Ann Stokell
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 60 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.70). Rode mostly for Ann Stokell — 99% of rides in the window.
The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 2.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.71 and −268.00 to a £1 stake over 539 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Ann Stokell supplied 99% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (2.7%, A/E 0.71). The market has consistently overbet the rider off a 31-60-day break: Fair A/E 0.00 across 52 rides (0% strike, −52.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. Seasonally, the rider fired Jun–Jul.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 2.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 900 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 900 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 5 January 2005 to 2 January 2017.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Ann Stokell's strike rate?
- Ann Stokell has won 15 of 552 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 2.7% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Ann Stokell do best at?
- Chelmsford (AW) by strike rate: 2 wins from 36 rides (5.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Ann Stokell ride most for?
- Ann Stokell, with 549 rides since 2008 — 99% of the total. That pairing has won 15 (2.7%).
- What is Ann Stokell's Fair A/E?
- 0.70, from 549 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.