Winter Thorn (IRE)
Winter Thorn (IRE) is yet to win from 5 starts, though has placed twice. Best effort: 2nd of 9 at Nottingham (Sep 2020). Last raced off a career-high mark of 80.
- 0–5Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 2 (40%)Placed
- −5.00£1 level staken=5 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=5 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 80Highest OR
- 27dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 99
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 22 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 2 | 106C | 71.5 | — |
| Good | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 22 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 3 | 106C | 99 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2 | 90A | 63.5 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 5 figures from 5 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.6% of 4,786 runs since Jan 2008 (412 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 10 | 2 | 20% | +8.4 | — |
| Good to Firm | 654 | 81 | 12.4% | +0.8 | 0 from 2 |
| Good | 996 | 112 | 11.2% | −0.4 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Soft | 522 | 52 | 10% | −1.6 | 0 from 1 |
| Soft | 658 | 64 | 9.7% | −1.9 | — |
| Heavy | 185 | 25 | 13.5% | +1.9 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,760 | 218 | 12.4% | +0.8 | 0 from 1 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 283 | 27 | 9.5% | −2.1 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 1,501 | 171 | 11.4% | −0.2 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,295 | 177 | 13.7% | +2.1 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1,136 | 115 | 10.1% | −1.5 | 0 from 3 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 383 | 46 | 12% | +0.4 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 156 | 15 | 9.6% | −2 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 28 | 2 | 7.1% | −4.5 | — |
| Over 3m | 4 | 1 | 25% | +13.4 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 22 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
1 sibling in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Ganayem (IRE) (2 wins).
The wins came over 1m–1m½f; the highest grade won is Class 5 (Ganayem (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ganayem (IRE) | 5 | 2 | 1m–1m½f | Class 5 |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Class 4 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Windsor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Atzeni | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Jack Mitchell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| David Egan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 20+43d | Nottingham | Read Silvestre De Sousa Blog At starsportsbet.co.uk Novice Stakes | 2/9 | 2¾ | 9-2 | 80 | 99A | 82A | Andrea Atzeni | 10/3 |
| 15 Aug 20+26d | Newbury | Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap | 7/11 | 2½ | 9-1 | 80 | 79A | 67A | Andrea Atzeni | 6/1 |
| 20 Jul 20+24d | Windsor | Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 535 Maiden Stakes | 2/16 | ¾ | 9-5 | — | 106C | 91A | Andrea Atzeni | 16/1 |
| 26 Jun 20+14d | Doncaster | Follow At The Races On Twitter Novice Stakes | 12/12 | 7½ | 9-2 | — | 37C | 47C | Jack Mitchell | 14/1 |
| 12 Jun 20 | Kempton (AW) | Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Maiden Stakes (Div 2) | 5/10 | 4 | 9-3 | — | 90A | 65A | David Egan | 5/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Winter Thorn (IRE) won?
- Winter Thorn (IRE) has yet to win, from 5 archived starts in 2020. Placed 2 times in total (40% of starts).
- Who trained Winter Thorn (IRE)?
- Winter Thorn (IRE) was trained by Roger Varian on the most recent run on record, at Nottingham on 27 September 2020.
- Who is Winter Thorn (IRE)'s sire?
- Winter Thorn (IRE) is by Muhaarar (GB) out of Rose of Summer (USA), whose sire is El Prado.
- What is Winter Thorn (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 80, from the run on 27 September 2020. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Winter Thorn (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Muhaarar (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.6% of 4,786 runs since Jan 2008 (412 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Winter Thorn (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Rose of Summer (USA), Winter Thorn (IRE) has 1 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Ganayem (IRE) (2). Highest grade won: Class 5 (Ganayem (IRE)). The wins came over 1m–1m½f. As at Oct 2026.