fair A/E?

1.02, from 731 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Oliver McKiernan

731 runners in the last 5 seasons · 56 individual horses

As at 27 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 2 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

50–731

Wins / Runs

6.8%

Strike rate

n=731

181 (25%)

Placed

1.02

Fair A/E

n=731 · 0.81 incl. margin

−278.47

£1 level stake

n=731 at SP · −38.1%

£898k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 150 runners a season, winning with 7% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.02). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 9% (32 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 731 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 27 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Dec–Jan Fresh horses: 7.3% Phillip Enright: 7.9% from 404 Headgear returns: 9.4%

The read

The record is strongest at Limerick (12.2%, n=49) and Gowran Park (12.9%, n=31) — all clear of the yard's 6.8% baseline. It is weakest at Ballinrobe (0% over 30 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Phillip Enright rides 55% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.9%, A/E 1.09) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly off a 8-14-day break — 1.2% over 85 runners, 5.6pts below the baseline. 12 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Punchestown Guinness Gold Cup at Punchestown (May 2011, £96,000). The stable star of the record: Whatuthink (IRE) — 8 wins from 82 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Dec–Jan.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.3%+0.5

n=193 · A/E 1.32 · £1 −66.80

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−6.8

n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00

Debutants · first career start

10%+3.2

n=20 · A/E 1.84 · £1 +12.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

3.8%−3.0

n=26 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −13.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

9.4%+2.6

n=32 · A/E 1.43 · £1 −7.00

When favourite

29.2%

n=24 · A/E 1.39 · £1 +6.53

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.6%−1.2

n=197 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −61.80

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

4.5%−2.3

n=67 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −42.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 13.7% vs 6.8% · n=51

Off a 8-14-day break 1.2% vs 6.8% · n=85

At Ballinrobe 0% vs 6.8% · n=30

At Limerick 12.2% vs 6.8% · n=49

At Gowran Park 12.9% vs 6.8% · n=31

With James Duggan 1.7% vs 6.8% · n=58

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 444 33 7.4% −168.47

Chase 172 10 5.8% −82.50

Flat 85 5 5.9% −30.00

NH Flat 30 2 6.7% +2.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 310 24 7.7% −107.80

Good 147 8 5.4% −55.67

Heavy 131 13 9.9% −12.00

Good to Soft 128 5 3.9% −88.00

Standard (AW) 13 0 0% −13.00

Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Punchestown 120 4 3.3% −96.00

Naas 76 5 6.6% −42.50

Fairyhouse 53 5 9.4% −2.50

Limerick 49 6 12.2% +16.00

Navan 44 2 4.5% −29.00

Thurles 33 3 9.1% +19.00

Gowran Park 31 4 12.9% +5.50

Ballinrobe 30 0 0% −30.00

Kilbeggan 29 3 10.3% −5.00

Downpatrick 29 2 6.9% −14.80

Leopardstown 29 0 0% −29.00

Roscommon 27 4 14.8% +1.00

Down Royal 27 1 3.7% −22.00

Clonmel 23 2 8.7% +1.50

Cork 22 2 9.1% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 68 3 4.4% −43.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 31 7 22.6% 1.13 −0.47

2nd–3rd fav 122 14 11.5% 0.80 −40.50

4th–6th fav 210 19 9% 1.29 −36.50

7th+ in betting 368 10 2.7% 0.95 −201.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

84.7% completed · 616 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 172 76.2% 7 3 31 0 0

Hurdle 444 88.1% 8 3 39 3 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

L'un Deux Trois (IRE)from Michael Bell 30 3 7 25 Oct 26

Chemdawg (IRE)from W McCreery 30 3 10 22 Oct 26

One And Only (IRE) 28 2 7 25 Sep 26

Gatsby Grey (FR)from Declan Queally 25 1 2 22 Oct 26

Glenabo Bridge (IRE) 25 2 5 14 Apr 24

Its Not Over Yet (IRE) 24 2 6 25 Sep 26

No Looking Back (IRE) 23 3 5 25 Oct 26

Meet And Greet (IRE)from P O'Rourke 22 2 8 18 Oct 26

Winding River (IRE) 22 3 12 28 Dec 24

Difficult Decision (IRE) 21 2 5 4 Aug 26

Silver King (IRE) 21 1 6 11 Jan 26

Musta Lovea Lovea (IRE) 20 0 4 24 Apr 26

All 56 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 56 horses listed, 16 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from W McCreery (2); 40 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 8

