No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Rider Profile
Rode around 10 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.20).
Deterministic profile computed from 110 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glanceClaiming: 9.3%
The read
The rider also read well over 2m5f – 3m (14%, n=43) and in Class 4 (13.3%, n=30). The record read poorly on Good going — 5.5% over 55 rides, 3.6pts below the baseline.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.1% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
6.7%−2.4
n=60 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −30.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−9.1
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
3.4%−5.7
n=29 · A/E 0.48 · £1 −23.50
When favourite
60%
n=5 · A/E 1.79 · £1 +3.38
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
9.3%+0.2
n=108 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −40.62
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−9.1
n=26 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −26.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
Over 2m5f – 3m14% vs 9.1% · n=43
On Good going5.5% vs 9.1% · n=55
In Class 413.3% vs 9.1% · n=30
Over 2m1f – 2m4f5.7% vs 9.1% · n=35
On first rides for the horse6.7% vs 9.1% · n=60
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Chase7767.8%−45.87
Hurdle25416%+11.25
Flat400%−4.00
NH Flat400%−4.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good5535.5%−41.62
Good to Soft2428.3%+1.00
Good to Firm17423.5%+6.50
Soft1119.1%−5.50
Standard (AW)200%−2.00
Heavy100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Ludlow2428.3%−3.50
Cheltenham1200%−12.00
Stratford1000%−10.00
Hereford6233.3%+0.88
Newton Abbot6233.3%+11.50
Towcester6116.7%+4.00
Huntingdon500%−5.00
Leicester400%−4.00
Warwick400%−4.00
Southwell4125%+2.50
Aintree300%−3.00
Worcester3133.3%−0.75
Taunton200%−2.00
Market Rasen200%−2.00
Doncaster200%−2.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 54349.3%−16.25
Class 430413.3%−1.62
Class 62428.3%−11.75
Class 31000%−10.00
Class 2200%−2.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite8337.5%1.35+0.38
2nd–3rd fav14321.4%1.50+2.50
4th–6th fav3937.7%1.12−11.50
7th+ in betting4912%0.69−34.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m5f – 3m43614%−10.87
2m1f – 2m4f3525.7%−18.50
1m5f – 2m20210%−1.25
Over 3m900%−9.00
1m2f – 1m4f300%−3.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20081516.7%−11.25
20091300%−13.00
2010900%−9.00
201125416%−2.75
201215213.3%−4.12
201310220%+15.00
20147114.3%−1.50
20151200%−12.00
2016400%−4.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps44715.9%+5.63
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners3139.7%−2.25
11-13 runners2827.1%−10.50
5-7 runners20315%−5.75
14-16 runners1800%−18.00
17+ runners800%−8.00
2-4 runners5240%+1.88
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 61 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
01313019000·0020
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
12
Archived wins
£44,622
Prize money
2011
Best season · 4 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Rolling Dough (IRE) — Tanners Cava Lady Amateur Riders' Handicap Hurdle Ludlow · Dec 2013 · Class 4
Progeny have won 9.6% of 4,216 runs since 2008 (387 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 520.
Alflora (IRE)0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,312 runs since 2008 (535 horses).
Clantime (GB)0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 0% of 8 runs since 2008 (1 horse). A small sample.
Arch (USA)20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 12.9% of 1,676 runs since 2008 (171 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 9.4% from 180.
Lahint (USA)20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 23.8% of 63 runs since 2008 (7 horses).
Croco Rouge (IRE)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 9% of 723 runs since 2008 (74 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.8% from 120.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 128 · newest first
The latest 50 of 128 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 11 March 2005 to 20 May 2016.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Miss Hannah Watson's strike rate?
Miss Hannah Watson has won 10 of 110 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 9.1% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Miss Hannah Watson's Fair A/E?
1.20, from 110 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Miss Hannah Watson·SR 9.1%·A/E 1.20
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