No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sent out around 40 runners a season, winning with 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.54).
Deterministic profile computed from 529 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceFired Aug–SepAlain Cawley: 3.8% from 53Claiming riders: 3%
The read
The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 0.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.28 and −97.00 to a £1 stake over 118 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Alain Cawley rode 10% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (3.8%, A/E 0.63). The market has consistently overbet the yard in Flat races: Fair A/E 0.00 across 107 runners (0% strike, −107.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. Seasonally, the yard fired Aug–Sep.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 2.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0.8%−1.5
n=118 · A/E 0.28 · £1 −97.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.3
n=29 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −29.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.3
n=28 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −28.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.3
n=23 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −23.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.3
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
When favourite
11.1%
n=9 · A/E 0.50 · £1 −5.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3%+0.7
n=304 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −192.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.3
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
With horses switching code0% vs 2.3% · n=109
In Flat races0% vs 2.3% · n=107
Off a 31-60-day break0% vs 2.3% · n=84
In NH Flat races4.7% vs 2.3% · n=43
Off a 15-30-day break4.1% vs 2.3% · n=145 · A/E 0.83
On Good to Soft going0% vs 2.3% · n=42
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle31792.8%−209.50
Flat10700%−107.00
Chase6211.6%−49.00
NH Flat4324.7%−24.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good15521.3%−136.50
Soft15064%−70.00
Heavy10332.9%−83.00
Good to Firm4612.2%−25.00
Good to Soft4200%−42.00
Standard (AW)2900%−29.00
Firm400%−4.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Ballinrobe7111.4%−63.50
Galway6822.9%−44.00
Limerick3812.6%−30.00
Cork3712.7%−11.00
Clonmel3013.3%−21.00
Roscommon2813.6%−22.50
Dundalk (AW)2800%−28.00
Kilbeggan2514%−21.50
Thurles2300%−23.00
Killarney2100%−21.00
Navan1900%−19.00
Gowran Park1815.6%−7.00
Listowel17211.8%+11.00
Fairyhouse1500%−15.00
Tipperary1500%−15.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 1700%−7.00
Class 4400%−4.00
Class 5200%−2.00
Class 6100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite1317.7%0.40−9.50
2nd–3rd fav3239.4%0.77−13.50
4th–6th fav8456%0.96−30.50
7th+ in betting40030.8%0.28−336.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m5f – 2m18721.1%−173.00
2m1f – 2m4f16663.6%−81.50
2m5f – 3m7534%−41.50
1m2f – 1m4f4100%−41.00
1m – 1m1f2800%−28.00
6f – 7f1900%−19.00
Over 3m8112.5%−0.50
Under 6f500%−5.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20086811.5%−62.50
20094400%−44.00
20102114.8%−13.00
20114536.7%−18.00
20123612.8%−32.50
20135611.8%−35.00
20142100%−21.00
20152500%−25.00
20162900%−29.00
20174624.3%−21.50
20186911.4%−60.00
20196723%−26.00
2020200%−2.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps31272.2%−203.50
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
14-16 runners20131.5%−182.00
17+ runners16553%−82.50
11-13 runners10033%−71.00
8-10 runners5411.9%−45.00
5-7 runners900%−9.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 61 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 60 horses listed, 29 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Barry T Murphy (3) and Denis Gerard Hogan (3); 31 had their first archived run for this yard.
23 have since run for another yard, most often for Paul John Gilligan (6) and Barry T Murphy (2); 37 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1000000256233
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
17
Archived wins
£258k
Prize money
2011
Best season · 3 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Erra Go On (GB) — www.galwaynews.ie Handicap Hurdle Galway · Oct 2007
£32,550
High Diving (GB) — HP Software Management Services Handicap (50-80) Galway · Jul 2005
£11,402
Alaliya (IRE) — Allianz Handicap Hurdle (80-102) Down Royal · Nov 2017
Progeny have won 9.7% of 794 runs since 2008 (56 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13% from 100. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 14.3% from 119. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.7% from 106.
Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,320 runs since 2008 (596 horses).
Atraf (GB)0% · 0–42
Progeny have won 6.9% of 1,220 runs since 2008 (86 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 11% from 317. Weakest on Good to Firm going: 3.9% from 204. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 10.4% from 135. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.1% from 293.
Fantastic Quest (IRE)3.7% · 1–27
Progeny have won 8.7% of 69 runs since 2008 (5 horses).
Redoute's Choice (AUS)0% · 0–27
Progeny have won 12.6% of 990 runs since 2008 (100 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 18.8% from 128. Weakest on Soft going: 7.7% from 130. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 17.8% from 264. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.9% from 189.
Bob Back (USA)14.3% · 3–21
Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,724 runs since 2008 (338 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 733 · newest first
The latest 50 of 733 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 January 2005 to 31 January 2020.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is G T Lynch's strike rate?
G T Lynch has won 12 of 529 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.3% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does G T Lynch do best at?
Clonmel by strike rate: 1 wins from 30 runners (3.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for G T Lynch?
Alain Cawley, with 53 runners since 2008 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (3.8%).
What is G T Lynch's Fair A/E?
0.54, from 528 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
G T Lynch·SR 2.3%·A/E 0.54
KTB
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