No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.3% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
3.1%−1.2
n=32 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −21.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−4.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−4.3
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
4.3%+0.0
n=46 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −28.50
Big fields · 14+ runners
25%+20.7
n=4 · A/E 9.35 · £1 +7.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good to Firm1800%−18.00
Good1616.3%−9.50
Heavy5120%+6.00
Soft500%−5.00
Good to Soft300%−3.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Ayr2000%−20.00
Hamilton1317.7%−6.50
Musselburgh1000%−10.00
Newcastle3133.3%+8.00
Carlisle100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 62926.9%−11.50
Class 51600%−16.00
Class 1100%−1.00
Class 3100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite200%0.00−2.00
2nd–3rd fav2150%4.01+4.50
4th–6th fav10110%1.24+1.00
7th+ in betting3300%0.00−33.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m – 1m1f2015%−13.50
6f – 7f1300%−13.00
Under 6f900%−9.00
1m2f – 1m4f3133.3%+8.00
1m5f – 2m200%−2.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20083133.3%+8.00
20091700%−17.00
20111317.7%−6.50
20121100%−11.00
2013300%−3.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps3425.9%−16.50
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners2214.5%−15.50
11-13 runners1600%−16.00
5-7 runners500%−5.00
14-16 runners4125%+7.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 32 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
····00090250·
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Progeny have won 8.5% of 8,347 runs since 2008 (515 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.5% from 165.
Rainbow Quest (USA)0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 10% of 1,384 runs since 2008 (113 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.1% from 230.
Cape Cross (IRE)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 13.3% of 12,754 runs since 2008 (988 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.4% from 477. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 230.
Bertolini (USA)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).
Distant Music (USA)33.3% · 1–3
Progeny have won 8.1% of 1,086 runs since 2008 (79 horses).
Indian Danehill (IRE)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 8.6% of 2,742 runs since 2008 (216 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 11.9% from 143.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
all 47 archived runs · newest first
Every one of Ross Smith's 47 archived rides, from 30 June 2008 to 1 October 2013, newest first — 2 winners among them.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Ross Smith's strike rate?
Ross Smith has won 2 of 47 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.3% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Ross Smith's Fair A/E?
0.90, from 46 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Ross Smith·SR 4.3%·A/E 0.90
KTB
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