5:25 Leopardstown
This Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden over 1m1f at Leopardstown on good to firm ground features a field of 15, the majority of whom are lightly raced or making their debut. The KTB Fit ratings are tightly bunched at the top, with Trovao Dourado heading the list on 58, followed closely by Michinaga on 56 and Nottooshabby on 50. Several runners are stepping up or down in trip with limited or no previous experience on this surface, while the overall data confidence remains modest given the number of unknowns in the field.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape points to a lone leader with medium confidence, suggesting one horse will secure an uncontested lead that could prove difficult for closers to overcome. Let's Smash It is the clear front-runner who tends to make the running or race prominently, while Ask Me Again usually races handily on or close to the pace. Most of the principals are held-up types who produce their effort late, raising the key question of whether any of them can close the gap on an uncontested leader over this trip.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Trovao Dourado KTB Selection58/100Lightly raced with just one run to go on and that was a modest fifth on debut.
- 2Michinaga56/100Michinaga is a debutant with no racecourse experience.
- 3Nottooshabby50/100Nottooshabby showed only modest form when sixth on debut over a mile.
- 4Handani49/100Handani showed promise when runner-up on debut over a mile.
- 5Hard Promises49/100Useful performer who has shown steady promise in both starts so far, finishing third on each occasion.
- 6Parish Team48/100Parish Team has shown little in two starts so far, finishing eighth both times including on this track.
- 7Magnum Cor47/100Magnum Cor is a newcomer from a yard that operates at a solid 13% strike rate from over a thousand runs at Leopardstown.
- 8Ask Me Again46/100This 3-year-old has shown very little in two starts so far, finishing fifth then last.
- 9Nemorino45/100Nemorino is a debutant with no racecourse experience.
- 10Matties Point45/100Lightly raced colt who showed fair form when fourth on debut over 1m2½f.
- 11Aiteall45/100Aiteall is a newcomer from a yard that operates at a solid 13% strike rate at Leopardstown from a huge sample of runners.
- 12Plug In Hybrid44/100Plug In Hybrid is a newcomer from a yard that has a 10 percent strike rate at Leopardstown from 1701 runs.
- 13Mothel Abbey43/100Mothel Abbey is a debutant so the form picture is blank.
- 14Let's Smash It40/100Lightly raced colt with just two runs behind him and a modest placed effort on debut.
- 15The Monday Club39/100The Monday Club has shown only modest form in two starts so far, finishing fifth on both occasions.
The contenders
Trovao Dourado KTB Fit 58/100
Trovao Dourado is the KTB selection with a Fit rating of 58. Lightly raced with just one run to go on, he finished a modest fifth on debut. The yard has a 9% strike rate at Leopardstown from 66 runs with an A/E of 1.44, while Patrick McGettigan has recorded a 16% strike rate at the track from 31 rides with an A/E of 1.47 though his overall sample with the trainer is small. He is unproven on good to firm ground and has no course form on record. Drawn in stall 12, this 4-year-old will need to improve markedly on that debut effort if he is to take advantage of the uncontested lead scenario.
Michinaga KTB Fit 56/100
Michinaga is a debutant rated 56 on the KTB Fit scale. With no racecourse experience the assessment is tentative and rests on pedigree and sales background that are not supplied here. The Charles Weld yard has a 6% strike rate at Leopardstown from 17 runs with an A/E of 1.42, and the trainer and jockey combination is currently 0 from 9 with an A/E of 0. Rory Mulligan has an 8% strike rate at the track from 36 rides with an A/E of 1.12. As a 3-year-old by Rey De Oro he comes from a sire with a 13% overall win rate from 86 runners, but there is no course win on record and data confidence is low.
Nottooshabby KTB Fit 50/100
Nottooshabby is rated 50 on the KTB Fit scale. He showed only modest form when sixth on debut over a mile and now steps up in trip as a lightly raced 3-year-old. The Patrick J Flynn yard has an 8% strike rate at Leopardstown from 229 runs with an A/E of 0.91, while the trainer and jockey are 16 from 159 with an A/E of 1.05. Robyn Donaghue-Leahy has a strong 17% strike rate at the track from just 12 rides with an A/E of 1.89. He is unproven on good to firm ground and has no course form, so the run needs treating with caution.
