Watchful Protector (IRE)
Watchful Protector is a gelding who won one of nine starts on turf. He took the WTW Willis Maiden Hurdle at Tipperary in Oct 2025 over 2m1f – 2m4f on good to soft. All his wins came at that trip and on good to soft. He last ran at Ffos Las in Apr 2026 in the Tommy Williams Memorial Handicap Hurdle off an official rating of 120, his first time in headgear.
- 1–9Wins / Runs
- 11.1%Strike rate
- 3 (33.3%)Placed
- −2.00£1 level staken=9 at SP
- 1.38Fair A/E n=9 · 1.13 incl. margin
- 124Highest OR
- 55dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 106
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 3 | 106A | 78 | 1 · — |
| Soft | 2 | 96A | 87.5 | — |
| Good | 1 | — | — | 1 · — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 107A | 79 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2 | 116C | 111 | 2 · 116 / 111 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 2 | 96A | 87 | — |
Of 9 runs looked at, 2 have no figure: did not complete (1) · not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 7 figures from 9 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 4 analysed runs
- Held up 2 (50%) · 0 wins
- Led 1 (25%) · 0 wins
- Midfield 1 (25%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 9.9% of 6,257 runs since Jan 2008 (538 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 30 | 2 | 6.7% | −3.2 | — |
| Good to Firm | 643 | 73 | 11.4% | +1.5 | — |
| Good | 1,670 | 150 | 9% | −0.9 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Soft | 1,040 | 109 | 10.5% | +0.6 | 1 from 4 |
| Soft | 1,249 | 124 | 9.9% | 0 | 0 from 3 |
| Heavy | 450 | 51 | 11.3% | +1.4 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 1,175 | 113 | 9.6% | −0.3 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 98 | 8 | 8.2% | −1.7 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 864 | 85 | 9.8% | −0.1 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 678 | 49 | 7.2% | −2.7 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1,222 | 148 | 12.1% | +2.2 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,593 | 154 | 9.7% | −0.2 | 0 from 4 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1,195 | 118 | 9.9% | 0 | 1 from 3 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 530 | 52 | 9.8% | −0.1 | 0 from 2 |
| Over 3m | 77 | 8 | 10.4% | +0.5 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 18 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 0 winners.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charizord (IRE) | 5 | 0 | — | — |
| Celtic Scraks (IRE) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 4 | 1 | 25% | +3.00 |
| Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Limerick | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Ffos Las | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chepstow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tipperary | 1 | 1 | 100% | +6.00 |
| Listowel | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wexford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Fairyhouse | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 3 | 1 | 33% | +4.00 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donagh Meyler | 4 | 1 | 25% | +3.00 |
| Mr J L Gleeson | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Sean Bowen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Richard Patrick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Richie McLernon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 8 | 1 | 13% | −1.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2025 | 8 | 1 | 13% | −1.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 7 | 1 | 14% | +0.00 |
| Flat | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| NH Flat | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 26+127d | Ffos Las | Tommy Williams Memorial Handicap Hurdle Settled towards the back - faltered after 6th - eased out of contention shortly after | PU/10 | — | 12-0 | 120 | — | — | Sean Bowen | 50/1 |
| 06 Dec 25+42d | Chepstow | Coral Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) Set the pace early - lost front spot at 3rd then sat just behind before regaining command after the following fence - lost the advantage nearing three out - faded from there to finish well held in 5th | 5/8 | ½ | 11-7 | 122 | 106A | 111B | Richard Patrick | 11/1 |
| 25 Oct 25+19d | Cheltenham | Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race) Up with the front group - pulled hard early - advanced to 3rd - dropped away 3 out and struggling - remote last | 13/17 | 23 | 10-4 | 124 | 116C | 102C | Richie McLernon | 40/1 |
| 06 Oct 25+11d | Tipperary | WTW Willis Maiden Hurdle Up front early and sharing the advantage - dropped to 2nd before contesting again 3 out - driven to the front at the following fence - under pressure before the last - pulled clear and ran on gamely to win | 1/10 | 11-4 | — | 78A | 129A | Donagh Meyler | 6/1 | |
| 25 Sep 25+174d | Listowel | Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle Held up at the back early - roused around 4th before dropping to 8th approaching 3 out with nothing more to offer - finished well adrift | 10/11 | 8 | 11-6 | — | 41C | 94C | Donagh Meyler | 14/1 |
| 04 Apr 25+22d | Wexford | Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle Small error at the opening fence - tracked the front group and travelled comfortably in 5th at halfway - suffered a heavy knock 4 out and dropped away - urged along to hold a lowly 8th after 3 out - made no headway into 5th 2 out - finished strongly to snatch second on the line | 2/10 | 23 | 11-8 | — | 96A | 110A | Donagh Meyler | 14/1 |
| 13 Mar 25+19d | Limerick | Irish Stallion Farms EBF (Pro/Am) Auction Flat Race Sat close to the pace early - moved to the front approaching halfway - challenged and overtaken entering the straight - dropped away in the closing stages | 6/12 | 10 | 11-7 | — | — | 65C | Mr J L Gleeson | 4/1 |
| 22 Feb 25+25d | Fairyhouse | Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle Settled in midfield early - urged forward into sixth three out - improved into fourth despite an error two out - stayed on late to snatch third near the line but no closer than that | 3/12 | 15 | 11-8 | — | 79A | 113A | Donagh Meyler | 18/1 |
| 28 Jan 25 | Limerick | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Auction (Pro/Am) Flat Race Held up towards the back early - improved into 4th by halfway - pushed into 3rd with 7f left - made ground into 2nd a furlong out - unable to challenge up front - slipped back to 3rd but held on gamely to finish | 3/6 | ¾ | 11-9 | — | 107A | 125B | Mr J L Gleeson | 10/3 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Watchful Protector (IRE) won?
- Watchful Protector (IRE) won 1 of 9 archived starts between 2025 and 2026, a strike rate of 11.1%. Placed 3 times in total (33.3% of starts).
- Who trains Watchful Protector (IRE)?
- Watchful Protector (IRE) is trained by Mickey Bowen, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 12 April 2026.
- Who is Watchful Protector (IRE)'s sire?
- Watchful Protector (IRE) is by Mount Nelson (GB) out of Shannon Waters (IRE), whose sire is Flemensfirth.
- What going does Watchful Protector (IRE) prefer?
- Watchful Protector (IRE) has the best record on good to soft going: 1 win from 4 starts (25%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Watchful Protector (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 120, from the run on 12 April 2026. The highest on record is 124.
- What is Watchful Protector (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Mount Nelson (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.9% of 6,257 runs since Jan 2008 (538 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Watchful Protector (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Shannon Waters (IRE), Watchful Protector (IRE) has 2 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Oct 2026.