2:45 Beverley
This Class 4 restricted maiden for two-year-olds at Beverley covers seven and a half furlongs on good to firm ground with a field of 13. The race lacks a natural leader and is expected to be a steadily-run, tactical affair in which handy positioning will be an asset. KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched at the top, with Empire Rising heading the numbers on 53 despite modest form, while several newcomers sit close behind on 50 and 49.
How the race shapes up
With no obvious front-runner in the field, the pace is likely to be modest early on and the race will develop into a steadily-run, tactical contest. Being handy or able to slot in from a good draw should pay in the latter stages. The key question is whether any of the more experienced runners can improve enough to take advantage or if one of the better-bred debutants can strike at the first attempt.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Empire Rising KTB Selection53/100Empire Rising has shown consistent but limited ability in four runs this year, finishing no better than fourth each time.
- 2You Got Know How50/100You Got Know How is a newcomer from a yard that operates at a steady 14% strike-rate at Beverley.
- 3High On Honey50/100High On Honey is a newcomer from the Michael and David Easterby yard which has a solid 14% strike rate from 227 runs at Beverley.
- 4Quintillion49/100Quintillion is a newcomer from a yard that operates at a solid 16% strike rate here.
- 5Real Edition49/100Real Edition has shown only modest form in two starts so far, finishing seventh then fourth without suggesting he is ahead of the average 2yo.
- 6Diplomacy48/100Diplomacy finished sixth on debut over this trip and has only one run in the book.
- 7Coco Nova47/100Coco Nova showed fair initial promise when fourth on debut over this trip.
- 8Astral Calling47/100Astral Calling has shown only modest form in two runs at this trip and was well held when sixth on this track last time.
- 9Be More Ruthless45/100Be More Ruthless has been beaten a long way in two starts over this trip and looks limited on what she has shown so far.
- 10Black Fury44/100Black Fury has shown only modest form in two starts at this trip so far and needs to improve markedly to figure.
- 11Hair Raising44/100Hair Raising showed some promise when third on debut over 5f here and now steps up to 7f for the first time.
- 12Cowgirl43/100Cowgirl is a debutant so assessment is limited.
- 13Loveulongtime43/100Loveulongtime has shown very little in three starts, finishing no closer than seventh on her latest run over 5f.
The contenders
Empire Rising KTB Fit 53/100
Empire Rising has shown consistent but limited ability across four starts this season, never finishing better than fourth. He steps up in class and tries seven furlongs for the first time, a trip that poses a fresh question for this modest performer. The Charlie Clover yard has a 33% strike rate at Beverley from a small sample of three runs with an A/E of 1.46, though the jockey Sam James is on a 12% strike rate from 193 rides here with an A/E of 0.86. He has two runs on good to firm without placing and has no previous course form. Usually held up, he produces his effort late though that assessment rests on limited evidence.
You Got Know How KTB Fit 50/100
You Got Know How is a newcomer from the David O'Meara stable which operates at a 14% strike rate at Beverley from 677 runs with an A/E of 0.92. The booking of Daniel Tudhope is a positive, given the jockey's 17% strike rate at the track from 556 rides and an A/E of 0.99. Trainer and jockey combined show 15% from 4831 rides with an A/E of 0.89. By Dark Angel, he has an overall sire win rate of 11% from 23055 runners. With no racecourse form the assessment rests entirely on pedigree and sales background.
High On Honey KTB Fit 50/100
High On Honey is a newcomer representing the Michael and David Easterby yard which posts a 14% strike rate at Beverley from 227 runs with an A/E of 1.09. Joanna Mason takes the ride and she too has a 14% strike rate at the track from 239 rides with an A/E of 1.08. The combined trainer-jockey record stands at 11% from 1027 rides with an A/E of 0.84. By Palace Pier, the sire has a 12% win rate from 437 runners. With no racecourse form the assessment rests entirely on the undisclosed pedigree and sales background.
Quintillion KTB Fit 49/100
Quintillion is a newcomer from the Charlie Johnston yard which has a solid 16% strike rate at Beverley from 149 runs with an A/E of 0.93. Andrew Mullen is in the saddle and the combined trainer-jockey record is 8% from 143 rides with an A/E of 0.89. By Study Of Man, the sire has a 15% win rate from 1047 runners. Connections are not strongly fancied on the jockey figures and with no racecourse form the only real pointers come from pedigree and sales data.
Real Edition KTB Fit 49/100
Real Edition has shown only modest form in two starts, finishing seventh then fourth without suggesting he is above average for a two-year-old. He drops in class and the trip looks about right though he is unproven on good to firm having had no runs on the surface. The Craig Lidster yard has a 13% strike rate at Beverley from 88 runs with an A/E of 1.07 while Tom Eaves operates at 7% from 877 rides here with an A/E of 0.67. Usually held up, he produces his effort late on the basis of limited evidence.