Handani KTB Fit 49/100
Handani is rated 49 on the KTB Fit scale. He showed promise when runner-up on debut over a mile and now steps up in trip as a lightly raced 3-year-old with first-time headgear applied, which asks a fresh question. The D K Weld yard has a solid 17% strike rate at Leopardstown from 3164 runs with an A/E of 0.92, and the trainer and jockey combination is 136 from 1125 with an A/E of 0.76. Chris Hayes has an 8% strike rate at the track from 1210 rides with an A/E of 0.79. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he is unproven on good to firm and has no course form on record.
Hard Promises KTB Fit 49/100
Hard Promises is rated 49 on the KTB Fit scale. A useful performer who has shown steady promise in both starts so far, finishing third on each occasion, he drops back in trip to an untried 1m1f today which asks a fresh question. The A Oliver yard has a 5% strike rate at Leopardstown from 347 runs with an A/E of 0.61, and the trainer and jockey are 6 from 118 with an A/E of 0.51. Ben Coen has a 7% strike rate at the track from 379 rides with an A/E of 0.68. Usually held up and producing his effort late with medium confidence, he is unproven on good to firm ground and has no course form.
The rest of the field
Parish TeamKTB Fit 48/100
Parish Team is rated 48 on the KTB Fit scale. He has shown little in two starts so far, finishing eighth both times including on this track, and now drops back from 1m5f to 1m1f having already tried the trip without success. The Bolger yard has a 14% strike rate at Leopardstown from 3183 runs with an A/E of 0.94, and the trainer and jockey are 14 from 145 with an A/E of 0.86.
Magnum CorKTB Fit 47/100
Magnum Cor is rated 47 on the KTB Fit scale. A newcomer from the Joseph Patrick O'Brien yard that has a 13% strike rate at Leopardstown from 1055 runs with an A/E of 0.89, the assessment rests entirely on pedigree and sales background with low data confidence. The trainer and jockey combination is 309 from 1636 with an A/E of 0.91. By Sea The Stars, a sire with a 15% overall win rate from 10307 runners, but there is no course win on record.
Ask Me AgainKTB Fit 46/100
Ask Me Again is rated 46 on the KTB Fit scale. This 3-year-old has shown very little in two starts so far, finishing fifth then last, and now steps up in trip wearing first-time headgear which adds further unknowns. The John James Feane yard has a 7% strike rate at Leopardstown from 88 runs with an A/E of 0.73, and the trainer and jockey are 10 from 57 with an A/E of 1.33. Usually races handily, on or close to the lead.
NemorinoKTB Fit 45/100
Nemorino is rated 45 on the KTB Fit scale. A debutant with no racecourse experience, the Henry De Bromhead yard has an 8% strike rate at Leopardstown from 699 runs with an A/E of 0.75 and low data confidence means the assessment rests entirely on sales and pedigree background. The trainer and jockey combination is 37 from 244 with an A/E of 1.09.
Matties PointKTB Fit 45/100
Matties Point is rated 45 on the KTB Fit scale. A lightly raced colt who showed fair form when fourth on debut over 1m2½f, he now drops back in trip to a distance he has not tried before. The W McCreery yard has a 7% strike rate at Leopardstown from 375 runs with an A/E of 0.67, and the trainer and jockey are 19 from 204 with an A/E of 1.14.
AiteallKTB Fit 45/100
Aiteall is rated 45 on the KTB Fit scale. A newcomer from the Joseph Patrick O'Brien yard that operates at a 13% strike rate at Leopardstown from 1055 runs with an A/E of 0.89, there is no racecourse evidence to go on and the assessment rests entirely on pedigree and sales background with low data confidence. The trainer and jockey combination is 31 from 176 with an A/E of 1.04. By Wootton Bassett, a sire with a 13% overall win rate from 5566 runners.
Plug In HybridKTB Fit 44/100
Plug In Hybrid is rated 44 on the KTB Fit scale. A newcomer from the Noel Meade yard that has a 10% strike rate at Leopardstown from 1701 runs with an A/E of 0.79, the trainer and jockey are both respected at the track yet with no racecourse form the assessment is tentative and rests entirely on pedigree and sales background. The trainer and jockey combination is 99 from 744 with an A/E of 0.88. By Waldgeist, a sire with an 8% overall win rate from 806 runners.
