What is Marc Lerner's strike rate?

Marc Lerner has won 53 of 843 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Marc Lerner do best at?

Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 13 wins from 138 rides (9.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Marc Lerner ride most for?

C Lerner, with 364 rides since 2008 — 43% of the total. That pairing has won 26 (7.1%).

Is Marc Lerner in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 2 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Marc Lerner's Fair A/E?

0.89, from 820 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Marc Lerner

843 rides in the lifetime window · 393 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 4 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

53–843

Wins / Runs

6.3%

Strike rate

n=843

217 (26%)

Placed

0.89

Fair A/E

n=820 · 0.74 incl. margin

−229.60

£1 level stake

n=833 at SP · −27.6%

£1.42m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 40 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.89). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 14% (50 rides). Rides mostly for C Lerner — 43% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 843 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Apr–May 14.3% when favourite C Lerner: 7.1% from 364 LTO winners: 14% Claiming: 9% Rides the favourite in 5% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 14% (n=50, Fair A/E 1.27), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 3.3% (n=30, Fair A/E 0.49). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.60 and −121.20 to a £1 stake over 184 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. C Lerner supplies 43% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (7.1%, A/E 0.95). The rider also reads well at trips under 6f (20.6%, n=34) and off a 8-14-day break (14.8%, n=81). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 36 rides, 6.3pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Prix du Bois at Chantilly (FR) (Jun 2013, £32,520). Seasonally, the rider fires Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.3% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

5.3%−1.0

n=393 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −140.40

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

14%+7.7

n=50 · A/E 1.27 · £1 +18.50

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

3.8%−2.5

n=184 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −121.20

When favourite

14.3%

n=42 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −20.30

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

9%+2.7

n=345 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −23.00

Big fields · 14+ runners

3.9%−2.4

n=456 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −183.70

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

3.3%−3.0

n=30 · A/E 0.49 · £1 −22.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At trips under 6f 20.6% vs 6.3% · n=34

Off a 8-14-day break 14.8% vs 6.3% · n=81

On last-time-out winners 14% vs 6.3% · n=50

With new recruits 0% vs 6.3% · n=37

Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 6.3% · n=36

Over 1m5f – 2m 11.9% vs 6.3% · n=42

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 302 13 4.3% −170.10

Soft 172 8 4.7% −52.20

Good 170 15 8.8% +40.80

Good to Soft 138 13 9.4% −21.10

Heavy 60 4 6.7% −27.00

Firm 1 0 0% —

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville (FR) 219 12 5.5% −100.60

Chantilly (FR) 184 9 4.9% −94.70

Saint-Cloud (FR) 138 13 9.4% −23.80

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 135 10 7.4% +51.90

Longchamp (FR) 115 5 4.3% −67.80

Compiegne 10 1 10% +19.00

Clairefontaine 10 0 0% −9.00

Cagnes-Sur-Mer 7 1 14.3% +13.00

Fontainebleau 4 0 0% −4.00

Le Touquet (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Lyon-La Soie 3 0 0% −3.00

Le Croise-Laroche 3 0 0% −2.00

Dieppe 3 0 0% −3.00

Lyon Parilly 2 1 50% −1.00

La Teste De Buch 1 1 100% +4.40

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 30 1 3.3% −22.00

Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 45 6 13.3% 0.60 −23.30

2nd–3rd fav 136 18 13.2% 1.03 −33.30

4th–6th fav 207 15 7.2% 0.96 −48.10

7th+ in betting 445 12 2.7% 0.87 −124.90

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Simba (FR) 15 3 8 25 Jun 14

Luminous Mind (USA) 15 1 3 17 Apr 14

Catushaba (IRE) 14 1 4 2 Aug 14

Lando Blue (IRE) 13 1 5 31 Aug 14

Excellent Touch (IRE) 12 1 6 17 Oct 14

Cheveley (FR) 12 0 2 5 May 14

Chic Fabric (IRE) 12 0 3 14 Dec 13

Dragstair (FR) 12 1 7 26 May 13

Manapi (FR) 11 0 4 3 Jul 14

Marmaris (FR) 11 0 4 22 Feb 14

Niente Paura (IRE) 10 1 2 9 Nov 13

Jeep Chope (FR) 9 0 3 9 Jan 13

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 393 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 2

Only 2 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

417410974123505

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardC Lerner

43% of all rides
7.1% SR · A/E 0.95

TrainerRWSR£1

C Lerner 364 26 7.1% −93.90

F-X Belvisi 45 1 2.2% −29.50

C & Y Lerner 42 1 2.4% −37.60

C Boillot 31 2 6.5% −19.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.42m

Prize money

2012

Best season · 27 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Vedeux (IRE) — Prix du Bois (2yo) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Jun 2013 · Group 3

£32,520

Catushaba (IRE) — Prix de la Ville de Compiègne (Handicap) (3yo Fillies) (Turf) Compiegne (FR) · Jul 2013

£22,927

Lando Blue (IRE) — Prix Europe 1 (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Apr 2014

£20,367

Notable horses

Simba (FR) Via Chope (FR) San Juan (FR) Carilo (IRE) Vedeux (IRE) Marangu (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Anabaa Blue (GB) 11.8% · 4–34

Progeny have won 9.3% of 1,937 runs since 2008 (227 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 12.6% from 278. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6% from 417.

