What is David Egan's strike rate?

David Egan has won 438 of 3,556 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 12.3% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does David Egan do best at?

Chelmsford City (AW) by strike rate: 26 wins from 159 rides (16.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does David Egan ride most for?

Roger Varian, with 457 rides since 2022 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 89 (19.5%).

Is David Egan in form?

In the last 14 days: 42 rides, 5 winners, a strike rate of 11.9%. That is in line with the baseline of 12.3% since 2022.

What is David Egan's Fair A/E?

1.01, from 3,531 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

David Egan

3,556 rides in the last 5 seasons · 2,087 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride yesterday 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)

from 1 Jan 2022

438–3,556

Wins / Runs

12.3%

Strike rate

n=3,556

1,149 (32%)

Placed

1.01

Fair A/E

n=3,531 · 0.86 incl. margin

−844.73

£1 level stake

n=3,556 at SP · −23.8%

£12.0m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

12.6%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 710 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 12% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.01). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 16% (444 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 3,556 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Sep Fresh horses: 13.3% 34.7% when favourite Roger Varian: 19.5% from 457 LTO winners: 16% Rides the favourite in 11% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Brighton (28.6%, n=56), Bath (29.4%, n=34) and Hamilton (29%, n=31) — all clear of the rider's 12.3% baseline. It is weakest at Ascot (2.2% over 182 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 16% (n=444, Fair A/E 1.01), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 7.1% (n=546, Fair A/E 1.07). The market has consistently overbet in Group and Graded company the record: 7.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.81 and −232.23 to a £1 stake over 444 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Roger Varian supplies 13% of the rides and beats the rider's average (19.5% vs 12.3%, A/E 1.06) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (25.5%, n=94). 48 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Juddmonte International Stakes at York (Aug 2021, £567,100). The standout partner of the record: Arizona Blaze (GB) — 6 wins from 16 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.3% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

11.9%−0.4

n=1,980 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −370.75

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

16%+3.7

n=444 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −132.60

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

13.3%+1.0

n=564 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −103.71

When favourite

34.7%

n=386 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −66.98

Big fields · 14+ runners

7.1%−5.2

n=546 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −144.05

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.4%−4.9

n=444 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −232.23

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Brighton 28.6% vs 12.3% · n=56

At Bath 29.4% vs 12.3% · n=34

Off a 0-7-day break 25.5% vs 12.3% · n=94

At Hamilton 29% vs 12.3% · n=31

At Ascot 2.2% vs 12.3% · n=182

With Roger Varian 19.5% vs 12.3% · n=457

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,105 155 14% −197.83

Good to Firm 819 102 12.5% −242.40

Good 787 91 11.6% −226.49

Good to Soft 402 48 11.9% −55.74

Soft 342 27 7.9% −92.91

Heavy 94 11 11.7% −34.34

Firm 7 4 57.1% +4.98

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 337 44 13.1% −20.61

Newmarket 214 24 11.2% −47.22

Wolverhampton (AW) 186 27 14.5% −34.96

Ascot 182 4 2.2% −136.00

Lingfield (AW) 180 21 11.7% −81.05

Chelmsford City (AW) 159 26 16.4% −25.12

Windsor 153 19 12.4% −55.07

Yarmouth 152 19 12.5% −29.07

Newbury 146 18 12.3% +1.16

Goodwood 134 10 7.5% −41.17

Southwell (AW) 114 14 12.3% −44.01

Newmarket 114 13 11.4% −53.00

York 105 8 7.6% −41.00

Doncaster 101 16 15.8% +5.01

Haydock 100 9 9% −55.30

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 829 133 16% −156.46

Class 4 798 100 12.5% −231.49

Class 6 529 67 12.7% −83.79

Class 2 504 42 8.3% −123.04

Class 1 443 33 7.4% −231.23

Class 3 342 48 14% −33.28

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 439 152 34.6% 1.05 −45.81

2nd–3rd fav 936 170 18.2% 1.05 −74.12

4th–6th fav 1,147 85 7.4% 0.91 −281.00

7th+ in betting 1,034 31 3% 0.88 −443.80

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Arizona Blaze (GB) 16 6 10 14 Sep 25

Valiant Force (USA) 15 2 3 12 Jul 26

Fantasy Master (GB) 15 3 7 12 Jun 26

California Dreamer (GB) 14 0 4 24 May 26

Power Blue (IRE) 12 2 4 17 Oct 26

Tony Montana (GB) 12 1 5 15 May 26

Evanesco (GB) 11 3 5 12 Sep 26

Mr Nugget (GB) 11 0 2 24 Mar 26

Maxident (GB) 10 2 7 19 Oct 26

Bucanero Fuerte (GB) 10 3 4 9 Aug 26

Dallas Star (FR) 10 1 2 20 Jun 26

Uzincso (GB) 9 1 2 9 Sep 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 2,087 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

