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Jockey profile

Mr S Tobin

33 rides in the last 5 seasons · 19 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Mar 2025 97% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2022→)
from 1 Jan 2022
2–33
Wins / Runs
6.1%
Strike rate
n=33
6 (18%)
Placed
1.12
Fair A/E
n=33 · 0.90 incl. margin
+1.00
£1 level stake
n=33 at SP · +3.0%
£20,865
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
33.3%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.1% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
10.5%+4.4
n=19 · A/E 3.11 · £1 +15.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−6.1
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
7.7%+1.6
n=13 · A/E 1.80 · £1 +8.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
6.1%+0.0
n=33 · A/E 1.12 · £1 +1.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
7.7%+1.6
n=13 · A/E 1.52 · £1 +8.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 19 1 5.3% +2.00
NH Flat 8 0 0% −8.00
Chase 5 1 20% +8.00
Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 13 1 7.7% +0.00
Heavy 11 1 9.1% +10.00
Good to Soft 5 0 0% −5.00
Good 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Clonmel 6 0 0% −6.00
Limerick 4 1 25% +17.00
Cork 3 0 0% −3.00
Punchestown 3 0 0% −3.00
Thurles 3 0 0% −3.00
Wexford 3 0 0% −3.00
Ballinrobe 2 0 0% −2.00
Naas 2 0 0% −2.00
Fairyhouse 1 0 0% −1.00
Gowran Park 1 1 100% +12.00
Listowel 1 0 0% −1.00
Sligo 1 0 0% −1.00
Tramore 1 0 0% −1.00
Tipperary 1 0 0% −1.00
Kilbeggan 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
4th–6th fav 9 1 11.1% 1.42 +4.00
7th+ in betting 21 1 4.8% 1.78 +0.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
83.3% completed · 24 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 5 60% 0 1 1 0 0
Hurdle 19 89.5% 1 1 0 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Johngus (IRE) 9 1 3 13 Jan 25
Shean Glory (IRE) 5 0 1 18 May 24
Ask And Answer (IRE) 3 0 0 29 May 24
My Best Valentine (IRE) 1 1 1 8 Mar 25
Mohera Prince (IRE) 1 0 0 6 Mar 25
Palpatate (IRE) 1 0 0 21 Dec 24
Internet Biddy (IRE) 1 0 0 16 Dec 24
Imperial Chief (IRE) 1 0 0 3 Jun 24
Absolute Bliss (GB) 1 0 0 27 May 24
Deerpark Hill (IRE) 1 0 0 19 Apr 24
Oneforgonzo (IRE) 1 0 0 10 Mar 24
Sullane Hill (IRE) 1 0 0 15 Feb 24
All 19 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
002000000·0·20
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
Sean Aherne 27 1 3.7% −6.00
Paul Tobin 3 0 0% −3.00
P C O'Connor 2 0 0% −2.00
Daniel Joseph O'Brien 1 1 100% +12.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2022→
2
Archived wins
£20,865
Prize money
2025
Best season · 1 win
My Best Valentine (IRE) — INHSC Supporting Point-To-Points Tetratema Cup Hunters Chase Gowran Park · Mar 2025
£7,965
Johngus (IRE) — Roche's Feeds Handicap Hurdle (80-102) Limerick · Dec 2023
£6,195
Notable horses
Johngus (IRE) My Best Valentine (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Arakan (USA) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,467 runs since 2009 (266 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 4.5% from 134.
Fame And Glory (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,212 runs since 2016 (504 horses).
Ask (GB) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,218 runs since 2014 (283 horses).
Shirocco (GER) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 11.1% of 9,185 runs since 2010 (921 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.
Arctic Cosmos (USA) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 7.6% of 1,308 runs since 2017 (131 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11.3% from 194.
Dansant (GB) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 7.9% of 545 runs since 2014 (64 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11.8% from 110.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 33 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Mr S Tobin's 33 archived rides, from 10 June 2022 to 8 March 2025, newest first — 2 winners among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
08 Mar 25 Gowran Park My Best Valentine (IRE)T: Daniel Joseph O'Brien INHSC Supporting Point-To-Points Tetratema Cup Hunters Chase25f · Soft · 13 ran 1st 12/1
06 Mar 25 Thurles Mohera Prince (IRE)T: Sean Aherne Racing Again March 15th Maiden Hunters Chase25f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran UR 66/1
13 Jan 25 Punchestown Johngus (IRE)T: Sean Aherne John Thomas McNamara Series (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Soft · 9 ran 7th 33/1
26 Dec 24 Limerick Johngus (IRE)T: Sean Aherne BRC McMahon Reinforcements Handicap Chase17.5f · Yielding To Soft · 10 ran PU 16/1
21 Dec 24 Thurles Palpatate (IRE)T: Sean Aherne Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race16f · Good · 18 ran 9th 100/1
16 Dec 24 Naas Internet Biddy (IRE)T: Sean Aherne John Thomas McNamara Series (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Good To Yielding · 19 ran UR 66/1
03 Jun 24 Listowel Imperial Chief (IRE)T: P C O'Connor Bryan MacMahon (Pro/Am) Flat Race20f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 7th 40/1
29 May 24 Wexford Ask And Answer (IRE)T: Sean Aherne Discover Wexford Handicap Hurdle (80-102)24f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 9th 40/1
27 May 24 Ballinrobe Absolute Bliss (GB)T: Paul Tobin Mchale Orbital Flat Race16.5f · Good · 10 ran 10th 25/1
21 May 24 Punchestown Johngus (IRE)T: Sean Aherne FitClub At Punchestown 9th June Handicap Hurdle (80-116)20.5f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 9th 18/1
18 May 24 Wexford Shean Glory (IRE)T: Sean Aherne Ambrex Switchgear Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)17f · Soft · 13 ran 8th 13/2
11 May 24 Cork Ask And Answer (IRE)T: Sean Aherne Fraser Rutherford Handicap Hurdle (80-95)24.5f · Good · 18 ran 10th 22/1
09 May 24 Tipperary Johngus (IRE)T: Sean Aherne Porter House Handicap Chase16.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 5th 13/2
19 Apr 24 Ballinrobe Deerpark Hill (IRE)T: Sean Aherne John Madden & Sons Flat Race15.5f · Soft · 10 ran 8th 22/1
18 Apr 24 Clonmel Shean Glory (IRE)T: Sean Aherne Cannonwood Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16.5f · Soft To Heavy · 10 ran 6th 9/2
16 Apr 24 Naas Johngus (IRE)T: Sean Aherne Daragh Fitzpatrick Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Soft · 13 ran 3rd 16/1
21 Mar 24 Cork Johngus (IRE)T: Sean Aherne Full Circle Series At Punchestown Festival 2024 Qualifier Handicap Hurdle20f · Soft To Heavy · 20 ran 4th 50/1
10 Mar 24 Limerick Oneforgonzo (IRE)T: Sean Aherne Follow Limerick Races On Instagram Handicap Hurdle (80-95)22.5f · Heavy · 18 ran F 20/1
15 Feb 24 Clonmel Sullane Hill (IRE)T: P C O'Connor Kilmolash (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (80-102)19f · Heavy · 9 ran 4th 33/1
15 Feb 24 Clonmel Shean Glory (IRE)T: Sean Aherne Minorstown Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Heavy · 16 ran 6th 17/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr S Tobin's strike rate?
Mr S Tobin has won 2 of 33 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mr S Tobin's Fair A/E?
1.12, from 33 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).