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Jockey profile

Mr M Watson

44 rides in the lifetime window · 17 individual horses
As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Jul 2015
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
1–44
Wins / Runs
2.3%
Strike rate
n=44
5 (11%)
Placed
0.81
Fair A/E
n=44 · 0.64 incl. margin
−23.00
£1 level stake
n=44 at SP · −52.3%
£19,164
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
12.5%
KTB at a glance Claiming: 2.4%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.3% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
0%−2.3
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−2.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−2.3
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
2.4%+0.1
n=41 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −20.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−2.3
n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.3
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
NH Flat 18 0 0% −18.00
Chase 16 1 6.3% +5.00
Flat 5 0 0% −5.00
Hurdle 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 16 0 0% −16.00
Heavy 13 1 7.7% +8.00
Good to Firm 6 0 0% −6.00
Good 6 0 0% −6.00
Good to Soft 2 0 0% −2.00
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 8 0 0% −8.00
Downpatrick 6 0 0% −6.00
Down Royal 6 0 0% −6.00
Navan 3 0 0% −3.00
Leopardstown 2 0 0% −2.00
Kilbeggan 2 0 0% −2.00
Thurles 2 0 0% −2.00
Naas 2 0 0% −2.00
Gowran Park 2 0 0% −2.00
Fairyhouse 2 0 0% −2.00
Dundalk (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Limerick 1 0 0% −1.00
Listowel 1 0 0% −1.00
Galway 1 0 0% −1.00
Clonmel 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
4th–6th fav 5 0 0% 0.00 −5.00
7th+ in betting 36 1 2.8% 1.34 −15.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
85.7% completed · 21 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 16 81.3% 1 0 2 0 0
Hurdle 5 100% 0 0 0 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Forced Kin (IRE) 6 0 2 3 Oct 14
Tyrone House (IRE) 5 1 2 1 Feb 15
Potters Wall (IRE) 5 0 0 5 Jul 13
Tighty Whities (IRE) 4 0 0 3 Jan 13
Heavenly Brook (IRE) 3 0 1 29 Jul 15
Finea (IRE) 3 0 0 29 Apr 14
Whorisky (IRE) 3 0 0 2 Feb 11
Dead End (IRE) 3 0 0 19 Dec 09
Aladdins Cave (GB) 2 0 0 20 Feb 15
He Knows My Name (IRE) 2 0 0 2 May 14
Sorrydidntcyathere (IRE) 2 0 0 11 Aug 13
Illusion Of Time (IRE) 1 0 0 27 Dec 14
All 17 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
2000000000000
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardR K Watson
95% of all rides
2.4% SR · A/E 0.83
TrainerRWSR£1
R K Watson 42 1 2.4% −21.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→
1
Archived wins
£19,164
Prize money
2015
Best season · 1 win
Tyrone House (IRE) — Tom Carroll Memorial Handicap Chase (0-95) Tramore · Jan 2015
£6,555
Notable horses
Tyrone House (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Exit To Nowhere (USA) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,787 runs since 2008 (290 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 155.
Medecis (GB) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 7.1% of 1,595 runs since 2008 (112 horses).
Luso (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 6.7% of 3,516 runs since 2008 (389 horses).
Strategic Choice (USA) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 12.4% of 331 runs since 2008 (28 horses).
Marignan (USA) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 6.3% of 554 runs since 2008 (63 horses).
Alderbrook (GB) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 9.7% of 3,293 runs since 2008 (299 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 44 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Mr M Watson's 44 archived rides, from 6 November 2009 to 29 July 2015, newest first — one winner among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
29 Jul 15 Galway Heavenly Brook (IRE)T: R K Watson Bet On All UK Racing With Tote (Q.R.) Maiden12f · Yielding · 18 ran 14th 66/1
20 Feb 15 Dundalk (AW) Aladdins Cave (GB)T: R K Watson Ladbrokes (Q.R.) Handicap (50-80)16f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 25/1
01 Feb 15 Punchestown Heavenly Brook (IRE)T: R K Watson Boylesports Tied Cottage Chase (Grade 2)16f · Soft · 6 ran 5th 100/1
01 Feb 15 Punchestown Tyrone House (IRE)T: R K Watson P.P. Hogan Memorial Cross Country Chase24f · Soft · 8 ran 8th 50/1
21 Jan 15 Fairyhouse Tyrone House (IRE)T: R K Watson Bobbyjo Bistro Great Food Great Deals Handicap Chase (0-102)21f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 10th 25/1
18 Jan 15 Leopardstown Aladdins Cave (GB)T: R K Watson Leopardstown Killiney Novice Chase (grade 2)19f · Soft · 3 ran 2nd 66/1
17 Jan 15 Naas Heavenly Brook (IRE)T: R K Watson Cheltenham Trial Day 22nd February Handicap Chase (0-109)16f · Soft · 7 ran 2nd 4/1
01 Jan 15 Tramore Tyrone House (IRE)T: R K Watson Tom Carroll Memorial Handicap Chase (0-95)22f · Heavy · 8 ran 1st 20/1
27 Dec 14 Limerick Illusion Of Time (IRE)T: R K Watson Earl Of Harrington Memorial Maiden Hunters Chase22f · Soft To Heavy · 16 ran 11th 14/1
26 Dec 14 Down Royal Tyrone House (IRE)T: R K Watson Adam & Ann Armstrong Memorial Handicap Chase (0-95)20f · Soft · 10 ran 6th 20/1
03 Oct 14 Gowran Park Forced Kin (IRE)T: R K Watson Gowran Park Santa Train Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 13 ran 9th 66/1
02 May 14 Punchestown He Knows My Name (IRE)T: R K Watson Irish Thoroughbred Breeders Association Fillies Scheme Fillies Premier Bumper17f · Good To Yielding · 25 ran 15th 100/1
29 Apr 14 Punchestown Finea (IRE)T: R K Watson Kildare Hunt Club Fr Sean Breen Memorial Chase24f · Good To Firm · 18 ran 7th 22/1
20 Feb 14 Clonmel Dancin' Glory (IRE)T: R K Watson Bishop Auckland Theatre Hooligans (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16.5f · Heavy · 15 ran 10th 25/1
15 Feb 14 Gowran Park He Knows My Name (IRE)T: R K Watson Ronan Lawlor Memorial Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race17f · Heavy · 13 ran 11th 33/1
11 Aug 13 Downpatrick Sorrydidntcyathere (IRE)T: R K Watson 'your Name Here' Flat Race18f · Good · 15 ran 13th 50/1
10 Aug 13 Kilbeggan Forced Kin (IRE)T: R K Watson Tom Birmingham Menswear Flat Race16f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 9th 25/1
05 Jul 13 Wexford Potters Wall (IRE)T: R K Watson Tuskar Rock Beginners Chase (Div 1)25f · Good To Firm · 15 ran F 25/1
24 Jun 13 Kilbeggan Tyrone House (IRE)T: R K Watson T & V Novice Hurdle24f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 3rd 20/1
21 Jun 13 Down Royal Potters Wall (IRE)T: R K Watson Dark Horse Cafe & Wine Bar Beginners Chase20f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 9th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr M Watson's strike rate?
Mr M Watson has won 1 of 44 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 2.3% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mr M Watson's Fair A/E?
0.81, from 44 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 28 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).