Only 8 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

93147553685410

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderPhillip Enright

55% of all rides
7.9% SR · A/E 1.09

RiderRWSR£1

Phillip Enright 404 32 7.9% −132.67

James Duggan 58 1 1.7% −48.50

Richard Condon 52 5 9.6% +2.20

Barry Browne 48 4 8.3% −23.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

163

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.93m

Prize money

2012

Best season · 25 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Follow The Plan (IRE) — Punchestown Guinness Gold Cup (Grade 1) Punchestown · May 2011 · Grade 1

£96,000

Follow The Plan (IRE) — Betfred Bowl Chase (Grade 1) Aintree · Apr 2012 · Class 1

£84,405

Follow The Plan (IRE) — Durkan New Homes Novice Chase (Grade 1) Leopardstown · Dec 2008 · Grade 1

£78,000

Notable horses

Whatuthink (IRE) Follow The Plan (IRE) Whatever Jacksays (IRE) Luckyinmilan (IRE) Whodoyouthink (IRE) Any Bets (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Califet (FR) 7.1% · 5–70

Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,793 runs since 2008 (399 horses).

Mustameet (USA) 3.4% · 2–58

Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,161 runs since 2008 (103 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.5% from 248. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5% from 424.

Waldpark (GER) 7.1% · 3–42

Progeny have won 11.3% of 415 runs since 2008 (64 horses).

Jet Away (GB) 13.5% · 5–37

Progeny have won 11.2% of 2,516 runs since 2008 (271 horses).

Kingston Hill (GB) 8.3% · 3–36

Progeny have won 9.1% of 1,638 runs since 2008 (203 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.4% from 166.

Australia (GB) 9.4% · 3–32

Progeny have won 11.1% of 5,656 runs since 2008 (564 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.5% from 108.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 27 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,272 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,272 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 22 January 2005 to 25 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Somersby Roost (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Hurdle20.5f · Soft · 7 ran 6th 14/1

25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) L'Un Deux Trois (IRE)J: James Duggan William Hill Challenge Series Maiden Hurdle17f · Soft · 13 ran 10th 150/1

25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) No Looking Back (IRE)J: Phillip Enright William Hill Challenge Series Irish EBF Beginners Steeplechase19.5f · Soft · 13 ran PU 9/1

22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Thirsty Work (GB)J: Phillip Enright Clonmel Oil Chase Day November 5th Handicap Steeplechase21f · Good · 15 ran 8th 10/1

22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Gatsby Grey (FR)J: Phillip Enright William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Steeplechase21f · Good · 10 ran 6th 20/1

22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Chemdawg (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Mahon Falls Novice Handicap Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 5th 9/1

18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Meet And Greet (IRE)J: Phillip Enright BOYLE Sports JT McNamara Munster National Handicap Steeplechase (Grade 3)Class 1 · 24f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 8th 15/2

18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Gold Star Status (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Irish Wire Products (C & G) Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 5th 22/1

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Another Challenge (IRE)J: Phillip Enright William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20f · Good · 15 ran 1st 6/4F

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Warmer Days Ahead (FR)J: Phillip Enright William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle23.5f · Good · 18 ran 2nd 5/1

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Somersby Roost (IRE)J: James Duggan William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 11 ran 8th 10/1

12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Burlington House (FR)J: Diego Lima Thank You For Your Support Handicap12f · Soft · 16 ran 8th 33/1

12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) L'Un Deux Trois (IRE)J: Diego Lima On-Course Vets Handicap12f · Soft · 16 ran 15th 100/1

12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Buttermere Ridge (IRE)J: Diego Lima Roscommon Racecourse On Facebook Handicap (Div I)7.5f · Soft · 14 ran 4th 9/2

10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) No Looking Back (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Powerscreen New England Supporting Louth GAA Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 14/1

10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Gatsby Grey (FR)J: Phillip Enright Malone Windows Supporting Louth GAA Handicap Steeplechase24.5f · Good · 9 ran 7th 40/1

05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Everystep Oftheway (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Fairyhouse Racecourse Handicap Hurdle24f · Good · 14 ran 7th 12/1

05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Head For Home (IRE)J: Sam Ewing Fairyhouse Racecourse Handicap Hurdle24f · Good · 14 ran 3rd 14/1

26 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Meet And Greet (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Charlie Chute Memorial Handicap Steeplechase22f · Good · 13 ran 5th 8/1

25 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Its Not Over Yet (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Guinness Listowel Mares Handicap Hurdle22f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 8th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Oliver McKiernan's strike rate?: Oliver McKiernan has won 50 of 731 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.8% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Oliver McKiernan do best at?: Gowran Park by strike rate: 4 wins from 31 runners (12.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Oliver McKiernan?: Phillip Enright, with 404 runners since 2022 — 55% of the total. That pairing has won 32 (7.9%).
Is Oliver McKiernan in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Oliver McKiernan's Fair A/E?: 1.02, from 731 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.