Skip to content
Jockey profile

Kevin Darcy

100 rides in the lifetime window · 50 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Dec 2016 100% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
2–100
Wins / Runs
2%
Strike rate
n=100
10 (10%)
Placed
0.43
Fair A/E
n=100 · 0.35 incl. margin
−93.75
£1 level stake
n=100 at SP · −93.8%
£18,988
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 30 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.43). Rode mostly for Denis Gerard Hogan — 82% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 100 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Denis Gerard Hogan: 2.4% from 82
The read

The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 2% strike, Fair A/E 0.43 and −93.75 to a £1 stake over 100 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Denis Gerard Hogan supplied 82% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (2.4%, A/E 0.47). The market has consistently overbet the rider over 1m5f – 2m: Fair A/E 0.00 across 54 rides (0% strike, −54.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
0%−2.0
n=50 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −50.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−2.0
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−2.0
n=21 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00
When favourite
66.7%
n=3 · A/E 2.21 · £1 +3.25
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
2%+0.0
n=100 · A/E 0.43 · £1 −93.75
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−2.0
n=58 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −58.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 2% · n=54
On first rides for the horse 0% vs 2% · n=50
On Soft going 0% vs 2% · n=33
With Denis Gerard Hogan 2.4% vs 2% · n=82 · A/E 0.47
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 86 2 2.3% −79.75
Chase 14 0 0% −14.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 35 1 2.9% −31.75
Soft 33 0 0% −33.00
Heavy 16 0 0% −16.00
Good to Firm 10 1 10% −7.00
Good to Soft 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Clonmel 12 0 0% −12.00
Limerick 11 0 0% −11.00
Thurles 8 0 0% −8.00
Gowran Park 7 0 0% −7.00
Kilbeggan 7 1 14.3% −3.75
Killarney 6 0 0% −6.00
Navan 6 0 0% −6.00
Punchestown 6 0 0% −6.00
Ballinrobe 5 0 0% −5.00
Wexford 4 0 0% −4.00
Fairyhouse 4 0 0% −4.00
Tramore 4 0 0% −4.00
Naas 3 0 0% −3.00
Tipperary 2 0 0% −2.00
Down Royal 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 5 2 1 50% +1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 2 66.7% 2.21 +3.25
2nd–3rd fav 5 0 0% 0.00 −5.00
4th–6th fav 16 0 0% 0.00 −16.00
7th+ in betting 76 0 0% 0.00 −76.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
89% completed · 100 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 14 92.9% 0 1 0 0 0
Hurdle 86 88.4% 3 1 6 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Boherna Lady (IRE) 12 2 5 5 Nov 15
Ocean Glandore (IRE) 7 0 1 16 May 16
Rathnaleen Girl (IRE) 4 0 0 3 May 16
Drive The Bus (IRE) 4 0 0 25 Apr 16
Island Villa (IRE) 3 0 0 10 Jun 16
The Black Robin (IRE) 3 0 0 31 May 16
Eiri Na Casca (IRE) 3 0 0 31 Mar 16
Easy To Find (IRE) 3 0 1 20 Jan 16
Fiosrach (IRE) 3 0 0 10 Dec 15
Tithonus (IRE) 3 0 2 18 Oct 15
Easter Spirit (IRE) 3 0 0 12 Jun 15
Whispering Hope (IRE) 3 0 0 7 Dec 14
All 50 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0000000010800
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardDenis Gerard Hogan
82% of all rides
2.4% SR · A/E 0.47
TrainerRWSR£1
Denis Gerard Hogan 82 2 2.4% −75.75
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→
2
Archived wins
£18,988
Prize money
2015
Best season · 2 wins
Boherna Lady (IRE) — Pat Doyle Memorial Handicap Hurdle (80-102) Kilbeggan · Sep 2015
£6,210
Boherna Lady (IRE) — Haygain Hay Steamers Clean Healthy Forage Mares' Handicap Hurdle Towcester · Oct 2015 · Class 5
£3,899
Notable horses
Boherna Lady (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Shantou (USA) 15.4% · 2–13
Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,834 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.
Beneficial (GB) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,046 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Whitmore's Conn (USA) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 9% of 1,102 runs since 2008 (78 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 12.8% from 329.
Helissio (FR) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 9.2% of 1,145 runs since 2008 (106 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 5.8% from 207.
Presenting (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Bachelor Duke (USA) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 7.8% of 1,605 runs since 2008 (109 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 11.2% from 143.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 100 · newest first

