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Trainer profile

Donal Nolan

192 runners in the lifetime window · 31 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Nov 2011 93% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
0–192
Wins / Runs
0%
Strike rate
n=192
5 (3%)
Placed
0.00
Fair A/E
n=190 · 0.00 incl. margin
−192.00
£1 level stake
n=192 at SP · −100.0%
£5,359
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 50 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 0% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.00).

Deterministic profile computed from 192 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 0% strike, Fair A/E 0.00 and −106.00 to a £1 stake over 106 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Good going: Fair A/E 0.00 across 61 runners (0% strike, −61.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 0% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%+0.0
n=43 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −43.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%+0.0
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
Debutants · first career start
0%+0.0
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%+0.0
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%+0.0
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%+0.0
n=106 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −106.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%+0.0
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 0% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Musselburgh 0% vs 0% · n=68 · A/E 0.00
At Hamilton 0% vs 0% · n=68 · A/E 0.00
On Good going 0% vs 0% · n=61 · A/E 0.00
On Good to Firm going 0% vs 0% · n=57 · A/E 0.00
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 178 0 0% −178.00
Hurdle 13 0 0% −13.00
NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 61 0 0% −61.00
Good to Firm 57 0 0% −57.00
Good to Soft 32 0 0% −32.00
Soft 32 0 0% −32.00
Firm 4 0 0% −4.00
Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00
Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Musselburgh 68 0 0% −68.00
Hamilton 68 0 0% −68.00
Ayr 31 0 0% −31.00
Perth 5 0 0% −5.00
Newcastle 4 0 0% −4.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Carlisle 3 0 0% −3.00
Kelso 3 0 0% −3.00
Redcar 2 0 0% −2.00
Cartmel 2 0 0% −2.00
Thirsk 1 0 0% −1.00
Haydock 1 0 0% −1.00
Hexham 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 96 0 0% −96.00
Class 5 65 0 0% −65.00
Class 4 22 0 0% −22.00
Class 2 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
4th–6th fav 27 0 0% 0.00 −27.00
7th+ in betting 163 0 0% 0.00 −163.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Howards Prince (GB)from Ian Semple 23 0 0 3 Jun 10
Primo Way (GB)from Linda Perratt 19 0 2 1 May 11
Seafield Towers (GB)from Linda Perratt 19 0 0 20 Jun 09
Stravonian (GB) 13 0 0 3 Apr 09
Defi (IRE)from Linda Perratt 12 0 0 31 Jul 10
Mutayam (GB) 12 0 0 29 Jun 09
Alfie Lee (IRE) 10 0 1 29 Jun 09
Sokoke (GB) 9 0 0 11 Jul 09
Howards Dream (IRE) 8 0 0 31 May 09
La Guancha (GB)from David Barron 8 0 0 9 Aug 08
Dubai To Barnsley (GB)from Garry Moss 7 0 1 20 Nov 09
Compton Lad (GB)from J S Moore 6 0 0 3 Jun 10
All 31 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 31 horses listed, 22 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Linda Perratt (6) and Ian Semple (5); 9 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard, most often for Valentine Donoghue (2); 25 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
··000000000·
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Paul Pickard 27 0 0% −27.00
Gary Bartley 21 0 0% −21.00
Duran Fentiman 20 0 0% −20.00
Ross Smith 14 0 0% −14.00
Greg Fairley 12 0 0% −12.00
Paddy Mathers 12 0 0% −12.00
Patrick Donaghy 10 0 0% −10.00
James Sullivan 7 0 0% −7.00
Wilson Renwick 5 0 0% −5.00
Andrew Elliott 5 0 0% −5.00
Micky Fenton 4 0 0% −4.00
Jimmy Quinn 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Compton Place (GB) 0% · 0–49
Progeny have won 8.5% of 8,347 runs since 2008 (515 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.5% from 165.
Bertolini (USA) 0% · 0–24
Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).
Primo Dominie (GB) 0% · 0–19
Progeny have won 3% of 201 runs since 2008 (11 horses).
Luso (GB) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 6.7% of 3,516 runs since 2008 (389 horses).
Rainbow Quest (USA) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 10% of 1,384 runs since 2008 (113 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.1% from 230.
Case Law (IRE) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 3.1% of 32 runs since 2008 (4 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 447 · newest first

