What is Davide Satalia's strike rate?

Davide Satalia has won 26 of 412 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Davide Satalia do best at?

Compiegne (FR) by strike rate: 7 wins from 94 runners (7.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Davide Satalia?

Gauvain Faivre-Picon, with 64 runners since 2022 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (6.3%).

Is Davide Satalia in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Davide Satalia's Fair A/E?

0.73, from 406 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Davide Satalia

412 runners in the last 5 seasons · 145 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Won yesterday Last runner yesterday

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)

from 1 Jan 2022

26–412

Wins / Runs

6.3%

Strike rate

n=412

100 (24%)

Placed

0.73

Fair A/E

n=406 · 0.62 incl. margin

−126.73

£1 level stake

n=409 at SP · −31.0%

£1.16m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.8%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.73).

Deterministic profile computed from 412 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 6.8% Gauvain Faivre-Picon: 6.3% from 64 Claiming riders: 7.4%

The read

In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 2.3% (n=43, Fair A/E 0.49). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 6.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.57 and −4.90 to a £1 stake over 132 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Gauvain Faivre-Picon rides 16% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (6.3%, A/E 0.72). The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (9.4%, n=32). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 2.3% over 43 runners, 4pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Noiro at Auteuil (FR) (Oct 2022, £32,471).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6.8%+0.5

n=132 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −4.90

New recruits · first run for the yard

6.1%−0.2

n=66 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −39.00

Debutants · first career start

4.2%−2.1

n=71 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −53.80

First-time headgear · true-first definition

4.1%−2.2

n=73 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −55.90

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

11.1%+4.8

n=9 · A/E 1.71 · £1 −0.50

When favourite

16%

n=25 · A/E 0.46 · £1 −17.03

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.4%+1.1

n=162 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −52.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

2.3%−4.0

n=43 · A/E 0.49 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Alejandro Ruiz Gonzalez 11.4% vs 6.3% · n=35

In Class 1 2.3% vs 6.3% · n=43

In Group / Graded races 2.3% vs 6.3% · n=43

With C&D winners 3.4% vs 6.3% · n=88

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 2.8% vs 6.3% · n=36

Off a 8-14-day break 9.4% vs 6.3% · n=32

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 242 18 7.4% −90.03

Flat 90 4 4.4% −38.90

Chase 80 4 5% +2.20

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Heavy 174 11 6.3% +6.67

Soft 174 12 6.9% −110.60

Standard (AW) 34 2 5.9% +1.20

Good to Soft 22 0 0% −22.00

Good 7 1 14.3% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Auteuil (FR) 191 9 4.7% −89.20

Compiegne (FR) 94 7 7.4% +19.87

Chantilly 27 1 3.7% −17.80

Saint-Cloud (FR) 21 1 4.8% −10.10

Deauville (AW) 15 1 6.7% +11.00

Longchamp (FR) 10 0 0% −10.00

Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 9 1 11.1% −7.20

Dieppe (FR) 8 1 12.5% −2.60

Strasbourg (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00

Clairefontaine (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Aix-Les-Bains (FR) 4 1 25% +2.00

Moulins (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Fontainebleau (FR) 3 1 33.3% −0.70

Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Vittel (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 43 1 2.3% −4.00

Class 3 10 0 0% −10.00

Class 4 5 0 0% −5.00

Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 28 4 14.3% 0.43 −20.03

2nd–3rd fav 55 8 14.5% 0.94 −11.00

4th–6th fav 119 7 5.9% 0.70 −60.30

7th+ in betting 207 5 2.4% 0.83 −35.40

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

80% completed · 320 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 78 82.1% 9 2 3 0 0

Hurdle 242 79.3% 11 3 35 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Numerus Borget (FR)from D Cottin 26 2 8 18 Oct 26

Comte Noir (FR)from Mme S Marsch 17 2 5 4 Jul 26

Balmoral (FR)from J-P Gauvin 12 1 5 11 Oct 26

Pollexfen (GB)from L Gabeur 11 1 2 10 Sep 25

Jereviendrai (FR)from D Cottin 10 1 2 21 Oct 24

Why (FR) 9 1 2 11 Nov 24

Halite (IRE)from Mathieu Pitart 8 1 3 13 May 26

Neva Nevada (FR)from Yoann Bonnefoy · then M Seror 8 1 2 4 Jul 24

Jericoacoara (FR)then Micky Hammond 8 1 4 3 Mar 24

Saint Tunis (FR) 7 0 2 9 Sep 26

Kashs (FR) 7 0 1 23 Mar 26

Winner Horse (FR) 6 0 1 27 Jul 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 145 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 35 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from M Seror (3) and Mathieu Pitart (3); 25 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard, most often for Micky Hammond (3); 52 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 8

