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Trainer profile

R K Watson

338 runners in the last 5 seasons · 72 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 12 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
2–338
Wins / Runs
0.6%
Strike rate
n=338
19 (6%)
Placed
0.23
Fair A/E
n=338 · 0.18 incl. margin
−305.50
£1 level stake
n=338 at SP · −90.4%
£58,533
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 70 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 1% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.23). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 3% (34 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 338 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Headgear returns: 2.9%
The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 0% strike, Fair A/E 0.00 and −167.00 to a £1 stake over 167 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 2m5f – 3m: Fair A/E 0.46 across 66 runners (1.5% strike, −56.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 0.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−0.6
n=99 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −99.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−0.6
n=29 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −29.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−0.6
n=28 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −28.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−0.6
n=24 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −24.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
2.9%+2.3
n=34 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −24.50
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−0.6
n=167 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −167.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−0.6
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 0.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Donagh Meyler 3.3% vs 0.6% · n=30
With headgear back on 2.9% vs 0.6% · n=34
At Downpatrick 1.9% vs 0.6% · n=53 · A/E 0.52
Over 6f – 7f 1.6% vs 0.6% · n=63 · A/E 0.53
Over 2m5f – 3m 1.5% vs 0.6% · n=66 · A/E 0.46
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 143 1 0.7% −120.00
Hurdle 131 1 0.8% −121.50
Chase 41 0 0% −41.00
NH Flat 23 0 0% −23.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 128 1 0.8% −105.00
Soft 91 0 0% −91.00
Standard (AW) 51 0 0% −51.00
Good to Soft 44 1 2.3% −34.50
Heavy 22 0 0% −22.00
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Down Royal 56 0 0% −56.00
Downpatrick 53 1 1.9% −43.50
Dundalk (AW) 43 0 0% −43.00
Navan 22 0 0% −22.00
Fairyhouse 22 1 4.5% +1.00
Sligo 18 0 0% −18.00
Punchestown 13 0 0% −13.00
Bellewstown 12 0 0% −12.00
Gowran Park 11 0 0% −11.00
Curragh 9 0 0% −9.00
Roscommon 8 0 0% −8.00
Naas 8 0 0% −8.00
Leopardstown 7 0 0% −7.00
Wexford 6 0 0% −6.00
Limerick 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 11 0 0% −11.00
Class 1 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 5 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 12 0 0% 0.00 −12.00
4th–6th fav 49 0 0% 0.00 −49.00
7th+ in betting 276 2 0.7% 0.41 −243.50
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Jimli's Cave (IRE) 24 1 5 21 Jun 26
I'm For Home (IRE)then R P Rath 22 0 2 8 May 26
Serengeti Sunrise (IRE)from George Scott 17 0 1 24 Aug 26
My Kurkum (GB)from A J Martin 15 0 2 5 Jun 26
Iva Batt (IRE) 15 0 1 3 Dec 25
Pillar (GB)from Adrian McGuinness 14 1 3 1 Jun 23
Ivar The Boneless (IRE)from Gavin Cromwell · then Susan Corbett 12 0 0 21 Nov 25
Tynan (IRE) 11 0 1 16 Jan 24
Benz (IRE)from Gordon Elliott 9 0 0 10 Aug 25
Evangelic (IRE)from Charles Hills 8 0 0 25 Aug 26
Military Hill (IRE)from Paul Stafford 8 0 0 28 May 24
Woodstream Lad (IRE)then P J Rothwell 8 0 1 13 Aug 23
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 72 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 26 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Gordon Elliott (5) and Adrian McGuinness (3); 34 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard, most often for Susan Corbett (2); 52 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 3
Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
000000004300
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderSorcha Woods
10% of all rides
0% SR · A/E 0.00
RiderRWSR£1
Sorcha Woods 35 0 0% −35.00
Donagh Meyler 30 1 3.3% −20.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
37
Archived wins
£563k
Prize money
2021
Best season · 7 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Amaulino (FR) — toalsbet.com Ulster National Irish EBF Handicap Chase Downpatrick · Mar 2019
£23,600
Heavenly Brook (IRE) — Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Chase (0-123) Clonmel · Mar 2015
£12,420
Blue Empyrean (IRE) — Eastcoast Seafood & Gouldings Hardware Handicap Chase Naas · Jan 2018
£11,396
Notable horses
British Art (GB) Manomine (GB) Finea (IRE) New Society (IRE) Iva Batt (IRE) Amaulino (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Court Cave (IRE) 3.1% · 1–32
Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,929 runs since 2008 (551 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.9% from 934.
