Mathieu Pitart
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 160 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.14). New recruits from other yards win at 13% first time out (72 runs). The yard is in form now — 4 winners in the last fortnight, above its own baseline.
The record is strongest at Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) (14.3%, n=49), clear of the yard's 9.1% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 12.5% (n=72, Fair A/E 1.34), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3.8% (n=238, Fair A/E 0.55). A horse in first-time headgear are the standout value angle: 11.4% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.56 and +38.66 to a £1 stake over 175 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Right now the yard is firing: 4 winners from 20 runners in the last 14 days (20%, 10.9pts above the 9.1% baseline). Dylan Ubeda rides 11% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.7%, A/E 1.10) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (24.2%, n=62) and off a 31-60-day break (16.8%, n=95). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0.8% over 118 runners, 8.3pts below the baseline. 9 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Alain du Breil - Course de Haies d'Ete des Quatre Ans at Auteuil (FR) (May 2018, £99,558). Seasonally, the yard fires Nov–Dec.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
In formWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2018→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 975 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 975 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 26 January 2018 to 19 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Mathieu Pitart's strike rate?
- Mathieu Pitart has won 72 of 793 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.1% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Mathieu Pitart do best at?
- Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) by strike rate: 7 wins from 49 runners (14.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Mathieu Pitart?
- Dylan Ubeda, with 91 runners since 2022 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (7.7%).
- Is Mathieu Pitart in form?
- In the last 14 days: 20 runners, 4 winners, a strike rate of 20%. That is above the baseline of 9.1% since 2022.
- What is Mathieu Pitart's Fair A/E?
- 1.14, from 787 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.