Mothel AbbeyKTB Fit 43/100
Mothel Abbey is rated 43 on the KTB Fit scale. A debutant so the form picture is blank, with pedigree and sales background offering the only clues and low data confidence meaning any conclusions remain tentative. The Patrick J Flynn yard has an 8% strike rate at Leopardstown from 229 runs with an A/E of 0.91, and the trainer and jockey are 5 from 118 with an A/E of 0.74.
Let's Smash ItKTB Fit 40/100
Let's Smash It is rated 40 on the KTB Fit scale. A lightly raced colt with just two runs behind him and a modest placed effort on debut, he drops back in trip to 1m1f today which asks a fresh question. The Robson De Aguiar yard has a 0% strike rate at Leopardstown from 12 runs, and the trainer and jockey are 11 from 78 with an A/E of 1.12. Tends to make the running or race on the pace.
The Monday ClubKTB Fit 39/100
The Monday Club is rated 39 on the KTB Fit scale. He has shown only modest form in two starts so far, finishing fifth on both occasions, and now steps up in trip having already tried this distance once without success which leaves his effectiveness at 1m1f open to question. The Brendan W Duke yard has a 3% strike rate at Leopardstown from 90 runs with an A/E of 0.53.
KTB verdict
Trovao Dourado is the KTB selection. Lightly raced with one modest fifth on debut to his name, he represents a yard with a respectable record at Leopardstown and a jockey who has performed above expectations at the track on limited evidence. The uncontested lead scenario could suit a horse capable of improving, and the selection sits top of the KTB Fit ratings in a race full of unknowns. The main dangers are Handani, who showed promise when runner-up on debut and now tries headgear and extra distance for a powerful yard, and Hard Promises, who has posted two solid thirds and drops back in trip. Debutants such as Michinaga, Magnum Cor and Aiteall cannot be entirely discounted given the strength of their connections at this venue.
KTB Selection Trovao Dourado
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:01 UTC, 6 Aug. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Trovao Dourado | 66/1 | Bet Victor |
| Michinaga | 80/1 | William Hill |
| Nottooshabby | 100/1 | Bet Victor |
| Handani | 9/4 | Bet365 |
| Hard Promises | 9/4 | Bet Victor |
| Parish Team | 33/1 | Bet365 |
| Magnum Cor | 9/2 | Bet365 |
| Ask Me Again | 20/1 | Bet365 |
| Nemorino | 14/1 | Bet365 |
| Matties Point | 33/1 | Bet Victor |
| Aiteall | 10/1 | BetTom |
| Plug In Hybrid | 16/1 | Bet Victor |
| Mothel Abbey | 100/1 | Bet Victor |
| Let's Smash It | 8/1 | Bet365 |
| The Monday Club | 80/1 | BetTom |
This is the narrative read of the 5:25 Leopardstown. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Leopardstown racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is likely to secure the uncontested lead?
Let's Smash It tends to make the running or race on the pace with medium confidence in the run-style, and the pace shape indicates a lone leader with little to pressure it.
How many runners are making their racecourse debut?
Michinaga, Magnum Cor, Nemorino, Aiteall, Plug In Hybrid and Mothel Abbey are all debutants with no racecourse experience.
Which runners are wearing headgear for the first time?
Handani and Ask Me Again are both wearing first-time headgear.
Which horses are stepping up or down in trip for this race?
Nottooshabby is stepping up in trip, Hard Promises drops back in trip to an untried 1m1f, Parish Team drops back from 1m5f to 1m1f, Ask Me Again steps up in trip, Matties Point drops back in trip, Let's Smash It drops back in trip to 1m1f, and The Monday Club steps up in trip having already tried this distance once without success.
Which trainer has the strongest strike rate at Leopardstown in this field?
D K Weld has a 17% strike rate at Leopardstown from 3164 runs, the highest in the field.
18+. Analysis and entertainment only — no guarantee of profit. KTB race previews are published for interest and are not betting advice. Only ever stake what you can comfortably afford to lose, and set your own limits. Help and support: BeGambleAware.org and the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133. Self-exclude at any time via GAMSTOP.
More from Kickthebookies