No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB at a glanceClaiming: 2.7%
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 2.6% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
0%−2.6
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−2.6
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−2.6
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
2.7%+0.1
n=37 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −3.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
3.2%+0.6
n=31 · A/E 0.83 · £1 +3.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Chase1616.3%+18.00
Hurdle1400%−14.00
NH Flat800%−8.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Heavy2000%−20.00
Soft900%−9.00
Good700%−7.00
Good to Soft2150%+32.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Fairyhouse1218.3%+22.00
Thurles600%−6.00
Punchestown500%−5.00
Downpatrick400%−4.00
Navan400%−4.00
Down Royal200%−2.00
Perth100%−1.00
Gowran Park100%−1.00
Limerick100%−1.00
Naas100%−1.00
Roscommon100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 4100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
4th–6th fav1000%0.00−10.00
7th+ in betting2813.6%1.17+6.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m5f – 3m1400%−14.00
1m5f – 2m900%−9.00
Over 3m8112.5%+26.00
2m1f – 2m4f700%−7.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20081218.3%+22.00
20091600%−16.00
2010800%−8.00
2011100%−1.00
2012100%−1.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps1715.9%+17.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
17+ runners1715.9%+17.00
14-16 runners1400%−14.00
11-13 runners400%−4.00
8-10 runners300%−3.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 12 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
005000·0··000
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
3
Archived wins
£43,234
Prize money
2006
Best season · 2 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
What Odds (IRE) — Menolly Homes Handicap Chase (0-116) Fairyhouse · Mar 2008
£11,402
Powerberry (IRE) — Archie Watson Memorial Inh Flat Race Down Royal · Nov 2006
£10,365
Culmullen Hall (IRE) — Navan Shopping Centre (pro-am) Flat Race Navan · Nov 2006
Progeny have won 7.7% of 4,861 runs since 2008 (460 horses).
Torus (GB)11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 3.8% of 53 runs since 2008 (6 horses).
Bay Tern (USA)0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 7.1% of 14 runs since 2008 (2 horses). A small sample.
Bob Back (USA)0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,724 runs since 2008 (338 horses).
Dr Massini (IRE)0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,942 runs since 2008 (406 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14% from 421.
Monashee Mountain (USA)0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 8.4% of 998 runs since 2008 (75 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 11.7% from 291. Weakest on Good to Soft going: 4.9% from 103. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 11.7% from 120.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 80 · newest first
The latest 50 of 80 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 29 January 2005 to 11 May 2012.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Miss J Geraghty's strike rate?
Miss J Geraghty has won 1 of 38 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 2.6% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Miss J Geraghty's Fair A/E?
0.60, from 38 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Miss J Geraghty·SR 2.6%·A/E 0.60
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