The latest 50 of 100 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 7 December 2013 to 26 December 2016.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
26 Dec 16 Down Royal Doldrum Bay (IRE)T: Andrew Lynch Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-102)16f · Soft · 20 ran 12th 14/1
20 Nov 16 Punchestown Dawerann (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott Flynn & Lynch Life And Pensions Supporting Longford Gaa Handicap Hurdle (80-116)22f · Soft · 17 ran 9th 18/1
14 Jul 16 Killarney (IRE) Redwood Boy (IRE)T: Denis Gerard Hogan Europe Hotel & Resort Handicap Hurdle17f · Good · 16 ran 14th 28/1
11 Jun 16 Limerick Hunters Vision (IRE)T: Denis Gerard Hogan Coral.ie For All Euro 2016 Betting Handicap Hurdle (80-95)19f · Good To Firm · 17 ran 7th 20/1
11 Jun 16 Limerick My Painter (IRE)T: Denis Gerard Hogan Coral.ie Bet 5 Get 20 In Free Bets On Euro 2016 Handicap Hurdle16f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 5th 28/1
10 Jun 16 Clonmel Island Villa (IRE)T: Denis Gerard Hogan Micro Dog ID Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16.5f · Good · 15 ran 12th 12/1
31 May 16 Ballinrobe The Black Robin (IRE)T: Denis Gerard Hogan Mchale Fusion 3 Plus Beginners Chase17f · Good · 12 ran 10th 66/1
16 May 16 Killarney Ocean Glandore (IRE)T: Denis Gerard Hogan Robin Parke Memorial Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 15 ran 13th 28/1
15 May 16 Killarney The Black Robin (IRE)T: Denis Gerard Hogan Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Beginners Chase17f · Good · 13 ran 11th 50/1
15 May 16 Killarney Baltic Phoenix (IRE)T: Denis Gerard Hogan Killarney Towers Hotel Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 17 ran 8th 100/1
08 May 16 Limerick The Black Robin (IRE)T: Denis Gerard Hogan Coral.ie Bet & Watch Irish And UK Racing Live Beginners Chase19.5f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 6th 66/1
03 May 16 Ballinrobe Rathnaleen Girl (IRE)T: Philip M Byrne John Madden & Sons Handicap Hurdle (80-95)21f · Soft · 16 ran 11th 25/1
02 May 16 Down Royal Thank You Pa (IRE)T: G Hayes Simplyfruit Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Good · 20 ran 8th 33/1
25 Apr 16 Tramore Drive The Bus (IRE)T: Denis Gerard Hogan New Tote Mobile Betting Site At Thetote.com Handicap Chase (0-109)16f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 6th 12/1
22 Apr 16 Kilbeggan Ocean Glandore (IRE)T: Denis Gerard Hogan Pieta House Darkness Into Light 5k Walk/run Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16f · Good · 13 ran 12th 12/1
05 Apr 16 Fairyhouse Rathnaleen Girl (IRE)T: Philip M Byrne Online Discounts At Fairyhouse.ie Maiden Hurdle18f · Soft To Heavy · 20 ran 6th 100/1
31 Mar 16 Clonmel Eiri Na Casca (IRE)T: Denis Gerard Hogan Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Chase (0-109)20f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 4th 10/1
24 Mar 16 Thurles Thank You Pa (IRE)T: G Hayes Martinstown Opportunity Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 14 ran F 100/1
17 Mar 16 Wexford Drive The Bus (IRE)T: Denis Gerard Hogan St. Patrick's Day Novice Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16f · Soft · 12 ran 12th 12/1
12 Mar 16 Limerick Beautiful Ben (IRE)T: Denis Gerard Hogan 8/1 Willie Mullins To Train A Cheltenham Winner At Coral.ie Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16f · Heavy · 14 ran 13th 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Kevin Darcy's strike rate?
Kevin Darcy has won 2 of 100 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Kevin Darcy ride most for?
Denis Gerard Hogan, with 82 rides since 2008 — 82% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (2.4%).
What is Kevin Darcy's Fair A/E?
0.43, from 100 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).