Altruistic (IRE) 0% · 0–24
Progeny have won 5.7% of 122 runs since 2008 (14 horses).
Rock Of Gibraltar (IRE) 4.3% · 1–23
Progeny have won 9.8% of 11,563 runs since 2008 (871 horses).
Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 0% · 0–22
Progeny have won 11.4% of 5,815 runs since 2008 (679 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.
Dandy Man (IRE) 0% · 0–17
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,927 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
Dariyan (FR) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 6% of 1,114 runs since 2008 (140 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,329 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,329 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 16 February 2005 to 10 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Notahairoutofplace (GB)J: Jack Cleary M.L.A Engineering Ltd. Supporting Ardclough GAA Maiden8f · Soft · 13 ran 8th 250/1
09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Grey Ace (IRE)J: Peter Smithers Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle22f · Good · 6 ran 6th 80/1
09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Spill A Drop (IRE)J: Harry Sexton Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle22f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 25/1
06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Minella Sixo (IRE)J: Harry Sexton BOYLE Sports Shop At Galway Racecourse Beginners Steeplechase18f · Yielding To Soft · 8 ran 6th 100/1
05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) George's Angel (IRE)J: Mike O'Connor Racing Again October 10th Mares Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 16 ran PU 80/1
02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Spill A Drop (IRE)J: Harry Sexton 1xBet.ie Supports Safer Gambling Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 17 ran 12th 100/1
30 Sep 26 Sligo (IRE) Minella Sixo (IRE)J: Donagh Meyler Christy 'Frosty' Callaghan Memorial Steeplechase21f · Good · 6 ran 6th 22/1
28 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) Notahairoutofplace (GB)J: James Ryan Madrí Excepcional Maiden7f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 6th 500/1
19 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Spill A Drop (IRE)J: Harry Sexton Meath Farm Machinery Maiden Hurdle21f · Good · 15 ran UR 66/1
04 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) Basilano (IRE)J: Adam Caffrey Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden5f · Good · 12 ran 12th 250/1
31 Aug 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Greenroad Girl (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Randox Maiden Hurdle18f · Good · 9 ran 6th 300/1
25 Aug 26 Musselburgh Evangelic (IRE)J: Rhys Elliott AAB Group And Bibby Financial Services Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 10 ran 10th 150/1
24 Aug 26 Musselburgh Serengeti Sunrise (IRE)J: Rhys Elliott Watch On Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good · 13 ran 11th 40/1
09 Aug 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Greenroad Girl (IRE)J: Conor Stone-Walsh WTW Willis Mares Maiden Hurdle18f · Good · 7 ran 6th 500/1
17 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Stretchemout (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Europe Hotel And Resort Handicap Steeplechase (Div II)23f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran PU 33/1
17 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Greenroad Girl (IRE)J: Conor Stone-Walsh Killarney Grand Mares Maiden Hurdle23f · Good · 15 ran PU 300/1
17 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Notahairoutofplace (GB)J: Michael Kenneally Killarney Park 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 12 ran PU 400/1
14 Jul 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Hello Wee Love (IRE)J: Conor Stone-Walsh Plus 2 Print Remembering Tony Oakes MBE Maiden Hurdle22f · Good · 12 ran PU 80/1
14 Jul 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Hello Wee Love (IRE)J: Conor Stone-Walsh Plus 2 Print Remembering Tony Oakes MBE Maiden Hurdle22f · Good · 12 ran PU 80/1
14 Jul 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Spill A Drop (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Plus 2 Print Remembering Tony Oakes MBE Maiden Hurdle22f · Good · 12 ran 6th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is R K Watson's strike rate?
R K Watson has won 2 of 338 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 0.6% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does R K Watson do best at?
Downpatrick by strike rate: 1 wins from 53 runners (1.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is R K Watson in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is R K Watson's Fair A/E?
0.23, from 338 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).