What is Luke Comer's strike rate?

Luke Comer has won 32 of 989 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 3.2% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Luke Comer do best at?

Bellewstown by strike rate: 3 wins from 46 runners (6.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Luke Comer?

Nathan Crosse, with 249 runners since 2022 — 25% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (2.8%).

What is Luke Comer's Fair A/E?

0.80, from 989 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Luke Comer

989 runners in the last 5 seasons · 169 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Jul 2024 95% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

32–989

Wins / Runs

3.2%

Strike rate

n=989

126 (13%)

Placed

0.80

Fair A/E

n=989 · 0.64 incl. margin

−304.47

£1 level stake

n=989 at SP · −30.8%

£428k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

3.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 200 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.80).

Deterministic profile computed from 989 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Nathan Crosse: 2.8% from 249 Claiming riders: 3.3%

The read

The record is strongest at Bellewstown (6.5%, n=46), clear of the yard's 3.2% baseline. It is weakest at Curragh (0% over 59 runners) — the widest gap in the record. The market has consistently overbet debutants: 0.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.68 and −56.00 to a £1 stake over 123 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Nathan Crosse rides 25% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (2.8%, A/E 0.79). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 68 runners, 3.2pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the www.thetote.com Gladness Stakes at Curragh (Apr 2010, £39,000).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

2.6%−0.6

n=232 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −137.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−3.2

n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Debutants · first career start

0.8%−2.4

n=123 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −56.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

1.8%−1.4

n=56 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −51.67

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

3.8%+0.6

n=26 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −5.00

When favourite

8.3%

n=12 · A/E 0.41 · £1 −7.00

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

3.3%+0.1

n=304 · A/E 0.91 · £1 +75.20

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−3.2

n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Declan McDonogh 11.1% vs 3.2% · n=54

Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 3.2% · n=68

At Curragh 0% vs 3.2% · n=59

At Bellewstown 6.5% vs 3.2% · n=46

At Navan 0% vs 3.2% · n=49

Off a 31-60-day break 5.5% vs 3.2% · n=219

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 941 31 3.3% −260.67

Hurdle 38 1 2.6% −33.80

NH Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Chase 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 474 18 3.8% −167.67

Good 207 4 1.9% −149.00

Soft 172 7 4.1% +127.20

Heavy 79 2 2.5% −64.00

Good to Soft 40 0 0% −40.00

Good to Firm 17 1 5.9% −11.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 474 18 3.8% −167.67

Leopardstown 90 3 3.3% −42.00

Curragh 59 0 0% −59.00

Navan 49 0 0% −49.00

Gowran Park 47 1 2.1% −37.00

Bellewstown 46 3 6.5% −14.00

Galway 33 2 6.1% −18.00

Limerick 31 2 6.5% −4.00

Naas 25 0 0% −25.00

Roscommon 24 1 4.2% +177.00

Fairyhouse 23 0 0% −23.00

Tipperary 20 0 0% −20.00

Punchestown 13 0 0% −13.00

Sligo 9 0 0% −9.00

Listowel 7 0 0% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 16 0 0% −16.00

Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 18 2 11.1% 0.59 −8.00

2nd–3rd fav 73 8 11% 0.79 −22.97

4th–6th fav 169 9 5.3% 0.77 −80.50

7th+ in betting 729 13 1.8% 0.89 −193.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Dark Street (IRE) 30 4 10 14 Jun 24

Rio Largo (IRE) 26 2 6 11 Jul 24

Oranmore (IRE) 25 1 4 4 Jul 24

Bright Dick (IRE)then Luke W Comer 23 1 5 11 Jul 24

Below Deck (IRE) 22 0 6 10 Jul 24

Nevada Brave (IRE) 22 1 4 26 Mar 24

Dr Patrick (IRE) 21 0 4 5 Jul 24

Alexander John (IRE) 19 1 4 28 Jun 24

Chilean (GB)from Martyn Meade 19 0 3 29 May 24

Eskimo Komet (IRE) 18 1 4 12 Jul 24

Three Comets (GER)from Roger Varian 18 1 1 22 Jun 24

Thirtysecondstreet (IRE) 17 0 2 11 Jul 24

The 60 most-raced of 169 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive; 49 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard, most often for Luke W Comer (3) and Shane Crawley (2); 54 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

1033214334311

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderNathan Crosse

25% of all rides
2.8% SR · A/E 0.79

RiderRWSR£1

Nathan Crosse 249 7 2.8% −81.50

Chris Hayes 183 6 3.3% −116.50

Declan McDonogh 54 6 11.1% +12.50

Robbie Colgan 47 0 0% −47.00

Oisin McSweeney 43 1 2.3% −30.00

Jack Cleary 35 1 2.9% −30.00

Jack Kearney 34 2 5.9% +54.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£885k

Prize money

2023

Best season · 12 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Kargali (IRE) — www.thetote.com Gladness Stakes (group 3) Curragh · Apr 2010 · Group 3

£39,000

Yellow Ridge (IRE) — Tote EBF Maiden Galway · Aug 2006

£13,020

Bashkirov (GB) — Bookings at dundalkstadium.com Race Dundalk (AW) · Nov 2009

£11,402

Notable horses

Dark Street (IRE) Bashkirov (GB) King's Bastion (IRE) Clueless Hill (IRE) Tajweed (IRE) Bring Us Paradise (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dick Whittington (IRE) 4.1% · 5–122

Progeny have won 3.9% of 128 runs since 2008 (20 horses).