5 from 42 11.9% · −0.4pts vs baseline

Last 14 days11.9%

5-season base12.3%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

·814101112131414111513

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardRoger Varian

13% of all rides
19.5% SR · A/E 1.06

TrainerRWSR£1

Roger Varian 457 89 19.5% −80.11

Kevin Philippart De Foy 186 31 16.7% −77.84

John Butler 150 22 14.7% +45.48

Adrian Murray 147 21 14.3% −13.66

Ian Williams 140 7 5% −91.67

Jane Chapple-Hyam 123 19 15.4% +26.71

Michael Bell 87 9 10.3% −18.87

Tom Clover 80 16 20% −2.12

Raphael E Freire 66 9 13.6% −24.24

Richard Hughes 62 8 12.9% −11.00

Robson De Aguiar 56 2 3.6% −50.56

Hughie Morrison 56 8 14.3% −18.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→

774

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£18.2m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 95 wins

Mishriff (IRE) — Juddmonte International Stakes (Group 1) York · Aug 2021 · Group 1

£567,100

Eldar Eldarov (GB) — Cazoo St Leger Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Doncaster · Sep 2022 · Group 1

£445,741

Eldar Eldarov (GB) — Comer Group International Irish St. Leger (Group 1) Curragh · Sep 2023 · Group 1

£342,000

Notable horses

Arizona Blaze (GB) Eldar Eldarov (GB) Delagate This Lord (GB) Shandoz (GB) Haveoneyerself (IRE) Fantasy Master (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kodiac (GB) 4.3% · 4–93

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,534 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.

Havana Grey (GB) 13.1% · 11–84

Progeny have won 13.3% of 4,533 runs since 2008 (415 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.3% from 104. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10.3% from 408.

Lope De Vega (IRE) 19.3% · 16–83

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,150 runs since 2008 (1,099 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 953.

Dark Angel (IRE) 17.5% · 14–80

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,876 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Frankel (GB) 13.9% · 11–79

Progeny have won 18% of 7,495 runs since 2008 (873 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 12.3% from 324. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.4% from 267.

Kingman (GB) 12.9% · 9–70

Progeny have won 14.6% of 7,470 runs since 2008 (775 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.1% from 959. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9.1% from 121.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 6,565 · newest first

The latest 50 of 6,565 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 7 May 2016 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Pontefract Night Patrol (IRE)T: Julie Camacho Napoleons Casino Bradford Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Heavy · 9 ran 4th 6/1

19 Oct 26 Pontefract Maxident (GB)T: Kevin Philippart de Foy Phil Bull Trophy Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 18f · Heavy · 9 ran 2nd 6/4F

19 Oct 26 Pontefract Mary Doll (IRE)T: John S O'Donoghue British Stallion Studs Ebf Silver Tankard Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 8f · Heavy · 8 ran 6th 22/1

19 Oct 26 Pontefract Emerald Bay (IRE)T: George Scott William Hill Price Boosts Every Day Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Soft · 11 ran 7th 12/1

19 Oct 26 Pontefract Harmonising (IRE)T: John S O'Donoghue Happy 80th Birthday William 'bill' Carr Maiden Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 6f · Soft · 6 ran 3rd 12/1

17 Oct 26 Ascot Brian (IRE)T: J. S. Moore Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing)Class 2 · 8f · Good · 20 ran 15th 66/1

17 Oct 26 Ascot Power Blue (IRE)T: Robson De Aguiar Qatar Racing British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1)Class 1 · 6f · Good · 16 ran 6th 33/1

17 Oct 26 Ascot Crusherman (IRE)T: Brian Meehan Qatar Racing British Champions Day Two-Year-Old Conditions Stakes (GBB Race)Class 2 · 6f · Good · 11 ran 11th 100/1

16 Oct 26 Haydock Zain Primus (GB)T: John Butler Weatherbys Stallion Book Handicap StakesClass 3 · 5f · Heavy · 14 ran 14th 22/1

16 Oct 26 Haydock Maximising (IRE)T: Kevin Philippart de Foy M6Toll Road To Victory Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 3 · 8f · Heavy · 10 ran 1st 11/2

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Walt (IRE)T: David Loughnane Free Digital Racecard At Raceday-ready.com Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 14/1

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Mariselle (IRE)T: Adam Kirby Follow @AtTheRaces On X Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 50/1

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Grove Street (GB)T: Brian Meehan Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 2/5F

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Spinney (GB)T: Tom Clover Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Fillies' Handicap Stakes (London Middle Distance Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 11f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 3rd 6/1

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Nicator (FR)T: Kevin Philippart de Foy Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Middle Distance Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 11f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 10th 7/2

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Do Bronxs (IRE)T: David Loughnane Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 12th 14/1

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Iris Olivia (IRE)T: Kevin Philippart de Foy Juddmonte EBF Novice Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands A, B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 4th 2/1F

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Protectrix (IRE)T: John Butler Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div II)Class 5 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 4th 13/2

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Gunfighter (IRE)T: John Butler Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div I)Class 5 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 1st 1/1F

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Stephen's Secret (GB)T: John Butler Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 8 ran 6th 250/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is David Egan's strike rate?: David Egan has won 438 of 3,556 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 12.3% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does David Egan do best at?: Chelmsford City (AW) by strike rate: 26 wins from 159 rides (16.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does David Egan ride most for?: Roger Varian, with 457 rides since 2022 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 89 (19.5%).
Is David Egan in form?: In the last 14 days: 42 rides, 5 winners, a strike rate of 11.9%. That is in line with the baseline of 12.3% since 2022.
What is David Egan's Fair A/E?: 1.01, from 3,531 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.