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Jockey profile

Mr D T Kelly

62 rides in the lifetime window · 25 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Mar 2020
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2014→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
1–62
Wins / Runs
1.6%
Strike rate
n=62
10 (16%)
Placed
0.41
Fair A/E
n=62 · 0.33 incl. margin
−45.00
£1 level stake
n=62 at SP · −72.6%
£29,115
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance Luke Comer: 1.8% from 56

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 1.6% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
0%−1.6
n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −25.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−1.6
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
1.6%+0.0
n=61 · A/E 0.41 · £1 −44.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−1.6
n=28 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −28.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−1.6
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Luke Comer 1.8% vs 1.6% · n=56 · A/E 0.42
When claiming 1.6% vs 1.6% · n=61 · A/E 0.41
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
NH Flat 22 1 4.5% −5.00
Hurdle 21 0 0% −21.00
Flat 19 0 0% −19.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 24 1 4.2% −7.00
Soft 15 0 0% −15.00
Heavy 12 0 0% −12.00
Good to Soft 9 0 0% −9.00
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Leopardstown 7 0 0% −7.00
Kilbeggan 6 0 0% −6.00
Galway 6 0 0% −6.00
Killarney 5 1 20% +12.00
Navan 5 0 0% −5.00
Naas 5 0 0% −5.00
Roscommon 4 0 0% −4.00
Fairyhouse 4 0 0% −4.00
Clonmel 3 0 0% −3.00
Ballinrobe 2 0 0% −2.00
Wexford 2 0 0% −2.00
Punchestown 2 0 0% −2.00
Gowran Park 2 0 0% −2.00
Bellewstown 2 0 0% −2.00
Listowel 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 6 0 0% 0.00 −6.00
4th–6th fav 20 0 0% 0.00 −20.00
7th+ in betting 36 1 2.8% 1.32 −19.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Kingston Girl (IRE) 8 1 4 27 Apr 19
Russian Soldier (IRE) 7 0 3 1 Oct 18
Incredible Black (IRE) 5 0 1 26 Dec 18
Tale Of Woe (IRE) 4 0 0 9 Mar 19
Rock Breaker (IRE) 4 0 1 7 Feb 19
Hollow Sound (IRE) 3 0 0 10 Mar 20
Midnight Lightning (IRE) 3 0 0 13 Sep 18
Russian Dancer (IRE) 3 0 1 15 Jul 18
Asking For Trouble (IRE) 2 0 0 6 Aug 19
Freetown (IRE) 2 0 0 31 Jul 19
Rainbow Pride (IRE) 2 0 0 3 Mar 19
Mystique Heights (GB) 2 0 0 26 Dec 18
All 25 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0000000140000
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardLuke Comer
90% of all rides
1.8% SR · A/E 0.42
TrainerRWSR£1
Luke Comer 56 1 1.8% −39.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→
1
Archived wins
£29,115
Prize money
2018
Best season · 1 win
Kingston Girl (IRE) — ML Lynch Civil Engineering Flat Race Killarney · Aug 2018
£6,468
Notable horses
Kingston Girl (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Tale of Two Cities (IRE) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 6.5% of 77 runs since 2017 (10 horses).
Yeats (IRE) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,844 runs since 2013 (707 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 820.
Kaieteur (USA) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 7.4% of 136 runs since 2010 (13 horses).
Bashkirov (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 4.9% of 82 runs since 2018 (7 horses).
Elzaam (AUS) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 9.2% of 4,530 runs since 2016 (374 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.9% from 327.
Beat Hollow (GB) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 11.3% of 6,034 runs since 2008 (412 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 62 · newest first

The latest 50 of 62 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 February 2014 to 10 March 2020.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
10 Mar 20 Cheltenham Hollow Sound (IRE)T: Luke Comer Sky Bet Supreme Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1)Class 1 · 16.5f · Soft · 15 ran 10th 150/1
16 Feb 20 Navan Aircraft Carrier (IRE)T: Luke Comer Navanracecourse.ie Handicap Hurdle23f · Heavy · 15 ran PU 25/1
15 Feb 20 Gowran Park Three Comets (GER)T: Luke Comer Sea Moon & Shantou At Burgage Stud Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 14 ran 4th 33/1
08 Feb 20 Naas Fourbi (FR)T: Luke Comer O'Driscoll O'Neil Supporting Kill GAA Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 25 ran 16th 25/1
06 Aug 19 Roscommon Asking For Trouble (IRE)T: Luke Comer Ireland's Hidden Heartlands Flat Race15.5f · Soft · 12 ran 4th 25/1
31 Jul 19 Galway Freetown (IRE)T: Luke Comer Play The Tote Trifecta (Q.R.) Maiden12f · Good · 18 ran 6th 50/1
29 Jul 19 Galway Hollow Sound (IRE)T: Luke Comer Monami Construction Flat Race16.5f · Good · 13 ran 4th 25/1
11 Jul 19 Leopardstown Freetown (IRE)T: Luke Comer Red Bean Roastery (Q.R.) Maiden15f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 5th 20/1
06 Jul 19 Bellewstown Asking For Trouble (IRE)T: Luke Comer McLoughlin Oil Flat Race16.5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 40/1
17 Jun 19 Kilbeggan Hollow Sound (IRE)T: Luke Comer Summer Party Pack Discount Group Booking Flat Race16f · Good · 8 ran 4th 14/1
27 Apr 19 Wexford Kingston Girl (IRE)T: Luke Comer Coast Hotels & Resorts Rated Hurdle16f · Yielding · 10 ran 2nd 11/1
09 Mar 19 Gowran Park Tale Of Woe (IRE)T: Luke Comer Xenon Security Handicap Hurdle (80-109) (Div 2)20f · Soft · 19 ran 8th 25/1
03 Mar 19 Leopardstown Rainbow Pride (IRE)T: Luke Comer Donohoe Marquees Maiden Hurdle20f · Yielding · 7 ran PU 100/1
24 Feb 19 Naas Alfred Elmore (IRE)T: Luke Comer Naas Rugby Club Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 23 ran 20th 100/1
23 Feb 19 Fairyhouse Kingston Girl (IRE)T: Luke Comer Tommy Carberry Handicap Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 7th 20/1
09 Feb 19 Naas Rainbow Pride (IRE)T: Luke Comer Cavan Developments Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)16f · Good · 25 ran 24th 100/1
07 Feb 19 Thurles Rock Breaker (IRE)T: Luke Comer thurles.ie Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 18 ran PU 66/1
26 Dec 18 Leopardstown Cobbled Streets (IRE)T: Luke Comer Tote Supporting Irish Racing Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 11th 66/1
26 Dec 18 Leopardstown Mystique Heights (GB)T: Luke Comer Sky Sports Racing Novice Handicap Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 5th 40/1
26 Dec 18 Leopardstown Incredible Black (IRE)T: Luke Comer Thorntons Recycling Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 6th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr D T Kelly's strike rate?
Mr D T Kelly has won 1 of 62 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 1.6% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Mr D T Kelly ride most for?
Luke Comer, with 56 rides since 2008 — 90% of the total. That pairing has won 1 (1.8%).
What is Mr D T Kelly's Fair A/E?
0.41, from 62 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).