3:15 Beverley
This Class 6 handicap over 7f75y at Beverley on good to firm ground brings together a field of 14 limited performers, many of whom have struggled to make a significant impact of late. The KTB Fit scores reflect a race lacking depth, with the top-rated horse only reaching 57 and several others clustered in the low forties, underlining the modest overall standard. Dropping in class is a theme for a couple of runners, while first-time headgear is tried by multiple horses in an attempt to spark improvement.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape points to a lone leader with high confidence, suggesting one horse will secure an uncontested lead that could prove difficult for the many held-up types to reel in. Most of the field, including the top five in the KTB Fit rankings, are typically held up and produce their efforts late, which sets up a race where the leader may have things their own way out front. The key question is whether any of the closers can muster a strong enough late rally on this ground and track to overcome the uncontested pace advantage, or if the front-runner will prove hard to peg back.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Willowinghurn KTB Selection57/100Limited performer who has been placed once in four runs at Beverley without winning.
- 2King Sharja50/100King Sharja is a limited handicapper who has run well here on his last two starts, finishing second on both occasions.
- 3Dabbling45/100Dabbling is a limited performer who has shown her best form at this track, finishing placed once from four runs here.
- 4Sir David44/100Limited performer who has shown only modest form this year and finished well down the field in both runs at Beverley.
- 5The New Bay Pearl44/100Limited performer who has shown little spark in recent starts and looks up against it from a modest overall level.
- 6Alice's Influence42/100Limited horse who has been consistent in recent months but has failed to add to her sole win.
- 7Ganthorpe42/100Limited performer who has been out of form for some time and steps up in trip today from a recent 5f run.
- 8Mickey Mongoose40/100Limited performer who has shown little at Beverley in five runs and arrives in ordinary form.
- 9Ryefield40/100Limited performer who has struggled to make an impact in nine starts and arrives here in poor recent form.
- 10Elettaria36/100Elettaria is a limited performer who has been placed twice from 11 runs at Beverley without winning.
- 11Bantz35/100Limited horse who has shown very little in recent starts and has a poor record at Beverley.
- 12Power Of Chora34/100Power Of Chora is a limited performer who has shown little spark in nine runs this year and finished no better than eighth in three starts at this track.
- 13Mister Sky Blue32/100Mister Sky Blue is a limited performer who has shown no real spark in six runs this year and looks exposed after 25 career starts.
- 14Furrst Lady31/100Furrst Lady is a limited performer on the balance of her ratings and modest recent form of 87-089.
The contenders
Willowinghurn KTB Fit 57/100
Willowinghurn is a limited performer who has been placed once in four runs at Beverley without winning. He has won on good to firm and at this trip but his recent form of 785056 is modest and he now tries headgear for the first time. The three-year-old is dropping in class from a wide draw of one, where he is usually held up and produces his effort late. David O'Meara holds a 14% strike rate at Beverley with an A/E of 0.92 from 677 runs, while Daniel Tudhope is 17% from 556 rides at the track with an A/E of 0.99. The trainer and jockey combination shows a 15% strike rate together from 4831 runs with an A/E of 0.89.
King Sharja KTB Fit 50/100
King Sharja is a limited handicapper who has run well here on his last two starts, finishing second on both occasions. He has solid course form with three wins from ten runs and has also won three times from seven starts on good to firm ground. The six-year-old is usually held up and produces his effort late from draw three. Ruth Carr has a 9% strike rate at Beverley with an A/E of 0.77 from 424 runs, while James Sullivan is 7% from 581 rides at the track with an A/E of 0.69. The pair combine for a 9% strike rate from 3904 runs with an A/E of 0.86.
Dabbling KTB Fit 45/100
Dabbling is a limited performer who has shown her best form at this track, finishing placed once from four runs here. She steps up in trip for the first time today having last run over 5f, which asks a fresh question of her. The three-year-old is usually held up and produces her effort late from draw nine and has been competitive without winning on good to firm. Ollie Pears has an 8% strike rate at Beverley with an A/E of 0.78 from 435 runs, while Harry Russell is 5% from 103 rides at the track with an A/E of 0.56. The trainer and jockey show an 11% strike rate together from 242 runs with an A/E of 1.02.
Sir David KTB Fit 44/100
Sir David is a limited performer who has shown only modest form this year and finished well down the field in both runs at Beverley. He has won over today's trip but his placed effort on good to firm is the only real positive on this ground. The four-year-old is usually held up and produces his effort late from a wide draw of 14. Nigel Tinkler has a 7% strike rate at Beverley with an A/E of 0.85 from 949 runs, while Alex Jary is 5% from 43 rides at the track with an A/E of 0.57. The trainer and jockey combine for a 10% strike rate from 469 runs with an A/E of 0.94.
