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Jockey profile

Mme Axelle Nicco

282 rides in the last 5 seasons · 125 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 2 days ago 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)
from 1 Jan 2022
8–282
Wins / Runs
2.8%
Strike rate
n=282
47 (17%)
Placed
0.61
Fair A/E
n=282 · 0.51 incl. margin
−131.70
£1 level stake
n=282 at SP · −46.7%
£239k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.6%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 60 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.61).

Deterministic profile computed from 282 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Davide Satalia: 5.8% from 52
The read

The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 1.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.44 and −79.30 to a £1 stake over 110 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Davide Satalia supplies 18% of the rides and edges the rider's average (5.8% vs 2.8%, A/E 1.36) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 8-14-day break (8.8%, n=34) and on Soft going (6.1%, n=49). The market has consistently overbet the rider off a 61-180-day break: Fair A/E 0.00 across 51 rides (0% strike, −51.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.8% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
1.8%−1.0
n=110 · A/E 0.44 · £1 −79.30
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−2.8
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−2.8
n=84 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −84.00
When favourite
0%
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
2.8%+0.0
n=247 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −101.70
Big fields · 14+ runners
2.1%−0.7
n=188 · A/E 0.50 · £1 −82.10
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.8
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 8-14-day break 8.8% vs 2.8% · n=34
On Soft going 6.1% vs 2.8% · n=49
With Davide Satalia 5.8% vs 2.8% · n=52
Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 2.8% · n=51
On Good to Soft going 0% vs 2.8% · n=50
Over 1m5f – 2m 5.7% vs 2.8% · n=35
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 160 4 2.5% −50.90
Good to Soft 50 0 0% −50.00
Soft 49 3 6.1% −12.80
Heavy 18 0 0% −18.00
Good 5 1 20% +0.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Chantilly (FR) 144 3 2.1% −66.30
Saint-Cloud (FR) 47 2 4.3% −19.50
Deauville (FR) 40 2 5% +0.10
Longchamp (FR) 39 0 0% −39.00
Vichy (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Strasbourg (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Lyon Parilly (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Moulins (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Lyon-La Soie (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Fontainebleau (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Toulouse (FR) 1 1 100% +4.00
Clairefontaine (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Vittel (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 3 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 4 0 0% 0.00 −4.00
2nd–3rd fav 20 1 5% 0.35 −15.00
4th–6th fav 48 3 6.3% 0.80 −14.30
7th+ in betting 210 4 1.9% 0.73 −98.40
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Numerus Borget (FR) 11 1 4 18 Oct 26
Sadarak (FR) 10 1 4 7 May 23
Neva Nevada (FR) 9 2 3 4 Jul 24
Minnehaha (FR) 9 0 4 10 Mar 23
Planthalya (FR) 8 0 0 31 Mar 23
Comte Noir (FR) 7 1 1 13 May 25
Delachance (FR) 7 0 0 17 May 24
E Va Bin (IRE) 7 0 4 18 May 23
Charnock Richard (GB) 7 1 2 16 Feb 23
Sermandakfi (FR) 6 1 1 9 Feb 24
Ayguemorte (FR) 6 0 2 4 Oct 23
Roncherolles (FR) 6 0 2 12 Jul 22
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 125 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
703346005400
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardDavide Satalia
18% of all rides
5.8% SR · A/E 1.36
TrainerRWSR£1
Davide Satalia 52 3 5.8% −10.10
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→
31
Archived wins
£621k
Prize money
2020
Best season · 12 wins
Golden Rajsa (FR) — Prix de la Venus de Paris (Handicap) (Lady Jockeys) (4yo+ Fillies & Mares) (Moyenne Course:2nd Post) Longchamp (FR) · Jul 2021
£22,321
Plantlove (FR) — Prix de la Venus de Paris (Handicap) (Lady Jockeys) (4yo+ Fillies & Mares) (Grande Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Jul 2020
£19,068
Neva Nevada (FR) — Prix du Perigord (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Mar 2023
£11,947
Notable horses
Sadarak (FR) Minnehaha (FR) Neva Nevada (FR) Dandy Place (IRE) Numerus Borget (FR) Bleusky (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Myboycharlie (IRE) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 7.8% of 3,297 runs since 2008 (315 horses). Weakest on Good to Firm going: 4% from 225. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 4.1% from 195.
Rajsaman (FR) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 6.9% of 2,836 runs since 2008 (311 horses).
Shalaa (IRE) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 9.4% of 2,429 runs since 2008 (279 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.6% from 140.
Nicaron (GER) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 8.3% of 444 runs since 2008 (73 horses).
Zoffany (IRE) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 9.9% of 10,761 runs since 2008 (799 horses).
Cokoriko (FR) 22.2% · 2–9
Progeny have won 13.2% of 2,280 runs since 2008 (376 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.2% from 507.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 533 · newest first