The rest of the field
DiplomacyKTB Fit 48/100
Diplomacy finished sixth on debut over this trip and now drops in class with only one run in the book. The Michael and David Easterby yard has a 14% strike rate at Beverley from 227 runs with an A/E of 1.09 while Billy Garritty is on 10% from 89 rides here with an A/E of 0.88; with so little evidence the form must be treated with caution.
Coco NovaKTB Fit 47/100
Coco Nova showed fair initial promise when fourth on debut over this trip. The Hugo Palmer yard has a 15% strike rate at Beverley from 47 runs with an A/E of 0.76 while Oisin Orr operates at 19% from 123 rides here with an A/E of 1.03; with only one run on the board and the going sample too small to judge this remains very much an unknown.
Astral CallingKTB Fit 47/100
Astral Calling has shown only modest form in two runs at this trip and was well held when sixth on this track last time, now dropping in class. The K. R. Burke yard has a 15% strike rate at Beverley from 310 runs with an A/E of 0.85 while Clifford Lee operates at 21% from 119 rides here with an A/E of 1.08; with so few runs any firm conclusions would be premature.
Be More RuthlessKTB Fit 45/100
Be More Ruthless has been beaten a long way in two starts over this trip and looks limited on what she has shown so far. The Adrian Nicholls yard has a 12% strike rate at Beverley from 67 runs with an A/E of 1.05 while Jack Nicholls is on 11% from nine rides here with an A/E of 0.59; with only two runs any firm conclusions are risky.
Black FuryKTB Fit 44/100
Black Fury has shown only modest form in two starts at this trip so far and needs to improve markedly to figure. The Ollie Pears yard has an 8% strike rate at Beverley from 435 runs with an A/E of 0.78 while Cam Hardie is on 4% from 374 rides here with an A/E of 0.68; with so few runs the overall picture remains tentative.
Hair RaisingKTB Fit 44/100
Hair Raising showed some promise when third on debut over five furlongs here and now steps up to seven furlongs for the first time, a trip that could suit or expose limitations. The Tim Easterby yard has a 10% strike rate at Beverley from 2385 runs with an A/E of 0.82 while David Allan matches that figure from 1246 rides here with an A/E of 0.79.
CowgirlKTB Fit 43/100
Cowgirl is a debutant so assessment is limited. She is by Starman out of a useful six-furlong winner who has produced two placed two-year-olds and she cost 52,000 euros as a yearling. The John and Sean Quinn yard and Jason Hart both have solid records at Beverley without setting the place alight.
LoveulongtimeKTB Fit 43/100
Loveulongtime has shown very little in three starts, finishing no closer than seventh on her latest run over five furlongs. She steps up to seven furlongs for the first time today having already tried the trip once without success, while her sole visit to Beverley produced a modest fourth. The Geoffrey Harker yard has an 8% strike rate here from 156 runs and William Pyle is on 9% from 54 rides, both below average.
KTB verdict
Empire Rising is the KTB Selection. He has been consistent if modest in four runs and now steps up in trip and class, but the yard's small-sample record at Beverley is positive and his held-up style may suit a race that is likely to be run at a steady pace. The main dangers are the leading newcomers, particularly You Got Know How who benefits from the O'Meara-Tudhope combination and High On Honey from the Easterby-Mason axis, both of whom bring strong local trainer-jockey figures. Quintillion and Real Edition complete the shortlist of those who could feature, though the race remains open given the modest Fit Scores across the field.
KTB Selection Empire Rising
This is the narrative read of the 2:45 Beverley. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Beverley racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Why does the pace shape point to a tactical race?
The race lacks a leader and no one obviously wants the lead, making it likely to be a steadily-run, tactical affair where being handy pays.
Which runners are usually held up?
Empire Rising, Real Edition, Coco Nova, Astral Calling and Black Fury are all described as usually held up and producing their effort late.
Who has the strongest trainer strike rate at Beverley among the principals?
Charlie Johnston has a 16% strike rate at Beverley from 149 runs for Quintillion; Charlie Clover has 33% from a very small sample of three runs for Empire Rising.
Which jockey has the highest strike rate at Beverley in the field?
Clifford Lee has a 21% strike rate at Beverley from 119 rides for Astral Calling; Oisin Orr has 19% from 123 rides for Coco Nova.
How many runners have previous Beverley form?
Astral Calling, Hair Raising and Loveulongtime have each run once at the track; the remainder have no course form on record.
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