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Trainer profile

Paul Tobin

74 runners in the last 5 seasons · 16 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 19 days ago 93% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2021→)
from 1 Jan 2022
0–74
Wins / Runs
0%
Strike rate
n=74
14 (19%)
Placed
0.00
Fair A/E
n=74 · 0.00 incl. margin
−74.00
£1 level stake
n=74 at SP · −100.0%
£26,425
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 0% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%+0.0
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%+0.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Debutants · first career start
0%+0.0
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%+0.0
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%+0.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%+0.0
n=26 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −26.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 0% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Hurdle races 0% vs 0% · n=56 · A/E 0.00
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 56 0 0% −56.00
NH Flat 10 0 0% −10.00
Flat 5 0 0% −5.00
Chase 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 29 0 0% −29.00
Soft 17 0 0% −17.00
Good to Soft 15 0 0% −15.00
Heavy 12 0 0% −12.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Cork 9 0 0% −9.00
Wexford 8 0 0% −8.00
Kilbeggan 7 0 0% −7.00
Limerick 7 0 0% −7.00
Clonmel 6 0 0% −6.00
Tramore 6 0 0% −6.00
Punchestown 6 0 0% −6.00
Killarney 6 0 0% −6.00
Naas 4 0 0% −4.00
Ballinrobe 3 0 0% −3.00
Gowran Park 2 0 0% −2.00
Thurles 2 0 0% −2.00
Tipperary 2 0 0% −2.00
Bellewstown 2 0 0% −2.00
Listowel 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 0 0% 0.00 −5.00
2nd–3rd fav 8 0 0% 0.00 −8.00
4th–6th fav 21 0 0% 0.00 −21.00
7th+ in betting 40 0 0% 0.00 −40.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
84.7% completed · 59 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 3 100% 0 0 0 0 0
Hurdle 56 83.9% 0 0 8 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Sharetheknowledge (IRE) 17 0 3 1 Oct 26
Twoplustwo Equals (IRE) 13 0 3 16 Jun 25
One Big Bang (IRE)then James Owen 8 0 2 5 Feb 24
Absolute Bliss (GB) 6 0 1 24 Jul 25
Bossofthebus (IRE)then Terence O'Brien 6 0 0 11 Apr 24
Rosy Story (IRE) 6 0 2 14 Jul 22
Pounds At The Time (IRE)then Toby Lawes 3 0 1 16 Dec 24
Isla Be On To You (IRE) 3 0 0 5 Aug 22
Getaway Shivvie (IRE) 3 0 2 7 Apr 22
Try It On John (IRE) 2 0 0 19 Aug 22
Champagne Izzy (IRE)from Mrs John Harrington 2 0 0 10 Apr 22
Lily Marlene (IRE) 1 0 0 18 Oct 25
All 16 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 16 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive; 14 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 13 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
000000000000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Darragh O'Keeffe 11 0 0% −11.00
Ricky Doyle 9 0 0% −9.00
Sean Flanagan 8 0 0% −8.00
Mike O'Connor 8 0 0% −8.00
Richard Deegan 4 0 0% −4.00
Mr E P O'Brien 4 0 0% −4.00
Phillip Enright 3 0 0% −3.00
Mr Finian Maguire 3 0 0% −3.00
Mr S Tobin 3 0 0% −3.00
Danny Mullins 2 0 0% −2.00
Jack Foley 2 0 0% −2.00
Ms H Phillips 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Notnowcato (GB) 0% · 0–17
Progeny have won 9.8% of 2,368 runs since 2008 (226 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 14.5% from 386. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.6% from 349.
Westerner (GB) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,823 runs since 2008 (941 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.
Masked Marvel (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 15.5% of 1,603 runs since 2008 (265 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 19.9% from 282.
Ask (GB) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,214 runs since 2008 (283 horses).
Getaway (GER) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,913 runs since 2008 (1,026 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.7% from 131.
Hillstar (GB) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 7.5% of 738 runs since 2008 (88 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 97 · newest first

The latest 50 of 97 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 May 2021 to 1 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
01 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Sharetheknowledge (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Glenary Handicap Hurdle23f · Good · 15 ran 5th 9/1
28 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Sharetheknowledge (IRE)J: Conor Smithers Treo Eile Handicap Hurdle (Div II)20.5f · Good · 14 ran 4th 14/1
10 Jul 26 Kilbeggan Sharetheknowledge (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe New Forest Estate & Golf Club Handicap Hurdle (0-100)25f · Good · 15 ran 11th 22/1
23 Oct 25 Clonmel Sharetheknowledge (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Clonmel Oil Chase Day November 6th Handicap Chase (0-100)21f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 4th 10/1
18 Oct 25 Limerick Lily Marlene (IRE)J: Mr W Verling Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Yielding · 7 ran 7th 28/1
09 Oct 25 Tramore Sharetheknowledge (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Waterford Greenway Beginners Chase20.5f · Yielding · 10 ran 4th 7/1
23 Aug 25 Killarney Sharetheknowledge (IRE)J: Eoin Staples Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)20f · Good · 14 ran PU 11/1
09 Aug 25 Kilbeggan Sharetheknowledge (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Kieran Kelly Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100)16f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 7th 5/1
04 Aug 25 Cork Sharetheknowledge (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Kanturk Handicap Hurdle18.5f · Good · 13 ran 9th 4/1J
24 Jul 25 Wexford Absolute Bliss (GB)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Curragh To Curragh Charity Cycle On August 30th Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 12 ran PU 50/1
16 Jun 25 Kilbeggan Twoplustwo Equals (IRE)J: Liam McKenna Belvedere House & Gardens Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)24.5f · Good · 16 ran 8th 8/1
07 Jun 25 Punchestown Twoplustwo Equals (IRE)J: Mike O'Connor Ladbrokes 'Gaffer Of All Accas' Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)24f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran 7th 16/1
29 May 25 Limerick Sharetheknowledge (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe McMahons Builders Providers Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)19f · Good · 14 ran 4th 5/4F
28 May 25 Wexford Absolute Bliss (GB)J: Mr E P O'Brien Racing Again 4th July Flat Race20f · Good · 12 ran 10th 66/1
28 May 25 Wexford Twoplustwo Equals (IRE)J: Mike O'Connor Discover Wexford Handicap Hurdle (0-100)24f · Good · 9 ran 4th 9/1
15 May 25 Clonmel Sharetheknowledge (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Tote Never Beaten By SP Handicap Hurdle (0-100)19.5f · Good · 15 ran 2nd 11/2
24 Apr 25 Kilbeggan Absolute Bliss (GB)J: Mr E P O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race15.5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 7th 28/1
13 Apr 25 Tramore Twoplustwo Equals (IRE)J: Mike O'Connor QuinnBet Handicap Hurdle (0-100)21.5f · Yielding · 13 ran PU 12/1
11 Apr 25 Ballinrobe Sarah The Jewel (IRE)J: Mr E P O'Brien John Madden & Sons Flat Race17f · Good · 16 ran 15th 66/1
27 Mar 25 Clonmel Sharetheknowledge (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Glenary Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)18.5f · Good · 13 ran 2nd 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Paul Tobin's strike rate?
Paul Tobin has won 0 of 74 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 0% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Paul Tobin's Fair A/E?
0.00, from 74 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).