The latest 50 of 533 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 18 September 2018 to 18 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Numerus Borget (FR)T: Davide Satalia Prix Des Erables15.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 7th 33/1
11 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Bialystok (IRE)T: Davide Satalia Prix De ClunyClass 4 · 9f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 66/1
29 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Bialystok (IRE)T: Davide Satalia Prix Du Salon De GuiseClass 3 · 9.5f · Standard · 15 ran 15th 50/1
23 Sep 26 Toulouse (FR) Numerus Borget (FR)T: Davide Satalia Prix De Saint-sernin15f · Good · 9 ran 1st 4/1
13 Sep 26 Strasbourg (FR) Bialystok (IRE)T: Davide Satalia Prix Alphonse Bechtold10f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 14th 66/1
13 Sep 26 Strasbourg (FR) Numerus Borget (FR)T: Davide Satalia Prix Maxi-flash (Prix Aquarelliste)15f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 11th 4/1
31 Aug 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Ruby In The Rocks (FR)T: Davide Satalia Prix de l'Avenue PyramideClass 3 · 12f · Heavy · 15 ran 15th 80/1
11 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Numerus Borget (FR)T: Davide Satalia Prix d'AuvillarsClass 3 · 12.5f · Standard · 14 ran 2nd 5/1
27 Jul 26 Vittel (FR) Winner Horse (FR)T: Davide Satalia Prix De L'hippodrome De Strasbourg12f · Good · 12 ran 7th 8/1
23 Jul 26 Vichy (FR) Numerus Borget (FR)T: Davide Satalia Prix De Varennes-sur-allier - Prix De L'Hippodrome D'AurillacClass 3 · 14f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 4th 25/1
21 Jul 26 Vichy (FR) Ruby In The Rocks (FR)T: Davide Satalia Prix Domaine Sainte-Philomene (Prix De Chamberat)Class 4 · 10f · Heavy · 13 ran 10th 16/1
02 Jul 26 Longchamp (FR) Ruby In The Rocks (FR)T: Davide Satalia Prix de la Gare (Handicap) (Turf)10f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 8th 42/1
04 Jun 26 Longchamp (FR) Numerus Borget (FR)T: Davide Satalia Prix du Petit Montrouge (Handicap) (Turf)15f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 13th 10/1
07 May 26 Longchamp (FR) Numerus Borget (FR)T: Davide Satalia Prix des Champs Elysees (Handicap) (Turf)12f · Very Soft · 15 ran 12th 15/1
23 Apr 26 Longchamp (FR) Numerus Borget (FR)T: Davide Satalia Prix du Colisee (Handicap) (Turf)15f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 2nd 29/1
05 Mar 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Numerus Borget (FR)T: Davide Satalia Prix Lavarede (Conditions) (Turf)12.5f · Very Soft · 12 ran 10th 73/10
25 Feb 26 Chantilly (FR) Numerus Borget (FR)T: Davide Satalia Prix de Jagny-Sous-Bois (Handicap) (All Weather) (Polytrack)13.5f · Standard · 13 ran 2nd 35/1
06 Feb 26 Deauville (FR) Numerus Borget (FR)T: Davide Satalia Prix du Chene d'Allouville (Handicap) (All Weather) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 15 ran 7th 64/1
08 Jul 25 Chantilly (FR) Bialystok (IRE)T: Davide Satalia Prix de Chaumont (Conditions) (4yo+) (Turf)10f · Very Soft · 7 ran 6th 72/1
13 May 25 Saint-Cloud (FR) Comte Noir (FR)T: Davide Satalia Prix des Forsythias (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)10f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 7th 27/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mme Axelle Nicco's strike rate?
Mme Axelle Nicco has won 8 of 282 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 2.8% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mme Axelle Nicco do best at?
Deauville (FR) by strike rate: 2 wins from 40 rides (5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Mme Axelle Nicco ride most for?
Davide Satalia, with 52 rides since 2022 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (5.8%).
Is Mme Axelle Nicco in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 2 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Mme Axelle Nicco's Fair A/E?
0.61, from 282 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).