The New Bay Pearl KTB Fit 44/100
The New Bay Pearl is a limited performer who has shown little spark in recent starts and looks up against it from a modest overall level. He drops back to 7f having been placed at the trip earlier in his career, though he has failed to place from three runs on good to firm. The four-year-old is usually held up and produces his effort late from draw five and is dropping in class. Simon Whitaker has an 8% strike rate at Beverley with an A/E of 0.82 from 40 runs, while Tom Eaves is 7% from 877 rides at the track with an A/E of 0.67. The pair show a 0% strike rate together from 22 runs with an A/E of 0.00.
The rest of the field
Alice's InfluenceKTB Fit 42/100
Alice's Influence is a limited horse who has been consistent in recent months but has failed to add to her sole win. She drops back from a mile to a trip she has already tried twice without success while first-time headgear is reached for and she tends to make the running or race on the pace.
GanthorpeKTB Fit 42/100
Ganthorpe is a limited performer who has been out of form for some time and steps up in trip today from a recent 5f run. First time at Beverley and only one previous try on good to firm ground, both unknowns rather than proven negatives, while he is usually held up and produces his effort late.
Mickey MongooseKTB Fit 40/100
Mickey Mongoose is a limited performer who has shown little at Beverley in five runs and arrives in ordinary form. First-time headgear is tried as he steps back up to a trip he has won over in the past, though the trainer has a poor record here and the wide draw is another negative while he is usually held up.
RyefieldKTB Fit 40/100
Ryefield is a limited performer who has struggled to make an impact in nine starts and arrives here in poor recent form. First time at Beverley is neutral and the trip has so far failed to spark improvement, while he typically settles in midfield.
ElettariaKTB Fit 36/100
Elettaria is a limited performer who has been placed twice from 11 runs at Beverley without winning. She drops back to 7f having won at the trip in the past though her recent form has been modest and she now tries headgear for the first time while usually held up and producing her effort late.
BantzKTB Fit 35/100
Bantz is a limited horse who has shown very little in recent starts and has a poor record at Beverley. The first-time headgear is a possible plus but the yard and rider both have modest strike rates at the track, while he is usually held up and produces his effort late.
Power Of ChoraKTB Fit 34/100
Power Of Chora is a limited performer who has shown little spark in nine runs this year and finished no better than eighth in three starts at this track. The step up to 7f today asks a fresh question and he is usually held up and produces his effort late.
Mister Sky BlueKTB Fit 32/100
Mister Sky Blue is a limited performer who has shown no real spark in six runs this year and looks exposed after 25 career starts. He has run just once at Beverley, finishing fifth, while he steps up to 7f for the first time since three previous unsuccessful tries at the trip and is usually held up.
Furrst LadyKTB Fit 31/100
Furrst Lady is a limited performer on the balance of her ratings and modest recent form of 87-089. She steps up to 7f for the first time today having been beaten on her only previous try at the distance, while the going remains an unknown with only six career runs to date and she is usually held up.
KTB verdict
Willowinghurn is the KTB Selection. He is a limited performer yet has shown placed form at Beverley, possesses previous success on good to firm and at this trip, and now tries first-time headgear while dropping in class. The combination of O'Meara and Tudhope, both with solid records at the track, adds to the appeal for a horse that should be suited by the likely uncontested lead up front given the preponderance of held-up runners. The main dangers are King Sharja, who has strong recent course form and three wins from ten starts here, and Dabbling, who has shown her best efforts at this venue and now steps up in trip.
KTB Selection Willowinghurn
This is the narrative read of the 3:15 Beverley. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Beverley racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is dropping in class and trying first-time headgear while being held up from the inside draw?
Willowinghurn, a three-year-old with recent form of 785056 who has been placed once from four runs at Beverley.
How many wins has King Sharja recorded at Beverley and on good to firm ground?
Three wins from ten runs at Beverley and three wins from seven starts on good to firm.
What is the only real positive for Sir David on good to firm ground?
His placed effort on good to firm is the only real positive on this ground.
Which horse tends to make the running or race on the pace and is trying first-time headgear?
Alice's Influence, a limited horse who has been consistent but failed to add to her sole win.
How many times has Elettaria been placed at Beverley without winning?
Placed twice from 11 runs at Beverley without winning.
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