King's Best (USA) 0% · 0–20

Progeny have won 9.9% of 7,763 runs since 2008 (574 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.8% from 249.

Lando (GER) 5% · 1–20

Progeny have won 10.6% of 1,772 runs since 2008 (190 horses). Strongest on Good going: 14.2% from 431. Weakest on Heavy going: 4.8% from 168.

Elusive City (USA) 10.5% · 2–19

Progeny have won 9.7% of 8,432 runs since 2008 (636 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.4% from 1,123.

Aussie Rules (USA) 5.9% · 1–17

Progeny have won 9.8% of 4,515 runs since 2010 (297 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.6% from 177.

Excellent Art (GB) 6.3% · 1–16

Progeny have won 9.9% of 4,555 runs since 2011 (298 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 451.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 844 · newest first

The latest 50 of 844 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 29 November 2007 to 10 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

10 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Gouttes De Dieu (FR)T: C & Y Lerner Prix Guy Thibault6f · Very Soft · 15 ran 11th 10/1

10 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Great Thunder (FR)T: C & Y Lerner Prix de La Lande de Bruyere7f · Very Soft · 11 ran 6th 33/1

31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Mister Black (FR)T: C & Y Lerner Prix Du Pays De Bray9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 2nd 9/2

30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Why Not (FR)T: C & Y Lerner Prix De Saint-loyer-des-champs7f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 11/2

30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Cherimine (FR)T: C & Y Lerner Prix De L'epinay9.5f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 33/1

22 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Star Fixx (FR)T: C & Y Lerner Prix Du Canal Du Havre6.5f · Standard · 15 ran 3rd 11/2

20 Oct 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Cherimine (FR)T: C & Y Lerner Px Merci A La Boutique Gourmande Expl. Des Resto De Cf (Px Filiberto)9f · Heavy · 15 ran 11th 28/1

20 Oct 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Great Thunder (FR)T: C & Y Lerner Prix Merci Aux Partenaires & Exposants De Clairefontaine (Prix Madina)7f · Heavy · 11 ran 7th 22/1

07 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Why Not (FR)T: C & Y Lerner Prix Des Terroirs De France7f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 12/1

11 Sep 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Star Fixx (FR)T: C & Y Lerner Prix Du Lieu Dieu7f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 2nd 9/4F

11 Sep 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Why Not (FR)T: C & Y Lerner Prix Ortie Blanche7f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 3rd 10/1

20 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Star Fixx (FR)T: C & Y Lerner Prix Race & Care (Prix De La Hetraie)6.5f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 5/2J

18 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) King Trezy (FR)T: C & Y Lerner Prix Du Vieux Bassin12.5f · Soft · 15 ran 8th 9/1

14 Aug 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Why Not (FR)T: C & Y Lerner Prix Genybet (Prix Des Tournesols)7f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 2nd 11/4

10 Aug 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Star Fixx (FR)T: C & Y Lerner Prix Genybet de la Conquete de l'Ete (Prix Blangy-le-Chateau)7f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 2nd 11/2

10 Aug 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Star Fixx (FR)T: C Lerner Prix Genybet de la Conquete de l'Ete (Prix Blangy-le-Chateau)7f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 2nd 11/2

06 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Silver Eagle (FR)T: C & Y Lerner Prix Du Cochet6.5f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 33/1

03 Aug 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Telmorion (FR)T: C & Y Lerner Porc de Bayeux - Prix Turgeon12f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 4th 14/1

30 Jul 26 Dieppe (FR) King Trezy (FR)T: C & Y Lerner Prix Toyota Toys Motors (Prix Region Normandie)Class 2 · 12f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 8th 6/1

26 Jul 26 Le Touquet (FR) Baieta (GB)T: C & Y Lerner Prix Hugues Delloye6.5f · Soft · 12 ran 11th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Marc Lerner's strike rate?: Marc Lerner has won 53 of 843 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Marc Lerner do best at?: Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 13 wins from 138 rides (9.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Marc Lerner ride most for?: C Lerner, with 364 rides since 2008 — 43% of the total. That pairing has won 26 (7.1%).
Is Marc Lerner in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 2 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Marc Lerner's Fair A/E?: 0.89, from 820 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.