Only 8 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

221755377041560

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderGauvain Faivre-Picon

16% of all rides
6.3% SR · A/E 0.72

RiderRWSR£1

Gauvain Faivre-Picon 64 4 6.3% +46.00

Lucas Zuliani 58 5 8.6% −29.00

Mlle Axelle Nicco 52 3 5.8% −10.10

Alejandro Ruiz Gonzalez 35 4 11.4% +11.90

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.58m

Prize money

2022

Best season · 9 wins

Jereviendrai (FR) — Prix Noiro (Chase) () (3yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Oct 2022 · Listed

£32,471

La Montagnette (FR) — Prix d'Amiens (Hurdle) (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf) Compiegne (FR) · Nov 2023

£28,274

Secret D'Etat (FR) — Prix Chalet (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Nov 2022

£24,353

Notable horses

Saint Turgeon (FR) Numerus Borget (FR) Comte Noir (FR) Morgenstern (FR) Secret D'Etat (FR) Nurmi (GER)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Nicaron (GER) 7.4% · 2–27

Progeny have won 8.3% of 444 runs since 2008 (73 horses).

Karaktar (IRE) 0% · 0–20

Progeny have won 12.8% of 716 runs since 2008 (145 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.7% from 257. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 18.7% from 139.

Shalaa (IRE) 11.1% · 2–18

Progeny have won 9.4% of 2,429 runs since 2008 (279 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.6% from 140.

Cokoriko (FR) 6.7% · 1–15

Progeny have won 13.2% of 2,280 runs since 2008 (376 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.2% from 507.

Bathyrhon (GER) 0% · 0–12

Progeny have won 12.3% of 1,165 runs since 2008 (185 horses).

Fly With Me (FR) 8.3% · 1–12

Progeny have won 13% of 200 runs since 2008 (26 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 567 · newest first

The latest 50 of 567 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 18 March 2018 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Narnia Du Large (FR)J: Arthur Duvacher Prix Falzarego17f · Heavy · 9 ran PU 33/1

19 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Doctorino (FR)J: Joel Phelippe Prix Falzarego17f · Heavy · 9 ran 1st 4/6F

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Numerus Borget (FR)J: Mme Axelle Nicco Prix Des Erables15.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 7th 33/1

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) MexicoJ: Joel Phelippe Prix Adrien BesnouinClass 2 · 18f · Heavy · 13 ran 4th 28/1

14 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Mer Secrete (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix Glorieuse12.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 8th 40/1

11 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Golden Beach (GB)J: Dorian Provost Prix De Vaulx-en-velinClass 4 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 18/1

11 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Balmoral (FR)J: Joel Phelippe Prix Jack Barbe18f · Heavy · 14 ran 2nd 11/2

11 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Bialystok (IRE)J: Mme Axelle Nicco Prix De ClunyClass 4 · 9f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 66/1

03 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Happy Time (FR)J: Elouan Meunier Prix Pierre Debroise17.5f · Heavy · 9 ran 6th 17/2

29 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Bialystok (IRE)J: Mme Axelle Nicco Prix Du Salon De GuiseClass 3 · 9.5f · Standard · 15 ran 15th 50/1

27 Sep 26 Amiens (FR) Golden Beach (GB)J: Mme Lea Bails Prix Dominique GerouxClass 4 · 11f · Soft · 13 ran 2nd 15/2

26 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Balmoral (FR)J: Joshua Bryan Prix Villez19.5f · 15 ran F 12/1

23 Sep 26 Toulouse (FR) Numerus Borget (FR)J: Mme Axelle Nicco Prix De Saint-sernin15f · Good · 9 ran 1st 4/1

22 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Mexico (FR)J: Joel Phelippe Prix Patrick Lec18f · Very Soft · 13 ran 7th 33/1

22 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Doctorino (FR)J: J Bryan Prix De Gien17.5f · Very Soft · 9 ran 2nd 13/8F

17 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Balmoral (FR)J: J Bryan Prix Le Paillon19.5f · Heavy · 15 ran 2nd 16/1

13 Sep 26 Strasbourg (FR) Bialystok (IRE)J: Mme Axelle Nicco Prix Alphonse Bechtold10f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 14th 66/1

13 Sep 26 Strasbourg (FR) Golden Beach (GB)J: Michael Cadeddu Prix Alphonse Bechtold10f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 8th 22/1

13 Sep 26 Strasbourg (FR) Numerus Borget (FR)J: Mme Axelle Nicco Prix Maxi-flash (Prix Aquarelliste)15f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 11th 4/1

13 Sep 26 Strasbourg (FR) Bathygar Du Grenat (FR)J: Br Le Clerc Prix Des Contades16.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 6th 4/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Davide Satalia's strike rate?: Davide Satalia has won 26 of 412 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Davide Satalia do best at?: Compiegne (FR) by strike rate: 7 wins from 94 runners (7.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Davide Satalia?: Gauvain Faivre-Picon, with 64 runners since 2022 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (6.3%).
Is Davide Satalia in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Davide Satalia's Fair A/E?: 0.73, from 406 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.