Second Thought (IRE) 1% · 1–100

Progeny have won 1% of 104 runs since 2008 (16 horses).

Green Moon (IRE) 3.4% · 2–58

Progeny have won 1.7% of 119 runs since 2008 (19 horses).

Kargali (IRE) 3.4% · 2–58

Progeny have won 3% of 66 runs since 2008 (11 horses).

Midi (GB) 0% · 0–52

Progeny have won 6.2% of 65 runs since 2008 (16 horses).

Bashkirov (GB) 4.4% · 2–45

Progeny have won 4.9% of 82 runs since 2008 (7 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,064 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,064 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 31 May 2006 to 13 July 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

13 Jul 24 Navan Hollywood Star (IRE)J: Jamie Powell Navan Racing Festival November 16th & 17th Handicap (47-65)10f · Good To Firm · 20 ran 13th 40/1

13 Jul 24 Navan Thatboathassailed (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse Navan Racing Festival November 16th & 17th Handicap (47-65)10f · Good To Firm · 20 ran 12th 33/1

13 Jul 24 Navan Wee Jim (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Navan Racing Festival November 16th & 17th Handicap (47-65)10f · Good To Firm · 20 ran 6th 50/1

13 Jul 24 Navan He Knows When (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Navan Racing Festival November 16th & 17th Handicap (47-65)10f · Good To Firm · 20 ran 4th 14/1

12 Jul 24 Dundalk (AW) Brave Thought (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Family Fun Day Coming To Dundalk 15th August Handicap (47-75)12f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 14/1

12 Jul 24 Dundalk (AW) Apache War (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse Family Fun Day Coming To Dundalk 15th August Handicap (47-75)12f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 50/1

12 Jul 24 Dundalk (AW) Eskimo Komet (IRE)J: Jamie Powell Family Fun Day Coming To Dundalk 15th August Handicap (47-75)12f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 7/1

12 Jul 24 Dundalk (AW) Caballo Fatastico (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse PD Lift Trucks Ltd Maiden10.5f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 200/1

12 Jul 24 Dundalk (AW) Cyprus Springs (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan PD Lift Trucks Ltd Maiden10.5f · Standard · 13 ran 9th 150/1

12 Jul 24 Dundalk (AW) Boxing Great (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan PD Lift Trucks Ltd Maiden10.5f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 50/1

12 Jul 24 Dundalk (AW) Ten To Ten (IRE)J: Jack Cleary Gift & Art Gallery Dundalk Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)8f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 13/2

12 Jul 24 Dundalk (AW) Frontier Heroine (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Fairways Dundalk Hotel Maiden8f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 150/1

12 Jul 24 Dundalk (AW) Take Profit (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse Fairways Dundalk Hotel Maiden8f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 150/1

12 Jul 24 Dundalk (AW) Hoover Dam (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse I Want My Pension Minded By Protection & Prosperity Financial Services Handicap7f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 25/1

11 Jul 24 Leopardstown Questionare (GB)J: Mr J H Williamson Leopardstown Members (Q.R.) Race15f · Good · 11 ran 8th 80/1

11 Jul 24 Leopardstown Seattle Creek (GB)J: Mr Finian Maguire Leopardstown Members (Q.R.) Race15f · Good · 11 ran 1st 14/1

11 Jul 24 Leopardstown You Are The Deal (IRE)J: Scott McCullagh BoyleSports Extra Places Everyday Handicap (47-65)9f · Good · 21 ran 19th 20/1

11 Jul 24 Leopardstown Thirtysecondstreet (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce BoyleSports Extra Places Everyday Handicap (47-65)9f · Good · 21 ran 14th 25/1

11 Jul 24 Leopardstown Initial Attempt (IRE)J: Jack Kearney BoyleSports Extra Places Everyday Handicap (47-65)9f · Good · 21 ran 9th 33/1

11 Jul 24 Leopardstown Rock Basher (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse BoyleSports Extra Places Everyday Handicap (47-65)9f · Good · 21 ran 4th 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Luke Comer's strike rate?: Luke Comer has won 32 of 989 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 3.2% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Luke Comer do best at?: Bellewstown by strike rate: 3 wins from 46 runners (6.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Luke Comer?: Nathan Crosse, with 249 runners since 2022 — 25% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (2.8%).
What is Luke Comer's Fair A/E?: 0.80, from 989 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.