The latest 50 of 447 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 27 February 2005 to 3 November 2011.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
03 Nov 11 Musselburgh Mystic Echo (GB)J: Wilson Renwick Edinburgh Evening News Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 15.5f · Good · 13 ran PU 100/1
08 Oct 11 Hexham Mystic Echo (GB)J: Alexander Voy Metrocentre Always A Safe Bet Intermediate NH Flat Race (Conditional Jockeys And Amateur Riders)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 7th 33/1
30 Jul 11 Hamilton Blue Tomato (GB)J: Paddy Mathers Macgregor Flooring Handicap (Qualifier For The Betfair Bonus Scottish Racing Sprint Final)Class 5 · 5f · Good · 11 ran 11th 50/1
01 May 11 Hamilton Primo Way (GB)J: Paddy Mathers Live Equine Anatomy Here Today HandicapClass 5 · 8.5f · Good · 11 ran 11th 100/1
06 Aug 10 Haydock Sunnandaeg (GB)J: Martin Lane Chris Fayle Memorial HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Soft · 7 ran 7th 12/1
31 Jul 10 Hamilton Defi (IRE)J: Neil Farley Daluciano Restaurant & Bar Handicap (Qualifier For The Scottish Trophy Handicap Series)Class 5 · 9f · Good · 12 ran 11th 100/1
31 Jul 10 Hamilton Primo Way (GB)J: Franny Norton Daluciano Restaurant & Bar Handicap (Qualifier For The Scottish Trophy Handicap Series)Class 5 · 9f · Good · 12 ran 10th 66/1
31 Jul 10 Hamilton Mark Carmers (GB)J: Neil Farley Kane Gang Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 7 ran 7th 100/1
19 Jul 10 Ayr Dies Solis (GB)J: Paul Hanagan Watch Live Racing At victorchandler.com HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Soft · 11 ran 6th 9/2
19 Jul 10 Ayr Primo Way (GB)J: Franny Norton El Toro Grande Dos Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 8f · Soft · 9 ran 4th 10/1
04 Jul 10 Ayr Primo Way (GB)J: Paddy Mathers Toteswinger Flexi Betting HandicapClass 6 · 9f · Good · 12 ran 6th 40/1
04 Jul 10 Ayr Defi (IRE)J: Paddy Mathers Toteplacepot HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good · 9 ran 9th 100/1
29 Jun 10 Hamilton Primo Way (GB)J: James Sullivan Weatherbys Bloodstock Insurance Handicap (Scottish Trophy Qualifier)Class 5 · 9f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 9th 66/1
18 Jun 10 Ayr Primo Way (GB)J: Neil Farley Saints And Sinners Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 5th 40/1
03 Jun 10 Hamilton Primo Way (GB)J: Duran Fentiman Prestige Scotland Handicap (Qualifier For The Scottish Trophy Handicap Series Final)Class 5 · 8.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 8th 33/1
03 Jun 10 Hamilton Howards Prince (GB)J: James Sullivan Lanarkshire Chamber Of Commerce HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 11th 100/1
03 Jun 10 Hamilton Compton Lad (GB)J: Paul Pickard Lanarkshire Chamber Of Commerce HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 10th 100/1
18 May 10 Musselburgh Howards Prince (GB)J: Matthew Lawson Racing Uk HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 12th 100/1
18 May 10 Musselburgh Compton Lad (GB)J: James Sullivan Turftv Maiden StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 6th 200/1
02 May 10 Hamilton Howards Prince (GB)J: James Sullivan John Quigley Memorial HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good · 13 ran 11th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Donal Nolan's strike rate?
Donal Nolan has won 0 of 192 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 0% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Donal Nolan do best at?
Musselburgh by strike rate: 0 wins from 68 runners (0%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Donal Nolan's Fair A/E?
0.00, from 190 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).