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Trainer profile

David Thompson

855 runners in the last 5 seasons · 60 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 4 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
62–855
Wins / Runs
7.3%
Strike rate
n=855
221 (26%)
Placed
0.92
Fair A/E
n=854 · 0.77 incl. margin
−278.85
£1 level stake
n=855 at SP · −32.6%
£552k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 170 runners a season, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.92). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 11% (55 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 855 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar 27% when favourite Sean Kirrane: 11.4% from 88 New recruits: 10% Headgear returns: 10.9% Claiming riders: 9% Sends off the favourite in 4% of races
The read

It is weakest at Catterick (1.6% over 62 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 10.9% (n=55, Fair A/E 1.60), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3.8% (n=106, Fair A/E 0.91). Sean Kirrane rides 10% of the entries and edges the yard's average (11.4% vs 7.3%, A/E 1.79) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Chase races (16.7%, n=36). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 32 runners, 7.3pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Cusack (GB) — 10 wins from 57 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.8%−3.5
n=106 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −36.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
10%+2.7
n=30 · A/E 3.27 · £1 +5.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−7.3
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
6.7%−0.6
n=15 · A/E 1.33 · £1 −10.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
10.9%+3.6
n=55 · A/E 1.60 · £1 −6.17
When favourite
27%
n=37 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −4.88
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
9%+1.7
n=312 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −44.25

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 18.2% vs 7.3% · n=66
In Chase races 16.7% vs 7.3% · n=36
With Joshua Thompson 0% vs 7.3% · n=58
Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 7.3% · n=32
With horses switching code 0% vs 7.3% · n=30
At Catterick 1.6% vs 7.3% · n=62
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 697 53 7.6% −196.22
Hurdle 107 3 2.8% −73.50
Chase 36 6 16.7% +5.87
NH Flat 15 0 0% −15.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 372 36 9.7% −56.05
Good 202 14 6.9% −52.63
Soft 99 3 3% −73.00
Good to Firm 87 4 4.6% −57.67
Good to Soft 77 3 3.9% −40.00
Heavy 18 2 11.1% +0.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newcastle (AW) 318 30 9.4% −35.42
Redcar 80 4 5% −2.50
Catterick 62 1 1.6% −50.00
Carlisle 49 4 8.2% −15.17
Sedgefield 46 5 10.9% −6.25
Southwell (AW) 41 5 12.2% −11.38
Thirsk 39 1 2.6% −27.00
Newcastle 23 1 4.3% −17.00
Musselburgh 23 2 8.7% −1.50
Hamilton 20 2 10% −12.62
Hexham 19 1 5.3% −16.38
Beverley 19 1 5.3% −16.38
Ayr 14 1 7.1% −1.00
Cartmel 12 1 8.3% −4.00
Ripon 12 0 0% −12.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 514 38 7.4% −114.47
Class 5 232 19 8.2% −96.38
Class 4 97 5 5.2% −56.00
Class 2 8 0 0% −8.00
Class 3 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 47 11 23.4% 0.99 −11.63
2nd–3rd fav 148 21 14.2% 0.92 −44.22
4th–6th fav 289 18 6.2% 0.80 −98.00
7th+ in betting 371 12 3.2% 1.08 −125.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
John Kirkup (GB)from Michael Dods 66 2 20 5 Nov 25
Martin's Brig (IRE)from Iain Jardine 65 7 24 22 Jun 26
Cusack (GB)from John Davies 56 9 25 12 Oct 26
Wheres The Crumpet (GB) 48 4 9 31 Aug 26
Visitant (GB) 40 2 15 26 May 25
Mr Strutter (IRE)from Geoffrey Harker 37 3 13 15 Oct 24
Stormy Pearl (GB)from Rebecca Menzies 36 3 16 12 Oct 26
Top Gun Tina (GB) 34 1 5 31 Aug 26
Birdie Bowers (IRE)from John Davies 34 2 9 9 Aug 25
Too Much (GB)from James Horton 28 3 6 19 Sep 26
Secret Daay (GB)from Michael Dods 28 0 6 22 Mar 25
Danielsflyer (IRE)from Michael Dods 26 5 8 27 Feb 25
All 60 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 41 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John Davies (4) and Michael Dods (4); 19 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard, most often for Ray Craggs (4); 48 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 8
Only 8 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
69243358711248
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderSean Kirrane
10% of all rides
11.4% SR · A/E 1.79
RiderRWSR£1
Sean Kirrane 88 10 11.4% +5.00
David Allan 63 5 7.9% −28.26
Joshua Thompson 58 0 0% −58.00
Rhys Elliott 56 7 12.5% +24.38
Connor Beasley 51 5 9.8% −18.00
Aiden Brookes 33 1 3% −16.00
Phil Dennis 32 3 9.4% −2.67
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
159
Archived wins
£1.25m
Prize money
2024
Best season · 18 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Cusack (GB) — Win 2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap Newcastle (AW) · Feb 2024 · Class 5
£9,421
Visitant (GB) — Ice & Easy Frozen Alcoholic Slushies Handicap York · Jun 2017 · Class 4
£7,763
Danielsflyer (IRE) — Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Handicap Newcastle (AW) · Mar 2024 · Class 4
£7,537
Notable horses
Cusack (GB) Martin's Brig (IRE) Glan Y Gors (IRE) Visitant (GB) Lukoutoldmakezebak (GB) Someone Exciting (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Mukhadram (GB) 11.7% · 9–77
Progeny have won 10.7% of 2,438 runs since 2008 (199 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.2% from 302.
Assertive (GB) 2.7% · 2–74
Progeny have won 7.2% of 1,569 runs since 2008 (84 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 11.3% from 159.
Equiano (FR) 10.8% · 7–65
Progeny have won 9.1% of 7,539 runs since 2008 (549 horses).
Heeraat (IRE) 16.1% · 9–56
Progeny have won 8% of 2,994 runs since 2008 (194 horses).
Pivotal (GB) 5% · 2–40
Progeny have won 13.6% of 12,787 runs since 2008 (1,019 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.4% from 108.
Toronado (IRE) 2.6% · 1–38
Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,853 runs since 2008 (417 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 191. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 15.5% from 142.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,993 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,993 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 February 2005 to 18 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
18 Oct 26 Sedgefield Curious Mrs Fox (GB)J: Joshua Thompson Vickers Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 15/2
18 Oct 26 Sedgefield Illogical Logic (FR)J: Ellis Collier Celebrating 40 Years Of Vickers Bookmakers Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good · 7 ran 4th 3/1
18 Oct 26 Sedgefield Rock Armour (IRE)J: Joshua Thompson Michael And Olivia Watson Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 3 ran 3rd 33/1
17 Oct 26 Catterick Miss Tino (GB)J: Barry McHugh Every Race Live On Racing TV Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good · 7 ran 5th 200/1
16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Mystic Wave (GB)J: Aiden Brookes Central Employment & Training Partnership Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 100/1
12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Stormy Pearl (GB)J: Connor Beasley Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 28/1
12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Cusack (GB)J: Cam Hardie Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 66/1
10 Oct 26 Hexham Rock Armour (IRE)J: Joshua Thompson Hitz Novices' Hurdle Race (Go North Night Nurse Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 9 ran UR 40/1
02 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Mystic Wave (GB)J: Aiden Brookes Henry Malone 1926 Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 150/1
02 Oct 26 Hexham Illogical Logic (FR)J: Ellis Collier Davey Liddle Belated Birthday Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 5 ran 1st 13/8
25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Cusack (GB)J: Gina Mangan Northumbrian Wateraid Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12.5f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 50/1
24 Sep 26 Perth Curious Mrs Fox (GB)J: Joshua Thompson House Of Bruar Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 9/2
19 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Too Much (GB)J: Aiden Brookes Happy Birthday Dave Miller From Probio energy.com Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 11/1
09 Sep 26 Redcar Stormy Pearl (GB)J: Cam Hardie Visit Racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good · 16 ran 11th 15/2
09 Sep 26 Sedgefield Curious Mrs Fox (GB)J: Joshua Thompson Roxyfet Sports Lounge For Private Hire Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 7/1
09 Sep 26 Sedgefield Rock Armour (IRE)J: Joshua Thompson Racing Again 14th September Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 150/1
05 Sep 26 Thirsk Kisiyra (IRE)J: Ethan Tindall Calverts Carpets Hambleton Cup Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 6th 150/1
03 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Too Much (GB)J: Connor Beasley Follow @attheraces On X Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 8 ran 4th 5/1
02 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Miss Tino (GB)J: Barry McHugh Sunday Lunch At The Border Minstrel Ebf Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 200/1
02 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Mystic Wave (GB)J: Aiden Brookes Sunday Lunch At The Border Minstrel Ebf Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 300/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is David Thompson's strike rate?
David Thompson has won 62 of 855 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does David Thompson do best at?
Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 5 wins from 41 runners (12.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for David Thompson?
Sean Kirrane, with 88 runners since 2022 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (11.4%).
Is David Thompson in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is David Thompson's Fair A/E?
0.92, from 854 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).